The death of Ruth Bader Ginsburg allows Trump to act quickly for a conservative takeover of the Supreme Court, and to excite his supporters • This is a defining moment in the campaign • Interpretation
44 days before the day of the decision at the ballot box, and when the scales in the polls tend to his duty, a window of opportunity suddenly opens up for President Trump, which holds the potential for changing the focus of public attention and copying the discourse from the so problematic complex of continuing to deal with the corona virus. For him, this is the issue of shaping America's value and cultural portrait for decades.
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Indeed, the death of Ruth Bader Ginsburg, a Supreme Court justice who until her death fought bravely and tirelessly for the advancement of her social agenda, which was enshrined in a whole mask of clear liberal values, at the core of which seeks the complete abolition of gender and sectoral exclusion and discrimination. Today the president will act quickly to fill the remaining orphaned seat, with a conservative judge.
Although throughout the 20th century, as well as in the two decades of the 21st century, there is only one precedent for the appointment of a Supreme Court Justice on the eve of the presidential election (it was only three weeks before the 1956 presidential election, when President Eisenhower appointed Judge William Brennan as a replacement for Sherman Minton who fell ill and retired, gaining Senate approval even before the electorate spoke out, and although the Republican majority in the Senate vetoed President Obama's proposal to appoint Liberal Merrick Garland as the successor to the conservative judge Antonin Scolia, Before the election - this time a subscription and finished with the White House to open immediately in the process of appointing the replacement.
The motives for this are clear.
First, even if there is a deviation from a long-standing convention, as well as a withdrawal from the Republican Party positions only four years ago, the benefits in the eyes of the Republican camp outweigh the risks along the way.
It is a defining moment in the entire campaign, which may give the president the big bang and the coveted consideration to excite and mobilize to the flag his conservative power base, centered on the evangelical camp, whose basic values and religious issues are engraved on his heart board.
Indeed, the possibility that the fragile majority that exists today in the Supreme Court will soon become a solid majority of six conservatives versus three liberals, could constitute a safety net and a vital kosher certificate for some, at least, conservative voters still debating whether to give Trump the key to the Oval Office again. .
Since the Republican faction in the Senate enjoys a majority, the initiative, which requires only Senate approval, is likely to win approval.
This is despite the fact that it is likely to face the reservations of some Republican senators (and especially senators), such as Susan Collins Maine, especially if the candidate has ultra-conservative views, especially on the issue of abortion approval with almost no restrictions and conditions.
However, as was the case on the eve of the 2018 congressional election, when Collins and her moderate partners gritted their teeth but ultimately voted for the conservative Conservative Brett Cabano as a Supreme Court justice, this time too it can be assumed that almost the entire Republican faction will stand behind Trump's candidate .
This will allow the president to repeatedly declare that the election of three conservative Supreme Court justices during his tenure so far (Gorsic, Cabano and the candidate on the way) is ultimate proof that on the ideological level he has been able to lay the foundations for a new and sustainable American existence. Mandatory for U.S. Supreme Court Justices). Second, Trump's choice of a conservative judge would be counterbalanced by Biden's election of Camilla Harris as his running mate, thus somewhat offsetting the current Democratic nominee's advantage on the gender front. , Will include blatant critical remarks towards Trump, the media focus on this level is much more convenient for the White House than the continuation of the discussion of the war in Corona.
If the move is successful, and Trump is able to combine the value dimension with the political dimension, we may witness the traditional October surprise as early as late September.
In any case, an uncompromising duel is expected on Capitol Hill between the two camps, with House of Representatives Nancy Pelosi's firm promise yesterday to take all measures to thwart the expected appointment being the first swallow among the firm over the Supreme Court's character. , And possibly also on the fate of the entire election campaign.This, when we are on the eve of the actual decision, when the final line in the form of the three traditional televised confrontations between the candidates is set to open on September 29 in Cleveland, Ohio.
