Political situation
Author: Zheng Rongdi
2020-09-28 22:06
Last update date: 2020-09-28 22:07
The Hong Kong Institute of Public Opinion began polling last week to determine whether 15 members of the democratic legislature will stay. The Democratic Party will announce the results tomorrow (29th) at 11:30 in the morning. The dispute over staying and staying for more than a month will be finalized.
Since Chen Zhiquan and Zhu Kaidi have long announced that they will not stay in office, the current non-incorporated seats have fallen to 22 seats (including the passionate citizen Zheng Songtai and the medical profession Chen Peiran), and the establishment has 41 seats.
Although the proletariat has obtained control of government and parliamentarians’ bills respectively, the main democrats believe that the proletariat intends to propose "liquidation" amendments in the Legislative Council, including investigating the source of funds for 612 funds. , Even if the bill cannot be dragged to death, the investigation time after the bill is passed can be greatly reduced, and the impact on the democratic camp can be reduced.
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Democrats are currently isolated and weak in the Legislative Council. The presence or absence of 15 people will no longer have a critical impact on the daily voting of the Legislative Council. The threshold for voting on government bills in the Legislative Council is that more than half of the current members agree, and the establishment itself is absolute. Advantages; the threshold for group voting to pass a member's motion is that directly elected and functional constituency members each have more than half of them in favor, and the establishment also gains control.
The only real impact is the motion of condemning members that must be passed by "two-thirds of the members attending the meeting." The DQ can be sentenced to more than a month’s sentence, misbehaving or violating the oath. The democrats only need 20 people to stay in the parliament. Relevant motions were blocked, but if 15 pro-democracy members left the parliament, the "guard" wall would collapse.
The first to bear the brunt was Xu Zhifeng, the Democratic Party, who was sniped by the establishment for the mobile phone robbing incident.
During the meeting of the Legislative Council's Bills Committee on the "Guangzhou-Shenzhen-Hong Kong High-speed Rail (Co-location) Bill" in April 2018, Xu Zhifeng was suspected of stealing the mobile phone and documents of a female Security Bureau staff member from the second floor of the Legislative Council. The parliament launched a sniper and established an investigation committee to investigate the incident. After more than a year of investigation, the committee believed that the established facts stated in the condemnation motion were sufficient to condemn Xu Zhifeng.
After the committee has completed its work, if two-thirds of the Legislative Council members pass a motion of condemnation, the President of the Legislative Council can declare Xu Zhifeng's disqualification as a member of the Legislative Council.
Xu Zhifeng could have escaped by the end of the session, but due to the current postponement of the sixth legislative session, Xu Zhifeng's crisis is coming. If 15 democratic members cannot stay, they will be DQ at any time.
In addition, in response to the incident that hit the Legislative Council last year, the New Democrat Party Rong Haien moved to condemn Zheng Songtai in December last year. The motion has been passed to the investigation committee. When the parliamentary term is extended, Zheng Songtai may also have to face the condemnation motion again.
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In addition to condemning the voting situation of the motion, if 15 pan-democrats leave the parliament, it will also affect the "lab" defensive power of the democratic camp and greatly weaken the resistance of the parliament.
At present, the establishment plans to "liquid" Huang Ying. Liang Meifen proposed to use the "Powers and Privileges Ordinance" to investigate the issue of amendments, including the source of funds for the 612 fund.
Under the grouping of votes, the relevant bills are expected to be passed in the establishment escort. However, the "mainstay" Democratic Party Lin Zhuoting accepted the interview of "Hong Kong 01" and strongly stated that if 15 people stay in the parliament, they can raise procedural issues and count the number of people. , Temporary motions and other "popular tactics" to delay the passage of the motion; "It will only take two months (for the establishment) to investigate, and there is no delay at all, and there is adult time (for the establishment) to investigate, and the results can be huge difference."
Democratic Party Legislative Council
