The corona crisis has less of an impact on the German economy than previously assumed.
The five economic modes come to the assessment.
But there are risks.
The current annual report of the five
economic practices will be
published
on Wednesday
.
The council's verdict is surprisingly positive.
You can find
all the current information on the
corona crisis
in Germany in our news ticker.
Wiesbaden - The
corona pandemic
and the associated economic damage are
, according to
the five
economic
methods, less bad than expected.
This can be seen in the current annual report that the
Süddeutsche Zeitung
is available.
The Advisory Council announced that the German economy was shrinking by 5.1 percent - a better economy than had previously been
feared
in the course of the
Corona crisis
.
The second wave of the pandemic * - and with it the so-called
lockdown light
, which has been in
effect
since November 2nd - therefore has only minor economic consequences, since the sectors affected, such as gastronomy, culture and sports, only make up a small proportion of the corporate landscape in Germany to have.
As the
SZ
writes, the damage would be less than after the
financial crisis in 2008
if the
economists were right
with their forecast.
Surname | Expert council for assessing macroeconomic development |
abbreviation | The five economic modes |
founding | 1963, main location Wiesbaden |
task | The economic modes deal with the economic development of Germany |
Members | Current: Lars Feld (since 2011), Veronika Grimm (since 2020), Monika Schnitzer (since 2020), Achim Truger (since 2019), Volker Wieland (since 2013) |
Economic ways: Corona pandemic affects economy less than expected
Experts had put the economic slump due to the
Corona *
pandemic
, which has ruled Germany since March, twice as high.
This would mean that the economy would be more optimistic than the research institutes and the
federal government
- they are assuming a
loss
of around 5.5 percent
- continues the
Süddeutsche
.
The economy is right: #Short work is our best tool in times of crisis - we secure jobs and ensure that companies can get started again after the crisis.
@BMWi_Bund https://t.co/7R7788m21k
- Hubertus Heil (@hubertus_heil) November 10, 2020
"Politicians acted quickly and decisively during the crisis," says the report that will be officially published on Wednesday.
Thus, the
economic
wise men express themselves
positively about the
corona measures
decided by the federal government
and give a clear judgment on the
corona policy
of Chancellor
Angela Merkel
.
The
SZ
attributes the
more positive tones about the government
to the two new members of the council:
Monika Schnitzer
and
Veronika Grimm
.
In previous years the Council had been very critical of politics at times.
Economic methods for the corona crisis: Risks from infection everywhere
For Germany, which is
strong in
exports, special attention is paid to developments abroad:
China
, the
USA
and the European region recently had strong economic growth in the third quarter.
In the euro area, according to the
SZ
, the
economy
will
shrink
by seven percent in 2020, but it should strengthen again by five percent in 2021.
According to the report, the expected growth in Germany in 2021 is 3.7 percent, writes the
SZ
.
However, there are risks due to the increasing infection
situation
*, according to the
economic wise men
.
But even if the
lockdown
lasted until December and parts of the retail trade were to be closed, this would only push the annual value down slightly.
The situation would be different if the
industry
were hit again as hard as the first lockdown in the spring, writes the
Süddeutsche Zeitung
with reference to the report.
Every year the five
economic
experts
meet to
prepare an appraisal of the economic situation in Germany.
The report will be
handed over
to Chancellor
Angela Merkel
on Wednesday, November 11th
.
It gives the
federal government
an insight into the economic developments that can be expected in the country.
(aka) * Merkur.de is part of the Ippen-Digital network.
List of rubric lists: © Christoph Schmidt