The winter in Germany will probably start quite mildly, as two models predict.
White Christmas could therefore be canceled again.
At the beginning of November, the US weather
agency NOAA
and the
UK ECMWF made
forecasts for the coming winter.
Both models predict a very
comfortable start
to winter.
Will there be
snowfall
in Germany
at Christmas
?
Munich - November started
quite warmly
in
Germany
, but towards the end of the last autumn month it will be a bit icier, winter is already in the starting blocks.
As
long-term
forecasts
on
wetter.com
show, there is a cold Advent season and
snow
rather
unlikely
for the festival
.
But how exactly does this tendency come about?
Weather: NOAA and ECMWF forecast mild December - eastern Germany is particularly warm
The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (
NOAA
) determined in its winter forecast for Germany
that December was
only slightly too
warm
.
Real winter days are therefore not excluded, but an exact forecast for the Christmas season cannot yet be made.
So you could be prepared for winter and cold days.
Considering the entire
three months of
December to February, it can be seen that the weather * is
generally milder
than the individual month of December.
The start of 2021 could also be a bit milder, the probability of a longer,
wintry, icy section
is quite low, but still possible.
Since longer-term forecasts
are calculated
using
computers
, various models must be used that meteorologists can use to orient themselves.
The European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (
ECMWF
) in Reading, England, is often used in Europe for longer-term weather forecasts.
With this system, too,
Germany
lies
in a warm region, especially the
east of
the country.
Weather: Expert right with "mild winter" for Germany - heat bad for coronaviruses?
It can be concluded that both systems
forecast
the coming month
quite similarly
.
"For December, an increase of two degrees above the long-term average is expected for January even an increase of three degrees," said meteorologist
Dominik Jung
of
wetter.com
against
Bild.de
.
He predicts a “real mild winter,
not a
winter of the century with snow and frost.” So there could be a comparatively
warm
winter in Germany.
The warmer temperatures are coming towards Germany in the
pandemic
.
"When it's warm, these coronaviruses * usually get weaker, and the diseases weaken," said virologist
Alexander Kekulé
on
ARD
.
(ajr)