Eduardo Paladini
10/23/2020 10:17 AM
Clarín.com
Politics
Updated 10/23/2020 10:17 AM
When he visits
Misiones
this Friday
, Alberto Fernández will be in allied territory.
The President has a
positive image of
more than
60% there
.
Even in October it improved its numbers in the Mesopotamian district, which were already good in September.
But it is rather an exception: a survey that has been measuring it throughout the country shows a
decrease in 17 of the 24 provinces
.
Consuelo: even with the fall, it continues with numbers much higher than its predecessors, Mauricio Macri and Cristina Kirchner.
Alert: as
Clarín
advanced
, the one who is overcoming it is the Buenos Aires head of government, Horacio Rodríguez Larreta.
The study that reflects this panorama is from
CB Consultora Opinion Pública
, a firm that measured for the last elections and has been publishing an interesting ranking of governors.
Between October 15 and 19, it surveyed between
500 and 1,250 people per province
, with a margin of error of +/- 3.6%.
One of the main tables of the work focuses on the figure of Fernández and his positive image in each district.
It orders them from highest to lowest and compares them with the previous month.
If it improved, it is accompanied by a little green arrow;
if it went down, a red one.
In October, there were
17 reds and only 7 green ones
.
Alberto Fernández had dinner with Evo Morales over the weekend, to celebrate MAS's triumph in Bolivia.
The provinces where the President lost support in October compared to September were:
1)
Santiago del Estero
(was 71.3% positive).
2)
Chaco
(71.2%).
3)
La Pampa
(69.6%).
4)
Formosa
(68.4%).
5)
San Juan
(64.5%).
6)
Catamarca
(62.7%).
7)
Currents
(59.4%).
8)
La Rioja
(58.2%).
9)
Chubut
(57.8%).
10)
Tucumán
(57.5%).
11)
Province of
Buenos Aires
(57.1%).
12)
Jump
(56.6%).
13)
Santa Cruz
(55.3%).
14)
San Luis
(53.7%).
15)
Río Negro
(52.6%).
16)
Jujuy
(51.8%).
17)
Córdoba
(41.8%).
While the 7 provinces where it improved were:
1)
Neuquén
(67.8%).
2)
Tierra del Fuego
(61.3%).
3)
Missions
(60.1%).
4)
Entre Ríos
(54.2%).
5)
Santa Fe
(51.5%).
6)
Mendoza
(41.9%).
7)
City of Buenos Aires
(39.9%).
In its works,
CB
reports what is known as
"net image"
, where the positive and the negative add up to 100%.
Since there is no "regular image" and "don't know / don't answer" are not taken into account, the figures are usually higher than in other surveys that do include these variables.
That is why the numbers in favor of Alberto Fernández are in high ranges, between 40 and 70 points.
Beyond this statistical detail and despite the new generalized fall, which had already dragged on since September, the
President continues to have relatively good image numbers
.
In part, because it had reached a very high peak at the start of the coronavirus pandemic, back in late March and April.
Another parameter in favor of Fernández is the
comparison with the rest of the main figures of national scope
.
As this newspaper said, in addition to the president, the consulting firm evaluated the figures of Larreta, Macri and Cristina province by province.
In that fight of four, the President
led in image in 15 provinces
.
And in the remaining 9, he was second under Larreta.
Alert II for Fernández: he appeared relegated in almost all the large districts, except Buenos Aires (Ciudad, Mendoza, Córdoba, Santa Fe ...), which confirms the growing rejection of his figure in urban centers.