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Corona exit? Economic modes with surprising prognoses and clear words about Merkel's politics

2020-11-11T09:21:18.288Z


The corona crisis has less of an impact on the German economy than previously assumed. The five economic modes come to the assessment. But there are risks.


The corona crisis has less of an impact on the German economy than previously assumed.

The five economic modes come to the assessment.

But there are risks.

  • The current annual report of the five

    economic practices will be

    published

    on Wednesday

    .

  • The council's verdict is surprisingly positive.

  • You can find

    all the current information on the

    corona crisis

    in Germany in our news ticker.

Wiesbaden - The

corona pandemic

and the associated economic damage are

, according to

the five

economic

methods, less bad than expected.

This can be seen in the current annual report that the

Süddeutsche Zeitung

is available.

The Advisory Council announced that the German economy was shrinking by 5.1 percent - a better economy than had previously been

feared

in the course of the

Corona crisis

.

The second wave of the pandemic * - and with it the so-called

lockdown light

, which has been in

effect

since November 2nd - therefore has only minor economic consequences, since the sectors affected, such as gastronomy, culture and sports, only make up a small proportion of the corporate landscape in Germany to have.

As the

SZ

writes, the damage would be less than after the

financial crisis in 2008

if the

economists were right

with their forecast.

Surname

Expert council for assessing macroeconomic development

abbreviation

The five economic modes

founding

1963, main location Wiesbaden

task

The economic modes deal with the economic development of Germany

Members

Current: Lars Feld (since 2011), Veronika Grimm (since 2020), Monika Schnitzer (since 2020), Achim Truger (since 2019), Volker Wieland (since 2013)

Economic ways: Corona pandemic affects economy less than expected

Experts had put the economic slump due to the

Corona *

pandemic

, which has ruled Germany since March, twice as high.

This would mean that the economy would be more optimistic than the research institutes and the

federal government

- they are assuming a

loss

of around 5.5 percent

- continues the

Süddeutsche

.

The economy is right: #Short work is our best tool in times of crisis - we secure jobs and ensure that companies can get started again after the crisis.

@BMWi_Bund https://t.co/7R7788m21k

- Hubertus Heil (@hubertus_heil) November 10, 2020

"Politicians acted quickly and decisively during the crisis," says the report that will be officially published on Wednesday.

Thus, the

economic

wise men express themselves

positively about the

corona measures

decided by the federal government

and give a clear judgment on the

corona policy

of Chancellor

Angela Merkel

.

The

SZ

attributes the

more positive tones about the government

to the two new members of the council:

Monika Schnitzer

and

Veronika Grimm

.

In previous years the Council had been very critical of politics at times.

Economic methods for the corona crisis: Risks from infection everywhere

For Germany, which is

strong in

exports, special attention is paid to developments abroad:

China

, the

USA

and the European region recently had strong economic growth in the third quarter.

In the euro area, according to the

SZ

, the

economy

will

shrink

by seven percent in 2020, but it should strengthen again by five percent in 2021.

According to the report, the expected growth in Germany in 2021 is 3.7 percent, writes the

SZ

.

However, there are risks due to the increasing infection

situation

*, according to the

economic wise men

.

But even if the

lockdown

lasted until December and parts of the retail trade were to be closed, this would only push the annual value down slightly.

The situation would be different if the

industry

were hit again as hard as the first lockdown in the spring, writes the

Süddeutsche Zeitung

with reference to the report.

Every year the five

economic

experts

meet to

prepare an appraisal of the economic situation in Germany.

The report will be

handed over

to Chancellor

Angela Merkel

on Wednesday, November 11th

.

It gives the

federal government

an insight into the economic developments that can be expected in the country.

(aka) * Merkur.de is part of the Ippen-Digital network.

List of rubric lists: © Christoph Schmidt

Source: merkur

All news articles on 2020-11-11

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