The US will hold its 59th presidential election in November.
Donald Trump then tries to defend his position against Joe Biden.
Currently there is more to be said for a changing of the guard.
The US elects its future US president in November.
Candidates are incumbent Donald Trump and former vice-president Joe Biden.
Current polls on the US election see the Republican behind.
Update from October 12, 2020:
The
US election
is getting closer and closer.
In less than a month, voters will be voting for either
Donald Trump
or
Joe Biden
.
In the
polls
, the incumbent president is now behind his democratic challenger.
Trump's corona disease caused voters to decline.
Joe Biden
led
the country by
14 percentage points
after
Trump's
coronavirus infection
, according to a
poll by
the
Wall Street Journal
and
NBC News
- six points more than the previous month.
The values are the worst for Trump this year.
At the beginning of last week, 65 percent of those questioned said in a survey by Reuters / Ipsos that Trump would probably not have been ill if he had "taken the corona virus more seriously".
57 percent were dissatisfied with the president's measures against the pandemic, three points more than in the previous week.
Because of
the US electoral system
with electors and the important swing states, Biden's lead in the polls might not bring anything in the end.
Because of his illness,
Donald Trump
had to suspend
his
election campaign
for ten days.
After he is healthy again and is no longer contagious, according to his personal physician, Sean Conley, the
president
now
wants
to fully attack again and catch up in the final spurt of the election campaign.
According to the
Neue Züricher Zeitung,
his camp is
still concerned about the poor surveys.
Especially because the polling company Rasmussen Reports, whose results Trump liked to quote in better times, spoke of a gap of twelve percentage points.
President Trump's debate performance followed by his coronavirus diagnosis appear to be digging an even deeper hole for him this week.
Democrat Joe Biden now has a 12-point lead over the president in Rasmussen Reports' weekly White House Watch survey ... https://t.co/ZjDCIg3U5W pic.twitter.com/N01P9fvxSd
- Rasmussen Reports (@Rasmussen_Poll) October 7, 2020
Bad polls for Trump: President railed against postal voting
Update from September 15, 1:10 p.m.:
For weeks
Donald Trump
has been railing
against the possibility of
postal voting
- some even accuse the US President of sabotaging the post.
It's slowly becoming clearer why the incumbent is doing this: Apparently, the first
numbers on postal voters point
to a bigger problem for the Trump campaign.
As the broadcaster
CNN
reports online, significantly more Democratic supporters than Republican sympathizers applied for the postal voting documents in two states that are eminently important for the election result.
According to the report, the number of Democratic postal voters
in
Florida
exceeded that of Republicans by a whopping 480,000, and in
North Carolina
by 260,000.
This does not have to allow conclusions to be drawn about election results: According to a
CNN
poll, 68 percent of Trump voters prefer to vote in person at the polling station.
This was only true of 21 percent of Biden supporters.
The data from Florida and North Carolina could therefore primarily
have to do
with
voter preferences in the Corona crisis
- and encourage Trump all the more to make postal voting more difficult.
Polls on the US election put Trump under pressure
Meanwhile, however, the general polls point to an approaching election victory for
challenger Joe Biden
: Even in a survey published last week by Trump's bull market channel
Fox News
, Biden is five percentage points ahead.
A team from the University of Southern California saw the Democrats in front with 52 to 42 percent.
The website
Realclearpolitics.com
, which aggregates averages from current surveys, generally notes
7.1 percentage points behind Trump
.
A German political scientist recently
did not
expect
Trump to win again
in an interview with
Ippen-Digital-Zentralredaktion
.
Meanwhile, a bestselling author rejected a Trump thesis on the US forest fires.
Surveys will probably show in the near future how the mood develops after the first TV duel.
A broadcast of the TV duel can be seen on TV and live stream *, also in Germany.
Survey before the 2020 US election: Biden's lead over Trump is apparently shrinking significantly
Update from August 17th, 3:28 p.m.:
There are less than three months until the most important vote in the world is due.
In the
2020 US election
*
President Donald Trump
wants to
defend
his position against the
Democratic challenger Joe Biden
.
The Democrat was well ahead of the Republican head of state in polls.
But according to a new
survey
, Trump has now clearly caught up, the lead of his rival Biden has therefore decreased significantly since June, as reported by TV broadcaster CNN.
This is the result of a survey by the polling institute SSRS, which polled a total of 1,108 voters between August 12 and 15, after Biden had recently announced that he would
run for the
White House
with Senator
Kamala Harris as a runner-up
.
