Paula lugones
11/03/2020 1:41 PM
Clarín.com
World
Updated 11/03/2020 1:41 PM
If Donald Trump wins the elections in the United States, even by a few votes, it is likely that we will see in the next four years
an ornate model of the
purest
Trumpism
.
More of the same,
but radicalized
.
The president will ratify his self-proclaimed
“winner”
credentials
and that will take his personalism to stratospheric levels.
It will deepen its
fights with the press
and also with the Republican party establishment, which has so far tolerated it, but needs to find a new leader by 2024. The
"rift"
in society will widen.
If until now his advisers complained that the president did not formulate long-term strategies and paid little attention to them, now he will guide the White House on pure instinct and the chaos that reigned in the Oval Office these years may increase.
Look also
US elections home stretch: photos of Trump and Biden in key states
According to his former security adviser John Bolton, the president in these years used to base his decisions not only on his personal impulses but also on how they would be registered in the US electorate because
his great obsession
was reelection.
Bolton affirmed that, if Trump managed to stay in power, he will no longer have that tie and that would be
a "danger"
for the United States and the world.
Trump will also not work to leave a fertile garden for the future Republican candidate of 2024 because he cares little about what is left behind him.
He will go to the bottom in whatever he wants.
The only brake could be put on him in Congress, especially if the Democrats manage to win back the Senate, an
unlikely
equation
if the tycoon stays in the White House.
As much as he wants to ignore the issue, Trump must immediately face the reality of the re-outbreak of the coronavirus that will worsen in the winter.
Will you fire Dr. Anthony Fauci, as you suggested?
It's possible: Until now, the nation's top health expert had become a celebrity and used to contradict him, something
Trump hates
.
He kept him in office only because casting him took away votes.
If Trump wins, he will impose an overloaded "Trumpist" model.
Photo: AFP
It will also seek that the economy that suffered a blow from the pandemic is revitalized soon: although in this last quarter there was a growth of over 7 points, experts predict a brake due to the current outbreak of the covid.
It is an issue that particularly concerns Trump and will try anyway
not to shut down the economy
despite the peak.
It will seek to negotiate a new stimulus package with Congress.
It will continue to promote the removal of regulations, especially environmental ones, to encourage growth and taxes on large companies will remain low.
It will privilege
fossil fuels and fracking
over clean ones as before.
During his campaign, Trump did not offer great news regarding his 2016 slogans. He will continue with the slogan "America first", which translates into
a closed border policy
with restrictions on immigration;
greater trade protectionism;
permanent fight for tariffs with China;
the breaking of multilateral commitments and little intervention in external conflicts.
It will not raise taxes (it will even encourage them to continue to decrease) and may be looking to realize its ambitious $ 2 trillion infrastructure plan.
After all, he is
a construction entrepreneur
and will seek to make his mark on bridges, airports and roads.
It will try to dismantle the health system of its predecessor, "Obamacare", it will not promote the rights of the LGTBQ community and it will encourage demands in court for measures that limit abortion.
Citizens who love guns can rest assured that it will
not promote more controls
for the purchase or carrying.
Externally, the United States has already been losing its global influence, according to
the political scientist Joseph Nye
told
Clarín
, and it is likely that it will continue its policy of tension with the European Union and NATO, while trying to advance in adding more countries to the Middle East peace agreement.
Latin America will
just stay on their radar
for the theme Venezuela (perhaps to meet with Nicolas Maduro) and will support, as stated in an interview with
Clarin
his former adviser in the area Juan Cruz, in negotiating debt to the government of Alberto Fernández , although "both governments are suspicious of each other."
Washington, correspondent
ap
Look also
Elections in the United States 2020: what the polls say and when the results will be known
Elections in the US: one by one, the decisive states to win the White House
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