Political situation
Written by: Chen Jialuo Lin Jian
2020-09-18 07:00
Last update date: 2020-09-18 07:00
The Legislative Council, which has been postponed for one year, will resume next month. Democrats rely on public opinion polls to decide whether to stay or leave. However, in the eyes of many establishments, it may be just a play.
In an exclusive interview with "Hong Kong 01", the establishment "squad leader" Liao Changjiang questioned that the current polls adopted by Panmin are "result-driven", and "use a result of his own use to rationalize the decision to stay" and believe that the poll results It has been written on the wall, and I believe that most of the pan citizens will eventually stay in office.
He pointed out that politicians should have their own opinions and should not bend the votes. He described the pan-people as wanting to stay but not daring to make a decision.
Regardless of whether the democrats go or stay, the establishment has begun to make arrangements for the next year's parliament. Liao Changjiang revealed that some people in the camp proposed to revise the "Rules of Procedure" again. One of the considerations is the election of the chairman of the internal committee and the finance committee. Instead, the secretariat will be in charge to avoid the recurrence of the "internal conflict".
Liao Changjiang, the "squad leader" of the establishment, pointed out that the pan-people wanted to stay in the Legislative Council but did not dare to make a decision. It was not free and easy.
(Photo by Gao Zhongming)
It refers to Zheng Songtai's decision to stay in office early in the morning.
A poll commissioned by the democrats to conduct a poll conducted by the Hong Kong Democratic Research Institute will begin next Monday (28th). The threshold is that among the 15 pro-democracy legislators supporters, if more than half support leaving office, they will withdraw from the parliament. The sample is about 2,400.
The Democratic Party, the Civic Party, and other traditional pan-people tend to stay behind, while the "protestant factions" who won the primary elections insisted on boycotting. The two factions recently launched a war debate on the Internet, sparks are everywhere.
The establishment who watched the fire from the other side were happy to "eat peanuts," and it seemed that they also "watched their deaths".
In an interview with "Hong Kong 01", Liao Changjiang, the convener of the establishment legislative council, pointed out that earlier polls showed that more than 60% of pan-democratic supporters opposed staying in office, but the democrats did not adopt it and instead commissioned the polling agency to do it again.
He pointed out that the results of polls often depend on the sample of interviewees, question methods, threshold settings, etc., and questioned that the latest polls are just "result-driven", "to use the result of his own use, to rationalize their decision to stay, not just Do we still believe the decision of the democrats to discredit (discredit) the democrats themselves and the polls made by the democrats in the future?"
He believes that the democrats should "make their own decisions freely and freely." Like the passionate citizen Zheng Songtai who stated early in the morning to stay in office, or decided to leave like Zhu Kaidi and Chen Zhiquan, "Politicians should have their own opinions and standpoints. They should not rely on polls to decide everything. "But now they "still hold the pipa half-hidden", and use various excuses such as "public opinion authorization" and "establishment mobilization to disrupt the polls".
There is a popular saying among the establishment that the democrats tend to stay in office because the salary is too attractive. Liao Changjiang said with a smile that the parliamentarian's salary does support a lot of people. He pointed out that the Democratic Party member Kwong Chunyu also has to contribute to the property. I believe this is an important factor in considering whether to stay.
Liao: The traditional pan-democrats will not win votes if they leave with the radicals
The democrats and the protesters are arguing about whether to stay or not. Liao Changjiang, who has served as a two-term councillor and has rich experience in fighting with Panmin, believes that Panmin has been led by the radicals in recent years, worried about losing "Yellow Camp" votes. But a political party has its own dignity and ideals. Should you lose your vote? If you (Panmin) do this, you will not get the support of extreme protesters. You will only lose your rational votes."
Liao Changjiang pointed out that the pan-people should get rid of the radicals long ago. Not only was the legislative amendment turmoil last year, but also the political reform plan a few years ago. Some people wanted to support but were bound. "If the political reform was successful at that time, there would be a general election for the chief executive. Afterwards, the general election of the Legislative Council will be held. Looking back now, I believe that many people who oppose political reform regret it. If the "bags first", the situation today is different. Someone told me that Panmin’s greatest contribution is to oppose political reform, otherwise I don’t know. How to accept subjects!" said Liao Changjiang, who is a Lin Zheng think tank and member of the guild, saying that he "should let it go with a smile."
Liao Changjiang is a low-key person and is rarely interviewed. He once said that he is a "camera shy", but as a "squad leader", he needs to represent the establishment "Pomi" from time to time.
(Profile picture)
Consider changing the rules to plug the loopholes
Regardless of whether the pro-democracy faction stays behind or withdraws, it will not damage the pro-establishment faction’s leadership in group counting. The establishment is planning to revise the "Rules of Procedure" again in order to avoid the recurrence of "internal conflict".
Liao Changjiang pointed out that two years ago, the establishment had successfully revised the rules and regulations to strike a balance between the speeches of members and the effective operation of the Legislative Council. However, the pan-democrats found other loopholes afterwards, including the "overlord overlord" in the election of the chairman of the council. "If the pan-people keep trying to paralyze government functions and paralyze the constitutional functions of the Legislative Council, we (the establishment) need to review what we are doing from time to time."
He said that one of the options worth considering is to modify the committee’s election presiding status. For example, the internal committee, the finance committee and the affairs committee will all be in charge of the secretariat instead of the committee’s vice chairman or the most senior member of the previous year.
However, he emphasized that the establishment has not yet formally started discussions, and it is still too early to say, "Every amendment is refined, not just change."
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