Political situation
Written by: Zhai Ruimin
2020-09-29 18:57
Last update date: 2020-09-29 18:58
The results of the Democrats’ Quliu poll conducted by the Democratic Party of Hong Kong entrusted by the Democratic Party of Hong Kong, announced today (29th). According to the data released at the press conference, 47.1% of the 15 pro-democracy MPs who participated in the polls support retention. , 45.8% opposed. After neither of them reached the threshold, the democrats finally decided to postpone one year.
However, in the total of 2560 samples of the Civil Research Institute, 53.4% opposed retention, and only 36.8% supported retention. The result was "reversed."
Among the “dual-track” threshold proposed by Zhong Tingyao, the chief executive of the Civil Research Institute, more than half of the respondents who support a certain option, or more than two-thirds of the supporters of parliamentarians who accept the constraints of polls, reach the threshold. Later, the democrats decided to only refer to the opinions of 15 members of the supporters. If there is no change to the original plan, more than half of the current sample of opposition to retention will come to the conclusion that the democrats should leave office.
In all samples, among the respondents who tend to be democratic, 43.9% support retention and 48.1% oppose; centrists support 35% and oppose 54.4%; those who favor the establishment support 18.3% but oppose 72.5% of the total.
On the whole, supporters of all political sectors also tend to leave the office.
(Photo by Lu Yiming)
Supporters of the establishment oppose retention rate of 70%
The "dual-track authorization and balance threshold" proposed by Zhong Tingyao initially means that if half of all interviewees, or two-thirds of the supporters of parliamentarians who accept the constraints of polls, express support for an option, the threshold is reached.
The democrats held a press conference at the beginning of this month, saying that because more than half of the people will include people who are not supporters, and after discussion, the democrats believe that the most important thing is the authorization of their supporters, so they decided to amend it to only refer to the opinions of supporters. , And lowered the threshold to half.
It is worth mentioning that the data released by the Minyan Research Institute at the press conference excludes the "don't know/difficult to tell" ratio.
Including this option, among all respondents, 32.4% support retention and 47.1% oppose it; among the pro-democracy supporters, 45.4% support retention and 44.2% oppose retention, with a slight change in the ratio. .
In addition, among all the samples, among the respondents who tend to be democratic, 43.9% support retention, and 48.1% oppose it; centrists support 35% and 54.4% oppose; and 18.3% support all establishments. , 72.5% opposed.
On the whole, supporters of all political sectors also tend to leave the office.
According to the data released at the press conference, 36.8% of all 2560 samples supported retention and 53.4% opposed; and 738. Among the group of pro-democracy supporters, 47.1% support retention and 45.8% oppose it.
(Photo by Lu Yiming)
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