USA: Joe Biden's lead over Donald Trump is shrinking, according to a poll for the 2020 presidential election
The poll was conducted after Biden named Senator Kamala Harris as his runner-up last Tuesday.
Of the respondents, 50 percent said they would vote for Biden and Harris.
46 percent voted for Trump and Vice President Mike Pence.
In June the approval for Biden was still 55 percent, Trump reached only 41 percent at the time.
Things are really tight in the 15 so-called swing states, which are usually the key to an election victory due to frequently changing majority ratios.
According to the survey, Biden (49 percent) and Trump (48 percent) are currently in a head-to-head race.
According to the findings of
FiveThirtyEight
, the
former Vice President Barack Obama has
lost its lead.
Biden currently sees the website, which collects and evaluates numerous surveys in order to form a national average, at 51 percent.
Trump comes to 43 percent.
USA: Joe Biden clears Donald Trump in June 2020 presidential election poll
First report from June 25, 9.29 a.m.:
Washington - The
US presidential election is due in
November 2020
- and
Donald Trump
*
would like to remain head of state of the United States for another four years.
The current trend, however, speaks a slightly different language:
According to a new survey,
challenger
Joe Biden
already has 14 percentage points ahead of the Republican, who
is not doing well
in the corona crisis and the newly emerged racism debate.
50 percent of respondents would vote for the Democratic candidate, only 36 percent would vote Donald Trump, according to a poll by the
New York Times
.
In previous
polls for the US election
, challenger Joe Biden *,
Vice President under Barack Obama for
eight years
, was about ten points ahead on average.
USA: Joe Biden scores points in polls for the 2020 presidential election not only among women, African Americans and Latinos
Biden, who already had to take serious criticism in the election campaign, has built a
big lead among women, African Americans and Latinos
, according to the new poll for the US election.
The 77-year-old is much more trusted to give the minorities in the country a voice.
The challenger also caught up with Trump among male voters, whites and middle-aged and older people who tend to vote for Republicans.
Trump, on the other hand, lost
the support of important electorate,
according to the
New York Times
, after the
government's handling of the corona pandemic * and the anti-racism protests
in the country met with heavy criticism.
So, according to the projections, approval for the incumbent
declined
among
college-educated whites
- a group of voters Republicans usually count on.
USA: President Donald Trump wants to keep his loyal voters in the 2020 presidential election
No other country is groaning as much under the
Corona crisis
as the USA.
The United States leads the world in
both the
number of people infected
and
the
number of
deaths
.
In addition, there has been rumbling in the country since a video made the violent
death of the African American George Floyd
* by police violence
during an arrest for everyone in the USA.
Trump, however, was
relentless towards protesters against racism *
and thus made himself simply ineligible for some sections of the population.
The 74-year-old is apparently taking the tough course in order
to collect more plus points
, at least from his
most loyal voters
before the 2020 US presidential election *.
These stand for a president who takes action.
Trump seems to divide the country more than that.
Predictions for the US presidential election: In 2016, the polls were wrong
According to the
New York Times
, 1,337 voters were polled for the US presidential poll between June 17-22.
Based on the experience of the previous election, however, the results for the
US election in November should be
treated with caution: In 2016, Democrat
Hillary Clinton
led
the polls throughout the election campaign - in the end, contrary to election forecasts, she lost the vote against Trump.
As in the previous election, Vice-presidential candidate Mike Pence * will be running for Trump's side.
The
59th US presidential election will take place
on November 3rd
.
It has long been certain that the United States will be ruled by a man from 2021 who is already on the home stretch of his political career.
A real new beginning
after the turbulent years
*
is therefore not to be expected.
The “most powerful man in the world” will definitely have experience.
Democrat Biden has long been ahead of the Republican incumbent.
He recently accused Trump of "stealing the election":
Will the US election campaign be influenced by a Tiktok campaign?
Trump faces an influential opponent.
While
Donald Trump has
already
entered the election campaign
with his runner-up candidate
Mike Pence
, the nomination of a runner-up presidential candidate,
Joe Biden, is
still
pending
.
The only thing that is certain is that Biden wants to get a woman by his side.
In the first week of August, Biden wants to announce which politician he is betting on.
African Americans have now written in an open letter that Biden should choose a black candidate.
Donald Trump
now has problems not only with Twitter, but also with Facebook.
The group has deleted a post from President Trump due to Corona misinformation.
* merkur.de is part of the nationwide Ippen digital editorial network.
List of rubric lists: © dpa / Rourke, Semansky