Eduardo Paladini
09/18/2020 - 17:47
Clarín.com
Politics
A couple of times, at least, Alberto Fernández brandished the threat of the "red button" to warn that, if the cases of coronavirus soared in the country, he could return to phase 1 of the quarantine.
Until the announcement recorded and broadcast this Friday, however,
the warning did not materialize
, despite the fact that the registered infections remain in a high number.
Seen from the other side, the question was always latent: would people abide by a return to rigid confinement?
A recent national study warns that
a significant number would not be willing
.
The context is complex: there have already been
182 days of mandatory isolation
and it will continue until at least October 11.
The data on satiety comes from the latest
Management & Fit (M&F)
survey
.
Clarín advanced a part of this national survey, of
2,200 cases
, with cuts in the province and city of Buenos Aires, which was one of the first to measure how the fight with the head of the Buenos Aires government, Horacio Rodríguez, had impacted on the image of the President Larreta.
In one of
M&F's
starting approaches to
the pandemic, a clue already appears as to why people are not willing to lock themselves up again.
Despite the health crisis,
57%
are concerned
"about the economic consequences"
, over 32.7% who are fearful of "catching the virus."
National Survey of Management & Fit.
A survey from September 10 to 14.
Then the paper presents the more specific question about constraints.
"Assuming you decide to go back to Isolation Phase 1 in the same way as at the start of quarantine,
how willing would you be to comply with the restrictions again?"
, consulted the firm.
The
34.7% said "is not ready"
and 11.7% said they do not know.
In short, only 53.7% would voluntarily abide by the rules.
Although the number of "willing" people represents the highest number, it seems
relatively small
for an eventual regulation that would be mandatory and with foreseen sanctions.
After the general approach, the consulting firm directed by
Mariel Fornoni
shows the results of this question according to different groups.
Thus, for example,
women
appear a little
less willing
(
34.9%
) than men (34.4%) to rigid confinement, those
under 40 (40.5%)
much less willing than those over 40 (29.6%);
and those of the
middle class (39.6%) and high class (37.2%)
surpass in this sense those of the low class (27.2%.
National Survey of Management & Fit.
A survey from September 10 to 14.
Another interesting cut is the one made
by region
.
And there, as Clarín anticipated, it is clear that Buenos Aires have a more open-minded position than Buenos Aires and even in the interior, coinciding with the flexibility proposals that Rodríguez Larreta was presenting for the district.
In the
M&F
survey
, in the City there is considerable
parity
between those who are willing (46.9%) to return to phase 1 and those who are not (42.9%).
The other side is the Conurbano, where 58.6% say they would return to the original confinement without problems, compared to 33.2% who say they would not.
Here, possibly, is where
the influence of the crack is clearest
.
Making a simplification, the Buenos Aires macristas are more reluctant to compulsory isolation than the Buenos Aires Kirchneristas.