Former health adviser warned of rising morbidity and said: "Britain will have to go back to some quarantine measures" • Prime Minister Johnson claims he is not currently interested in another quarantine, but he also acknowledges the difficult situation
Will Johnson have no choice but to impose a closure?
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"The UK is likely to have to reimburse some of the closure measures across the country, and sooner rather than later," leading epidemiologist and former senior health adviser Neil Ferguson said today (Saturday).
Ferguson told the BBC that the country was facing a "storm" of contagion, given the return of citizens to work and the opening of educational frameworks for children.
Prime Minister Boris Johnson said yesterday that he is not interested in another closure, but new restrictions may be needed as the country faces a "inevitable" second wave.
Ferguson now argues that it is a matter of time before new restrictions are imposed.
The situation in the UK is not simple.
The number of infections has almost doubled to 6,000 a day, and there is a jump in the number of people hospitalized.
The increase in morbidity is particularly noticeable in the north of England and London.
Therefore, government ministers are considering a second closure, to what extent it is not yet clear.
The opening of schools has also caused a large increase in morbidity.
"We are currently at the morbidity levels we saw in the country at the end of February. If we leave the situation like this, in two to four weeks we will return to the levels we saw in mid-March, it could cause widespread mortality," Ferguson said.
The death toll in the UK in the first wave was the highest in Europe, with more than 41,000 victims when the herd immunity policy failed.
So far in the second wave, the new rise in morbidity has not led to a large number of deaths, partly due to the fact that infections were mainly among younger people, however - hospital occupancy is now starting to rise.
According to the former government health adviser, future lockout restrictions should not be as strict as they were in March to, and the epidemic can be slowed down even with less tight restrictions.
More than ten million people in parts of the north and center of England are already under some sort of restriction, such as a ban on inviting friends or family to their homes, or visiting pubs and restaurants after 10pm.
At the same time, many residents report that corona tests are not available or that they can only be performed in places hundreds of miles away from their place of residence.
