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2020 US election: scenarios difficult to imagine - what does Donald Trump do if he loses the election?

2020-11-03T07:45:32.710Z


So shortly before the 2020 US election, the polls continue to look bad for Donald Trump. But will he accept a possible election defeat? What could happen.


So shortly before the 2020 US election, the polls continue to look bad for Donald Trump.

But will he accept a possible election defeat?

What could happen.

  • Until recently,

    US President Donald Trump spread

    wild theories about election manipulation through postal voting.

  • A narrow preliminary election result on

    November 3rd

    could induce Trump to see himself as a winner instead of a loser.

  • The time until the president is sworn in in January could turn into a mudfight and unrest in the

    United States

    .

Washington, DC

-

Donald Trump's

days

as U.S. President may be numbered anytime soon.

In the election polls, things look bad for the Republican.

After the election on November 3, he may

continue to lead the government and stay in the White House until

his challenger

Joe Biden

(Democrats) is

sworn

in - but if he loses the US election, it would be over on January 20 (for now) for him.

But discussions have been

going on

for weeks as to whether Trump

would even recognize

an

election defeat

and whether there will be a

peaceful transfer of power

.

Considerations that appear unworthy of a state like the USA.

But it's not the first choice where this question comes up.

As early as 2016, Donald Trump

refused to say

in a TV duel with his then challenger

Hillary Clinton

(Democrats) that he would accept a possible election defeat.

Not much has changed in this attitude.

In addition: Donald Trump expects an

election result

on November 3rd.

He emphasizes this during appearances, he writes on Twitter.

Otherwise “chaos” could break out, he warned his followers last in Pennsylvania.

The Election should end on November 3rd., Not weeks later!

- Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 30, 2020

An early result, however, seems unlikely.

Due to the

corona pandemic,

there are significantly more postal voters in this US election, so that experts do not necessarily expect a result in the early morning hours of German time as in the previous elections.

US election 2020: How tight will the (preliminary) result be on election evening?

There are two possible

scenarios

around the election result

for election evening

if Donald Trump does not emerge as the winner.

Either he loses very close or he loses by a long way.

The first option is arguably the more problematic.

When it comes to few votes, Republicans and Doanld Trump could

bring up

stories of

irregularities

.

The

postal vote

has been a thorn in the side of the president for a long time.

His conspiracy theories lead to statements from him like: "In my opinion this is the only way we can lose:

massive election fraud

."

These

theories of fraud

, for which he has not yet provided any conclusive evidence, he could refer to in the event of a narrow election result when he is behind.

It can be assumed that he will use his Twitter account, which now has over 87 million followers (as of November 1st),

to express

his

anger

.

The longer the count, the more likely Trump is to smell fraud and infect his supporters, some of whom are armed.

In

an interview with

Zeit

, experts like law professor Lawrence Douglas

do not want to completely rule out

unrest

and violence after the election

.

As

AFP

reports,

arms sales

in the USA rose significantly before the presidential election - fueled both by the corona pandemic and by anti-racism protests in the country, some of which were accompanied by violence.

In Washington DC, shops have barricaded their windows and doors because they

fear

vandalism

on election night.

The police are already preparing for riots.

Washington prepares itself - barricaded itself would be more correct.

They fear in the city: After a few protests this year, things could get restless on election night or afterwards.

#USElection #Washington #ElectionDay @ntvde_Ppolitik @RTLde pic.twitter.com/dleSND7izK

- Christopher Wittich (@CWittich) October 30, 2020

But it would also be possible that Trump is

ahead

after the votes from the

polling stations have been

counted and proclaims himself the winner early on.

According to surveys, many Democratic voters in particular wanted to

use

postal voting

, which is why the result could turn again after these votes are counted.

Will Trump then take back his victory message?

2020 US election: if Donald Trump loses, what will he do until Joe Biden is sworn in?

So if the result is tight and Donald Trump is behind,

challenges to

the

counting

of votes or the election process cannot be ruled out if one takes into account his previous statements.

However, that does not mean that all votes nationwide will be counted again immediately.

Courts

want to see reasonable doubts, especially since every US state has its own right to vote.

The

Electoral College

, the state electorate, is scheduled to make its decision on December 14, 2020.

Until then, there should be decisions.

Also, the

Congress

could scenario nightmare play a role in a possible to the election.

And another important question arises in another scenario: Should Trump lose and admit this, what political options will he still have until Joe Biden is sworn in on January 20, 2021?

This time is called the

“lame duck phase”

, which means the transition

phase

between two presidents.

Lame duck because the power of the executives is dwindling in the meantime, ostensibly about the orderly handover.

But the president would then have nothing more to lose that could make the status dangerous.

It is the time for less popular but potentially momentous decisions.

In

the last hours of his term in office

,

Barack Obama

(Democrats) released four prisoners from the Guantánamo prison camp and banned oil drilling in parts of the Arctic.

2020 US election: what does Donald Trump do when he's no longer in the White House?

At some point, January 20, 2021 will inevitably come when, according to the constitution, the president must be sworn in at noon.

If Trump loses the US election, his

term of office will end

.

There is already speculation about whether Donald Trump will

actually leave

the

White House

.

The

Secret Service

, its current bodyguard, may have to carry

him

out of the White House.

Will Donald Trump then continue to be politically active as President without much previous political experience?

Will he re-enter the

real estate

business and give the world new

Trump towers

?

All of this is speculation, because an election defeat is not really an option for Trump.

At one point, however, during the Georgia election campaign, he said what could happen if he lost to “the worst candidate in political history”: “Can you imagine me losing?

What am I going to do? ”However, his answer is not clear either:“ I will not feel so good.

Maybe I have to

leave

the 

country 

.

I dont know."

Source: merkur

All news articles on 2020-11-03

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