[New crown pneumonia] Europe and the United States bet on vaccines to help the second wave of the epidemic

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Written by: comment editing room

2020-09-23 07:15

Last update date: 2020-09-23 07:15

The European epidemic has shown signs of another outbreak recently, and many countries have to restart epidemic prevention and control measures.

Even if many governments have stated that they will not introduce large-scale lockdown measures as in March, the market is generally worried that the epidemic will not be subdued and consumer confidence will be dragged down by the global stock market.

Advanced regions such as Europe and the United States will hope to bet on vaccines, but there is still a certain distance from vaccines that can effectively control the epidemic, and it is likely to cause incalculable harm during this period.

The recent outbreak of the epidemic in Europe has caused a rapid increase in new patients in major countries such as Britain, France, and Germany, triggering market pessimism and causing a severe setback in global stock markets.

Although European countries have successively introduced more stringent city lockdowns and foot bans after March, the epidemic has been clearly controlled, but because the transmission chain has not been completely cut off, and the borders have been opened soon, the second wave of epidemic outbreak is actually expected over time thing.

European people always value individualism more than group order, and are dissatisfied with the anti-epidemic measures to give up personal freedom. However, as the epidemic has prolonged, people in many European countries have gradually lost patience, and a certain scale of anti-epidemic outbreaks have occurred everywhere. protest activity.

On the other hand, European countries cannot efficiently control social resources, and the economy cannot be shut down for a long time. Therefore, they dare not restart measures such as lockdown in the face of the second wave of epidemics.

British government chief medical adviser Chris Whitty and chief scientific adviser Patrick Vallance warned that if it is not controlled, the United Kingdom may see 50,000 new cases every day before mid-October.

The picture shows Whitty (left) and Valance (right).

(Reuters)

Vaccine is hard to save near fire in winter

The United States and India seem to be close to giving up on the control of the epidemic, and the number of confirmed cases ranks first or two in the world. Not only does the second wave of the epidemic in Europe seem unavoidable, the epidemic may even worsen later in the winter.

Even if the global epidemic cannot be described as "out of control," countries can be said to be helpless and put their hopes on the vaccine.

However, although the vaccine research is still going well, it is still a long way from practicality, and vaccination takes time. It is still unknown when the vaccination will be effective to bring the epidemic to an end.

During this long period of time, especially in the following winter, a large-scale outbreak of the epidemic is still quite possible, and the number of dead may increase significantly.

In addition to the mistakes made by policymakers in the prevention of the epidemic, the situation in European and American countries also includes the economic and social realities of each country.

The so-called "every family has a hard-to-understand experience", after all, not every country intends to implement China's strict control, and the "yes" and "wrongs" of epidemic prevention can only be judged by its citizens.

Compared with Europe and the United States, the situation in Hong Kong is very optimistic. First, Hong Kong people have a higher awareness of epidemic prevention than those in Europe and the United States, and the third wave of the outbreak in Hong Kong seems to have been effectively controlled. The local source of the diagnosis is unknown. Those continue to decline.

In addition, in the recent nationwide testing in Hong Kong, there were only 32 positive cases out of a total of 1.783 million samples, showing that there was only one invisible communicator in every 55,000 people.

Although the number of tests is not as good as expected, it is not a small number. Proportionally, there may be less than a hundred invisible communicators in Hong Kong.

Hong Kong has not experienced the rigorous prevention and control of the mainland, but it has achieved good results in epidemic prevention.

However, Hong Kong still needs to be psychologically prepared that the epidemic will continue for some time, and it is not yet time to relax.

Zhang Zhujun said that the epidemic has been around for nearly 9 months, and there is still no vaccine. It will not be safe, and the public is urged to pay attention to personal hygiene.

(Photo by Zheng Zifeng)

On the issue of epidemic prevention, there is no so-called international standard.

Hong Kong is also not the Mainland, and the successful model from the Mainland cannot be fully copied to Hong Kong. Therefore, Hong Kong must find a set of methods suitable for local conditions and capable of long-term epidemic prevention.

From the comparison of the second wave of the epidemic in Europe and the economic recovery after China's control of the epidemic, it can be seen that the epidemic cannot be effectively controlled, and the economy will hardly rebound.

Epidemic prevention is not only to protect the health and lives of Hong Kong people, but also to get out of economic difficulties as soon as possible. Therefore, at this stage, it is not suitable to have much expectations for vaccines. Both the government and the public need to have a long-term awareness of anti-epidemic and maintain the pattern of prevention and control. Strive to strengthen communication with the mainland in low-risk areas during prevention and control, and prevent imported cases in high-risk areas outside.

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