Political situation
Written by: Lin Jian
2020-11-02 07:00
Last update date: 2020-11-02 07:00
Voting will be completed tomorrow (November 3) in the US general election. It is expected that the result will be available on Wednesday (4th) Hong Kong time as soon as possible.
As the most influential country in the world, any changes in the United States' China policy may have a significant impact on the situation in China and Hong Kong. In particular, Hong Kong has become one of the main battlefields of China and the United States after experiencing the anti-amendment turmoil.
Therefore, whether the current President Trump bucked the trend and re-elected after the polls lagging behind, or whether the former Vice President of the Democratic Party, Biden, successfully "sit up right now", has also attracted much attention in Hong Kong.
"Hong Kong 01" reporters contacted many politicians from different factions to find out what they think about this world-renowned election and who they prefer to be elected.
Unexpectedly, among the many establishments who are willing to make a statement, Trump, who has a tough attitude towards China, has also received a lot of support. The reason is also quite the same. That is, the establishment has always hated the "speculation" that they hate—but It happened to the United States.
▼A list of the positions of the establishment and centrists on the US election (click the picture to view)▼
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The establishment-divergent opinions
. Are He Junyao and a certain candidate "relatives
"?
As for the establishment, they support Trump, Biden, or neither of them.
However, most people have one thing in common-that if Trump is re-elected as President, the internal affairs of the United States will become more chaotic.
Because of this, Trump, who has a tough attitude towards China, has many "supporters" among the establishment.
Xie Weijun mentioned that the entire U.S. political arena also has great opinions on China and Hong Kong, and there is not much difference in policy. However, because Trump "is more disgusting", offends too many people, and "creates many problems", such as his re-election. There may be more room for China to "top" on the international stage; Guo Weiqiang of the Federation of Trade Unions pointed out that if Trump is re-elected, the United States will no longer be able to conceal the political agenda such as the dominance of one country and the priority of white people, so that other countries can improve the United States. Be vigilant; Lu Songxiong further believes that Trump "plays his cards randomly" and re-election can "seem to speculate on the United States." For China and Hong Kong, a "pig opponent" is believed to be a bit more advantageous.
Among the establishment factions that support Biden, the answer of Legislative Council Member He Junyao is more interesting.
He who supports Biden seems to have forgotten the Chinese translation of the Democratic vice presidential candidate He Jinli for a while. "In short, what is the family name, my relative." He believes that Biden and He Jinli are more politically successful. More worth looking forward to.
The current US presidential election is considered to be the most far-reaching one that will affect Hong Kong in recent decades.
(Profile photo/AP/Reuters)
Shi Liqian: If Trump is elected, it will be "you die!"
Rong Haien, a member of the New Democrats' Legislative Council, believes that Biden feels "neutral" and seems to regard Russia rather than China as his greatest enemy, so he prefers Biden.
Rong Haien's husband, Yuan Michang, who is a centrist, also supports Biden because he does not like Trump's populist operations.
He also sent a message to Hong Kong people not to have too much expectations of Trump, because Trump’s stance is actually "swaying from left to right." In August last year, it was also called "riots" (riots) in Hong Kong. Include Hong Kong as a bargaining chip in Sino-US trade negotiations.
The DAB Zhang Guojun believes that the situation in which the United States regards China as a competitor will not change, but Biden is relatively reasonable. This is also a good thing for the world, China and Hong Kong.
Shi Liqian, a member of the Legislative Council for the real estate and construction industries, mentioned that neither of them supports them, and the election of the president is an American matter.
But he thinks: "They deserve the leader they have chosen" and said with a smile: "If you continue to elect Trump's man as president, you can only say, "I will die!" "
Tian Beijun: Biden's election is conducive to Hong Kong's investment environment
Tian Beijun, honorary chairman of the Liberal Party with a light blue stand, believes that Biden’s election is good for the world, including China and Hong Kong.
He believes that Biden has political achievements and was former President Obama’s deputy. At that time, Sino-U.S. relations were relatively harmonious, and the United States would not shut up and say "America first" in the world. If Biden sits still and believes in both China and Hong Kong. It is good and will not provoke so many contradictions.
He also pointed out that his friends in the local and American business circles all think that the election of Biden will be beneficial to the investment environment.
For many establishments who believe that Trump's re-election can lead to "American speculation" and that internal affairs are chaotic and there is no time to take care of the containment of China, Tian Beijun does not agree.
He believes that only when the internal affairs of the United States are chaotic, the US president has more motivation to stir up fires all over the world and transfer the contradictions from internal to "external forces."
He believes that in a peaceful world, China has enough room to continue to develop. As soon as 5 to 10 years, it can rival the United States in terms of economic scale and diplomatic strength. Although it may not be able to surpass the United States in terms of technology and military affairs, at least Can greatly shorten the distance.
▼Democrats watch the US election (click to view the picture)▼
Democrats-only a few congressmen are willing to state that Yuan Miming: being tough on China and Hong Kong can save
As for the democrats, more than half of the current legislators have expressed to reporters that they are not interested in expressing their views.
Among the few congressmen who are willing to express their opinions, Lin Zhuoting, the Democratic Party, said that according to his communication with American politicians, whoever becomes the president believes that his position on China will be tough.
However, he believes that Trump’s attitude will be tougher if he wants to compare the two. Education MP Ye Jianyuan did not say who was better elected. Instead, from the perspective of education policy, he quoted the local education magazine "KAPPAN". An authoritative survey pointed out that American voters attach great importance to education policy, and 53% of respondents believe that Trump’s education policy is insufficient.
Former legislator Au Nuoxuan believes that Sino-US economic relations used to be complementary. The United States used China’s cheap labor to make profits. However, since China’s development of high technology, fundamental changes have taken place between the two countries and they have become a competitive economy. Relationship, quite sensitive.
Therefore, he believes that no matter who is elected, the general direction of China policy will not change, and he does not personally support anyone.
Yuan Miming, the former chairman of the People’s Forces, clearly expressed his preference for Trump’s election. She believes that “no matter which party is in power, the policy towards China is the same” is a lie, because Biden’s relationship with China is inextricably linked, and some are like banning WeChat. , I believe that Biden will not dare to make major decisions such as requiring the WTO to strictly enforce the rules and punish China, and then asked "(Former President) Obama has done something for Hong Kong for eight years, has he ever spoken for Hong Kong?" She thinks the current international situation In China, "only Hong Kong will be saved with a tough policy toward China."
The U.S. general election is expected to know the result as soon as Hong Kong time next Wednesday.
(AP)
Native District Councillors: Similar to Trump's "America First" concept
Local member of Yau Tsim Mong District Councillor Li Aoran reflected that this US general election is the one that has affected Hong Kong the most and most profoundly in this century.
He also believes that no matter who is in power, the overall US policy towards China will tend to be tough, but Trump himself may be more motivated to become more wary of China after he is infected with COVID-19.
Li Aoran pointed out that if he has the right to choose, he will be more inclined to Trump, because Trump advocates "America first" and "make the United States stronger again." Regardless of domestic and foreign policies, they are based on the interests of the United States. This concept is consistent with Hong Kong. The local faction of China is actually in the same line.
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