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Winter in Germany: Snow forecast is shaky - the expert names a trend that should surprise many

2020-10-23T04:40:26.965Z


Most people no longer expect a white Christmas. But what will the winter weather in Germany be like in 2020? Snow fans draw hope.


Most people no longer expect a white Christmas.

But what will the winter weather in Germany be like in 2020?

Snow fans draw hope.

  • What will the

    weather be like in winter 2020 in Germany

    ?

  • Experts predict slightly

    cooler months

    than in previous years.

  • The trend gives

    hope for snow

    , but predicting a

    white Christmas

    remains difficult.

Munich - Do you know the

last time there was a

white Christmas

in

Germany

?

Almost everyone has to think at least a little bit at this point.

Bad weather, sleet and a lot of mud have

always accompanied

November and December

in recent years.

A snow cover that was almost completely closed across Germany was actually last in 2010.

White Christmas in Germany: Even before, not every year - climate change is reducing opportunities today

On

Christmas Eve it

could even be like spring.

In 2012 and 2013, temperatures in the southeast even hit the

20-degree mark

.

In Freiburg in 2012, thick wool jackets could stay in the closet at 18.9 degrees Celsius.

Snow * was surprisingly rare on the holidays, even in the past.

“Wetter.com” has analyzed the records of the last 70 years and determined: Between 1981 and 2010,

snow on Christmas Eve was

not significantly less rare than between 1951 and 1980. But since 2010 the comparison between past and present has drifted apart.

The mean

temperature in Germany has

now

risen

by 1.5 degrees Celsius

.

The chance of snow decreases continuously.

Winter weather in Germany: does a low bring the snow on Christmas Eve?

But

climate change

, which also results in the threatening weather phenomenon “blob”, and trends do not make the forecast for individual days.

The

hope of white Christmas

this year is great against the development.

According to the calculations of the CFS long-term model,

cold polar air will be brought to Germany

on

December 24, 2020

.

So it will most likely get cold over the holidays.

On average,

winter 2020/21 should

nevertheless be slightly above the temperature mean.

Winter 2020: December forecast gives hope - "Feels too cold a month"

“Wetter.net” meteorologist

Dominik Jung

predicts an even colder winter in an interview with Bild.

The phrase “even less warm” would probably be a little more accurate.

"The December trend from the NOAA weather agency shows that the month

should be

average

," he explains, "that means:

Not as warm as in previous years

, but a month that feels too cool".

Average weather * in December will therefore

feel

too cool

”.

Worryingly, the expert reckons that people in Germany have already got used to the

warm winters

.

Still not surprising, after all, there have been heat records hailing since 2010.

But as early as November there could be a snow hammer in Germany.

The forecasts fluctuate between “enormous opportunities” and “unlikely”.

Weather in Germany: Cold autumn does not guarantee a cold winter - snow forecast difficult

Jung describes the

fact that one can

assume

a

cold winter

due to the cold autumn so far

as "technically complete nonsense" and he does not want to make a promise of snow.

The calculated trend does not allow any forecast, but

thanks to the cooler temperatures

, the

basic requirements are

at least better than in previous years.

Unfortunately, the current forecasts do not offer more than one hope - but at least they do.

(moe) * Merkur.de is part of the Ippen editorial network.

List of rubric lists: © Barbara Gindl / APA / dpa

Source: merkur

All news articles on 2020-10-23

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