Corona pandemic is developing more rapidly than Merkel predicted - next record of new infections

In September, Angela Merkel had warned against a certain brand of new infections for Christmas.

Now the gloomy fears are likely to come true at the beginning of November.

• Angela Merkel *

  had

  warned of

  19,200

  new

  Corona *

  infections

  every day

  at Christmas

  time at the end of September

  .

• This number has now been almost reached at the end of October, well before the gloomy forecast.

• At the beginning of the week,

  Peter Altmaier

  expected the dangerous mark of around 20,000

  new infections

  at the

  turn of

  the month.

• This ticker is updated continuously.

Update from October 30th, 9.29 a.m.:

As the

on Friday morning, the

in Germany

risen to

.

The value is now

nationwide

.

A total of

reported

a 7-day incidence value of more than 100.

An overview of the federal states with a 7-day incidence over 100:

• Bremen

  : 106.3

• Berlin

  : 146.1

• Hesse

  : 145.8

• North Rhine-Westphalia

  : 140.0

• Saarland

  : 116.5

• Bavaria

  : 114.1

Corona in Germany: The pandemic is developing more rapidly than Merkel predicted

Update from October 30, 6:20 a.m.:

The number of registered 

 in 

has

 again reached a new

with 

within one day 

.

That comes from the information of the 

 from early Friday morning.

Thus have since the beginning of the pandemic in total 

 in Germany with the 

infected.

The Christmas forecast by Chancellor

, according to which there could be

on Christmas Eve

, is getting closer and closer.

The number of 

related to the virus has

 increased

by

in

one day

to 

.

According to the situation report on Thursday, the number of reproductions, or

short 

, was

in Germany 

(previous day: 1.03).

This means that one infected person infects another person.

The R-value depicts the infection rate about one and a half weeks beforehand.

Corona in Germany: Number of new infections over 18,000

Update from October 29, 9:12 p.m.:

Angela

warned at the end of September that the number of

in Germany at Christmas could be just under 19,000.

To do this, she used a simple calculation.

There was outrage at the time.

Now it is clear:

than the Chancellor had forecast in her bill.

In Germany, more than

in 24 hours

This emerges from calculations by the broadcaster

, which has merged the information from the individual state authorities.

The official numbers from the RKI will follow on Friday.

According to the report, there were also 89 deaths.

143,200 people are currently said to be actively infected in Germany.

Corona in Germany: Angela Merkel's gloomy Christmas forecast will soon become reality

First report from October 29th:

Munich - In the government declaration on the

in the fight against the

,

once again pointed to a difficult time: “Winter will be difficult.

Four long difficult months, but it will end. ”The current“ dramatic situation ”affects everyone.

Therefore, the measures are also "necessary and proportionate".

"In the current

, the hygiene measures can no longer develop their strength".

When it comes to the exponential increase in the number of cases of infection, one should

believe

the

now.

Because as early as the end of September she warned of a massive increase in numbers at the time.

At

could be 19,200 new infections a day, she predicted at a virtual

.

At that time, an average of “only” 1665 new infections were reported per week.

Peter Altmeier: The mark of 20,000 new corona infections will be cracked this week

In the meantime, the Merkel forecast has almost caught up with us.

On Thursday alone, the

reported 16,774 new cases in Germany - and the trend is rising.

The gloomy 20,000 mark will likely be cracked this week.

Compared to the previous week, the number increases by around 70.75 percent every day.

"And that means: we will probably have 20,000 new infections a day by the end of this week," said

on Tuesday at the

Day

.

This is a number that one could not even have imagined three weeks ago.

"We are dealing with exponential growth," he sums up.

The head of the World Medical Association,

, also warned last week that the 20,000 mark would be reached.

From the number the situation gets out of control because the "chains of infection can no longer be traced".

Coronavirus: Henrik Streeck wants to curb fear of new infections

In mid-October, however, it was the

from Bonn

who advised against such “apocalyptic” scenarios in particular: “It may well be that we in France will have up to 20,000 new infections per day.

But that shouldn't scare you at first.

It has been seen in recent months that the number of infections has "decoupled a little" from the really severe cases.

"We have to expect that the number of infections will rise so much that contact tracking will no longer be possible." Therefore, the pure numbers of infections should not be disregarded, but they must be viewed in relation to "the number of tests, which are carried out and in relation to inpatient and intensive care occupancy ".

That would give a complete picture of the

.

Merkel and Co. nevertheless invoked quick measures to reduce the pure number of infections - also to prevent further gloomy forecasts for the time being.