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When can the partial lockdown end? Merkel's confidante now names the new decisive Corona key figure

2020-11-01T22:26:49.920Z


In November, some areas of public life go down due to the sharp rise in corona numbers. Chancellery chief Helge Braun reveals which corona value should be achieved.


In November, some areas of public life go down due to the sharp rise in corona numbers.

Chancellery chief Helge Braun reveals which corona value should be achieved.

  • There are a lot of

    Corona key figures

    that are currently increasing.

  • The

    partial lockdown

    , which will apply in Germany in November, is intended to prevent even more drastic developments.

  • Chancellor Angela Merkel * is aiming for a certain value with the tightened

    corona measures

    .

Berlin - The

corona numbers

rise and rise, no matter what values ​​you look at.

And there are many key figures that are calculated around the coronavirus.

There are the daily numbers of

new infections

recorded

, partly converted to 100,000 inhabitants.

The number of occupied or free

intensive care beds

in hospitals.

The

R-value

*, which indicates how many people, statistically speaking, are infected by an infected person.

The

positive rate

,

i.e.

how many of the tests performed are positive.

And the

seven-day incidence

, i.e. the value of how many people are known to have been infected in an area (for example in a district, state or throughout Germany) in the past seven days, calculated per 100,000 Residents.

A lot of data that is

calculated and used by

the health authorities, ministries, scientists or the

Robert Koch Institute

* (RKI)

, among others

.

On the basis of such figures, cities and municipalities develop so-called Corona traffic lights *;

Based on these values, politicians determined new corona measures.

Corona: seven-day incidence decisive in recent weeks - Merkel's "breakwater lockdown"

One key figure played a central role, especially in the weeks of October, but also before that: the

seven-day incidence

.

35 is the first threshold value in a district, 50 is the limit for declaring

risk areas

within Germany.

More and more areas are currently colored red on the nationwide Corona map.

According to a report by the RKI on Friday, the value is now 104.9 nationwide - above 100 for the first time.

This should change

with the

"breakwater lockdown"

, which will apply in the country from November 2nd.

But what is the goal of Chancellor Angela Merkel and the Prime Minister?

Which value will be decisive in November to see whether the Corona rules work?

Experts repeatedly point out that it is important to keep an eye on several key figures.

In

a position paper

, several

top virologists

advocate not only looking at the number of new infections.

Coronavirus in Germany: Merkel and the prime ministers decide on partial lockdown

In the

press conference after the video switch with the 16 prime ministers

, a journalist asked the Chancellor what value was being looked at and where the goal was.

Merkel's answer: “What do we want to achieve?

We want to make the

contacts

traceable again. ”For the health authorities to manage this, the incidence value would have to be around 50.

She could not give an exact number for each district.

Today's decision by the Federal Chancellor and the Prime Ministers to combat the corona pandemic can be downloaded in the original wording: https://t.co/JOEYQW89sP

- Helge Braun (@HBraun) October 28, 2020

Merkel's head of the Chancellery,

Helge Braun

(CDU *),

reaffirmed this goal

clearly on Friday on the radio at

Bayerischer Rundfunk.

The problem is that in more than three quarters of the cases it is not clear where a person has been infected with the corona virus.

In addition, more and more

health authorities are

reaching their limits.

Braun emphasizes how important it is that the individual contact tracing functions smoothly again, "so that everyone who has had contact with an infected person

goes

into

quarantine

".

Corona virus in Germany: According to the head of the Chancellery, Braun, the number of new infections must not increase any further

Hence his conclusion for the key figure in the next few weeks:

Contact tracking

"We succeeded up to this famous incidence of 50. We should achieve that again so that we

get

stability

." He also looks at the course of the

curve

in daily new infections : By the “half-time” of the partial lockdown, ie in mid-November, when Merkel and the prime ministers want to sit down again, we should see, according to Braun's understanding, “that the curve turns, so to speak, that instead of going up, it is stable to the side or, if possible, already goes down. "

+

Number of corona cases transmitted to the RKI

© Screenshot from the daily situation report of the RKI on Covid-19 from October 29th, 2020

Most recently, SPD health expert Karl Lauterbach mentioned a gigantic number in Markus Lanz's broadcast: According to

Lauterbach's worst-case scenario

, Germany - without the "breakwater lockdown" -

 would have

around

500,000 newly infected people

per day at Christmas 

- and this dynamic would be no longer to brake.

(cibo) * Merkur.de is part of the Ippen-Digital network.

Source: merkur

All news articles on 2020-11-01

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