Alberto Fernández vs. Horacio Rodríguez Larreta: a survey measured the grief of the moment, province by province

Eduardo Paladini

11/30/2020 12:20 PM

• Clarín.com

• Politics

Updated 11/30/2020 12:20 PM

At some point,

and

even treated each other as "friends."

It was while they watched their figures grow steeply in the first months of the pandemic.

But there was a break and today, just months after that political honeymoon, the President and the head of the Government were at

.

Each one in their corner are the two exponents of the crack with the best image.

And how are the numbers between them?

A

accessed by

updated that bid.

Province by province.

And there is no single conclusion.

The survey that gets into this dispute is from

, a firm with origins in Córdoba that has published a ranking of governors since May and was also the first to release a national measurement of Larreta this year.

In its November poll, it also included Sergio Massa in the evaluation.

Some general conclusions of the Fernández-Larreta duo:

- In the

analysis

,

wins

, who has a better image than Larreta in 19 of the 24 provinces. 

- In the

analysis

, part of that

: the head of government prevails in several of the largest districts (CABA, Córdoba and Mendoza) and in Buenos Aires, the mother of all battles, they remain even. 

- Towards the

,

also has a

, at least potentially: due to its greater level of ignorance, it could grow.

Alberto found his North

The tour of the President's image, as

, had some

.

An abrupt rise when the coronavirus arrived, until reaching very high numbers;

then a steady decline until October;

and a slight rebound in November, which opens a question mark: Has Fernández

or was this month just a relief?

numbers

coincide with other consultancies regarding the recent improvement.

Compared to October, the President

.

He is still by far the leader of the Frente de Todos with the best image, far above Massa and Cristina Kirchner. 

The best, and arguably even "outstanding" in terms of image, shows it in the North.

In

.

And in five other provinces of the region it exceeds 60 points: Santiago del Estero (65.6%), Catamarca (63.5%), Formosa (63.2%), Misiones (62.6%) and La Rioja ( 69.2%).

It also has very favorable figures in Neuquén (68.2%), La Pampa (68.1%) and San Juan (65.3%).

Alberto Fernández and Cristina Kirchner, on March 1 in Congress.

The president shows a better image than his vice.

The worst, on the other hand, the President suffers in some of the largest and most urban districts in the center of the country.

There are three that almost compete as the "capital of anti-Kirchnerism":

 the

where Fernández's image differential is

.

1) In the City, it combines 35.9% in favor with 61.2% against.

2) In Córdoba, + 38.3% with - 58.1%.

3) In Mendoza, + 40.2% with -57.3%.

In his favor, and unlike Cristina, the President ends up with

in

(+ 59.4% and - 37.4%) and

(+ 53.6% and - 41.8%).

Larreta points to the Center

The image of the Buenos Aires head of government is the

of that of the President when confronted;

but they have 

when they are analyzed within their own spaces (Frente de Todos y Juntos por el Cambio).

Where do the opposite sides of the same phenomenon appear?

In the

and in some northern provinces, 

and refractory to Macrismo.

In the first group are

.

They are the same ones in which the President has a negative image differential.

There, the head of government shows very good numbers.

- In the City, the district that it administers, it has the highest positive (65.7%).

Complete with a negative of 33.8%.

- In Córdoba, it adds up + 60.8% and + 25.7%.

- In Mendoza, + 52.7% and - 31%.

Horacio Rodríguez Larreta and Mauricio Macri.

The head of government has a better image than that of the President.

The

over the President in

(+ 54.7% and - 32.2%) and

(+ 58.4% and - 20.1%).

And although it remains below, it shows good numbers in Buenos Aires (58.1% and - 37.2%), Corrientes (+ 56.8% and - 30.5%) and La Pampa (+ 56.8% and - 30 ,2%).

Due to his

, Larreta does well in provinces where strong rejection of Mauricio Macri persists.

A clear example is Santiago del Estero: the head of government has 55.6% positive and the former president 76.8% negative.

This, in a way,

, who captures support in areas that are refractory to Cristina.

The most emblematic case is Santa Cruz, where the head of government and the President are almost tied in favor (around 55%) and score about 12 points from the former president.

In favor of the head of government, there is his level of knowledge, lower than that of Fernández.

Potentially, it has room to grow.

In the

survey

there were provinces where they inquired about their figure and

(Catamarca).

Only in the two Buenos Aires did this item finish below double digits.