Most people no longer expect a white Christmas.
But what will the winter weather in Germany be like in 2020?
Snow fans draw hope.
What will the
weather be like in winter 2020 in Germany
?
Experts predict slightly
cooler months
than in previous years.
The trend gives
hope for snow
, but predicting a
white Christmas
remains difficult.
Munich - Do you know the
last time there was a
white Christmas
in
Germany
?
Almost everyone has to think at least a little bit at this point.
Bad weather, sleet and a lot of mud have
always accompanied
November and December
in recent years.
A snow cover that was almost completely closed across Germany was actually last in 2010.
White Christmas in Germany: Even before, not every year - climate change is reducing opportunities today
On
Christmas Eve it
could even be like spring.
In 2012 and 2013, temperatures in the southeast even hit the
20-degree mark
.
In Freiburg in 2012, thick wool jackets could stay in the closet at 18.9 degrees Celsius.
Snow * was surprisingly rare on the holidays, even in the past.
“Wetter.com” has analyzed the records of the last 70 years and determined: Between 1981 and 2010,
snow on Christmas Eve was
not significantly less rare than between 1951 and 1980. But since 2010 the comparison between past and present has drifted apart.
The mean
temperature in Germany has
now
risen
by 1.5 degrees Celsius
.
The chance of snow decreases continuously.
Winter weather in Germany: does a low bring the snow on Christmas Eve?
But
climate change
, which also results in the threatening weather phenomenon “blob”, and trends do not make the forecast for individual days.
The
hope of white Christmas
this year is great against the development.
According to the calculations of the CFS long-term model,
cold polar air will be brought to Germany
on
December 24, 2020
.
So it will most likely get cold over the holidays.
On average,
winter 2020/21 should
nevertheless be slightly above the temperature mean.
Winter 2020: December forecast gives hope - "Feels too cold a month"
“Wetter.net” meteorologist
Dominik Jung
predicts an even colder winter in an interview with Bild.
The phrase “even less warm” would probably be a little more accurate.
"The December trend from the NOAA weather agency shows that the month
should be
average
," he explains, "that means:
Not as warm as in previous years
, but a month that feels too cool".
Average weather * in December will therefore
feel
“
too cool
”.
Worryingly, the expert reckons that people in Germany have already got used to the
warm winters
.
Still not surprising, after all, there have been heat records hailing since 2010.
But as early as November there could be a snow hammer in Germany.
The forecasts fluctuate between “enormous opportunities” and “unlikely”.
Weather in Germany: Cold autumn does not guarantee a cold winter - snow forecast difficult
Jung describes the
fact that one can
assume
a
cold winter
due to the cold autumn so far
as "technically complete nonsense" and he does not want to make a promise of snow.
The calculated trend does not allow any forecast, but
thanks to the cooler temperatures
, the
basic requirements are
at least better than in previous years.
Unfortunately, the current forecasts do not offer more than one hope - but at least they do.
(moe) * Merkur.de is part of the Ippen editorial network.
List of rubric lists: © Barbara Gindl / APA / dpa