Two out of three Latino registered voters support the Democratic presidential candidate,
Joe Biden
, and only one prefers that Republican
Donald Trump
remain in the White House, according to the latest poll conducted by Noticias Telemundo, NBC News and the Wall Street Journal. .
The poll also confirms a trend that has been observed in recent months: the Democratic candidate has
more intention to vote
among Hispanics than among voters in general: Biden has 62% of the Latino vote, but 52% of the national average .
Trump, for his part, shows a low voting intention among Latinos, 29%, compared to 42% overall.
The president's management is rejected by Hispanics, in particular regarding the
measures taken against COVID-19
.
For most of those surveyed, the worst is yet to come in the pandemic.
The poll included 1,000 randomly selected voters registered to vote and was conducted between October 29 and October 31.
The
margin of error ranges between 3% and 7%
(it is higher in questions that refer only to Latinos, because less has been asked), but in any case it is always less than the differences in voting intention, so the results are solid.
Who elects Biden
Only a third of Latino voters back Trump.Noticias Telemundo
Biden has even more advantage in some groups.
Among
Latina women
, the Democratic candidate achieves broad support: 71% voted for him or would vote for him, compared to 19% for Trump.
The difference is even bigger than in a poll conducted by NBC News in September, when it got 67% versus 22% for the president.
Biden has a similar proportion of vote intention among
those who only speak Spanish
at home and among Hispanic Catholics (67% versus 23% for Trump, in both cases).
Latinos of all ages, from the age of 18, choose it, whether they were born in the United States (61%) or in other countries (64%).
However, the former vice president has a greater margin of popularity among Mexican-Americans (73% against 19% for Trump).
Compared to the September poll, Biden also added support among voters age 40 and older (63% in October vs. 53% in September).
How they see Trump
The majority of Latino voters surveyed have
a negative assessment
of the president's management: 59% approve of it, against 32% who think otherwise.
In equal proportion, a low percentage of Latinos believe that the country is going in the right direction (24%).
The rejection of the president's management has the highest percentages among
women
(67%), those of
Mexican
origin
(70%) and those who speak mainly
Spanish
(61%).
Among voters
nationwide
overall, Trump achieves slightly less pushback, with 52% of those polled saying they disapprove of his management.
The majority of voters surveyed prefer Biden.
Telemundo News
Still, when compared to 2016, the Republican candidate comes to this election with a more positive personal image.
In the polls four years ago, 76% of
the
Latinos
said they had a negative view, against 58% who did so
in October this year.
The Latino voters consulted also have a different view of the president's actions on two priority issues of the election:
COVID-19 and the economy
.
While 64% said they disapprove of his handling of the pandemic, only 39% said the same with regard to his economic policies.
Hispanic men are the most supportive of Trump on this last point (62%).
How much interest is there in the elections
A large proportion of the Latinos surveyed responded that they are
very interested
in the election (67%).
At the national level, interest among voters in general is even higher (87%).
Along the same lines, Latino voters believe that the outcome of the election will have a major impact on their lives and that of their family, especially among Trump supporters (52%) compared to those who elect Biden (36%). ).
Nationally, the proportion is higher and only a small percentage feel that the election will have little impact on their future (5% of voters for Trump and 7% for Biden).
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Hispanics would also be coming into the election with their determined vote, with 9% of respondents saying they were undecided in the October poll, compared with 12% in September.
What does the future hold
Only 32% of Latinos said they would feel optimism and confidence in what the future holds if
Trump
is elected, compared to 59% who said the same about
Biden
.
Hispanics were more concerned about a second Republican presidency than all voters nationally (63% vs. 55%).
Activists take to the streets to promote the Latino vote in various cities of the country
Oct. 31, 202002: 02
The
pandemic
is the one that arouses the greatest concern.
59% of Latino voters considered that the worst is yet to come, while 22% said that the most difficult is over.
The fear is greatest among Hispanics who were born outside the United States (69%), Catholics (64%), and women (67%).
How they see Congress
More Latinos say they prefer Democratic control of Congress (54%) than voters overall nationwide (48%).
Still, the percentage of undecided about which result would be better in the legislative race is higher.
18% of Latinos said they were not sure which party should dominate against 9% who gave that answer at the national level.
Except for Florida, Biden leads in key states
Another poll of Latino voters conducted by Telemundo just days before the elections also shows an advantage of the Democratic candidate in part of the states considered key to define the race.
With the exception of Florida, Biden has a similar level of support among Hispanics in the key states of Arizona, Florida, Nevada and Texas, to the one candidate Hillary Clinton had on this date in 2016. However, this advantage over Trump it might not be enough to claim victory.
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