In September, Angela Merkel had warned against a certain new infection mark for Christmas.
Now the gloomy fears are likely to come true at the beginning of November.
Angela Merkel *
had
warned of
19,200
new
Corona *
infections
every day
at Christmas
time at the end of September
.
This number has now been almost reached at the end of October, well before the gloomy forecast.
At the beginning of the week,
Peter Altmaier
expected the dangerous mark of around 20,000
new infections
at the
turn of
the month.
This ticker is updated continuously.
Munich - In the government statement on the
new package of measures
in the fight against the
coronavirus *
,
Angela Merkel
once again pointed to a difficult time: “Winter will be difficult.
Four long difficult months, but it will end. ”The current“ dramatic situation ”affects everyone.
Therefore, the measures are also "necessary and proportionate".
"In the current
exponential infection process
, the hygiene measures can no longer develop their strength".
When it comes to the exponential increase in the number of cases of infection, one should
believe
the
Chancellor by
now.
Because as early as the end of September she warned of a massive increase in numbers at the time.
At
Christmas there
could be 19,200 new infections a day, she predicted at a virtual
CDU presidium meeting
.
At that time, an average of “only” 1665 new infections were reported per week.
Peter Altmeier: The mark of 20,000 new corona infections will be cracked this week
In the meantime, the Merkel forecast has almost caught up with us.
On Thursday alone, the
Robert Koch Institute *
reported 16,774 new cases in Germany - and the trend is rising.
The gloomy 20,000 mark will likely be cracked this week.
Compared to the previous week, the number increases by around 70.75 percent every day.
"And that means: we will probably have 20,000 new infections a day by the end of this week," said
Federal Minister of Economics Peter Altmaier
on Tuesday at the
Franco-German Business
Day
.
This is a number that one could not even have imagined three weeks ago.
"We are dealing with exponential growth," he sums up.
The head of the World Medical Association,
Ulrich Montgomery
, also warned last week that the 20,000 mark would be reached.
From the number the situation gets out of control because the "chains of infection can no longer be traced".
Coronavirus: Henrik Streeck wants to curb fear of new infections
In mid-October, however, it was the
top virologist Hendrick Streeck
from Bonn
who advised against such “apocalyptic” scenarios in particular: “It may well be that we in France will have up to 20,000 new infections per day.
But that shouldn't scare you at first.
It has been seen in recent months that the number of infections has "decoupled a little" from the really severe cases.
"We have to expect that the number of infections will rise so much that contact tracking will no longer be possible." Therefore, the pure numbers of infections should not be disregarded, but they must be viewed in relation to "the number of tests, which are carried out and in relation to inpatient and intensive care occupancy ".
That would give a complete picture of the
pandemic
.
Merkel and Co. nevertheless invoked quick measures to reduce the pure number of infections - also to prevent further gloomy forecasts for the time being.
(ta) * Merkur.de is part of the nationwide Ippen-Digital editors network.