In Germany, the restructuring of the automotive industry is likely to change the face of many regions in the coming years.
The winners, the losers.
Berlin - According to a study, the Berlin and Munich areas as well as several university cities have the best growth prospects after the
Corona
*
crisis.
Five of the ten growth winners up to 2030 come from eastern Germany, according to a long-term forecast published on Friday by the research institute
Prognos
.
The top ten in the east include the city of
Potsdam
, the district of Dahme-Spreewald with the new BER airport, the district of Oder-Spree with the future factory of the US electric car manufacturer
Tesla
* and the university cities of
Leipzig
and
Rostock
.
Hessen is there with
Darmstadt
.
Post-Corona winner: the area around Munich and Berlin beckons the strongest growth until 2023
In
Bavaria
, the districts around Munich
Dachau
,
Ebersberg
and
Erding
as well as the university city of
Regensburg
are predicted to have the best growth prospects.
The "Handelsblatt" had previously reported on the study.
The study predicts economic growth and employment development in the 401 German districts and urban districts.
Economically efficient regions will therefore continue to grow more rapidly even after the crisis.
This applies to metropolises such as Berlin,
Munich
,
Hamburg
and
Cologne
, but also to
Jena
,
Kassel
,
Darmstadt
,
Augsburg
,
Essen
and
Münster
.
Study: Regions with old industries and declining population are threatened with problems
According to the information, however, circles in which the corona crisis and structural problems overlap: old industries, low incomes, aging populations and declining population numbers have difficulties.
According to Prognos, the shock of the corona crisis weakened all regions economically.
Many would return to the growth path - but not necessarily to the old level.
According to the researchers, circles in which sectors such as hospitality, travel, aviation and the auto industry dominate are particularly affected by the crisis.
This applies, for example, to the car cities
Wolfsburg
,
Ingolstadt
,
Dingolfing
and
Schweinfurt
.
Study: Economy will not return to pre-crisis levels until 2023
Prognos boss Christian Böllhoff expects that Germany will not achieve the economic performance of the pre-Corona year 2019 again until 2023.
Subsequently, the labor shortage increasingly slows growth.
In total, the number of workers in Germany will decrease by seven percent between 2019 and 2030, according to Prognos.
(dpa) Merkur.de is part of the nationwide Ippen Digital editorial network.