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Written by: Zheng Cuibi, Kwong Xiaobin
2020-12-03 08:00
Last update date: 2020-12-03 08:00
The fourth wave of new crown pneumonia in Hong Kong is severe, with 103 more confirmed cases on Wednesday (2nd).
Zhang Zhujun, director of the Infectious Diseases Division of the Center for Health Protection of the Department of Health, said bluntly that the epidemic has not come down, and it is unknown when the number of confirmed diagnoses will drop.
Xu Shuchang, a government expert consultant and chair professor of the Department of Respiratory System of the Chinese University, also described the epidemic as "I don't know when it will reach its peak."
He Boliang, director of the Infection and Infectious Diseases Center of the University of Hong Kong, believes that the worst time of the fourth wave is still in the future. Tracking and testing have not been done well enough. Cases with unknown origin account for a high percentage, and they will still increase if they fail to fall. Trends, it is expected that lagging in tracking may again lead to outbreaks among high-risk groups.
The fourth wave of the epidemic was severe, and Xu Shuchang described the epidemic as "I don't know when it will reach its peak."
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Zhang Zhujun said that the number of confirmed diagnoses is still high and shows no signs of falling. When asked if the "normal Christmas" cannot be celebrated, she said it is unknown when the number of confirmed diagnoses will drop.
Xu Shuchang pointed out that although the number of confirmed diagnoses dropped slightly in the first two days, it immediately rebounded to over a hundred cases. Just looking at the number for one or two days does not reflect the epidemic. It needs to look at the seven-day average. He said it is unknown when it will "top" and it is difficult to estimate. Will it continue to rise in the future?
Since the government has introduced a new round of restrictive measures, he believes that whether the epidemic can be alleviated depends on whether the public can comply with the latest epidemic prevention regulations and whether private companies will follow the arrangement of working from home, which can reduce the flow of people.
Xu Shuchang: The proportion of cases with unknown source is still high
In recent days, the proportion of cases with unknown source is still high. Xu Shuchang said that the situation is worrying. Because the source cannot be found, "it may actually be that a big class of people are infected."
Among the confirmed cases announced yesterday, several people had their onset dates between November 13 and 20, which were half a month away from the date of diagnosis. Xu Shuchang believed that these people believed that they were not infected and only accepted when testing became more convenient. Testing, I believe that after the government introduces more testing locations and methods, the situation may not happen again.
He Boliang believes that the worst time for the fourth wave is still in the future. Tracking and detection are still not done well enough. Cases with unknown origin account for a high percentage, and there is still an upward trend if they fail to fall back.
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The director of the Infection and Infectious Diseases Center of the University of Hong Kong, He Boliang, said on a radio program this morning that the worst of the fourth wave is still coming, tracking and testing have not been done well enough, and dancing groups have caused widespread community transmission.
Cases of unknown origin accounted for a high percentage, and there was still an upward trend after failing to fall back. It is expected that the tracking lags behind, which may again cause outbreaks among high-risk groups.
He Boliang believes that the worst time for the fourth wave is still coming, tracking and detection have not been done well enough, and dancing groups have caused widespread community spread.
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He Boliang pointed out that it usually takes 2 to 3 days for the groups currently undergoing compulsory testing to report, and there is a delay in tracking that increases the risk of transmission.
The authorities announced that there were cases of infection at the Lohas Park site. He pointed out that it is practically difficult to wear masks when working on the site, but it is easy to spread each other when the masks are removed. Even if the fines are increased to deal with those who violate social distancing measures, it will be difficult to solve the above The actual operation is difficult.
He Boliang continued that after the outbreak of the epidemic in November, the number of patients over the age of 60 increased. A medical friend reported that a case had to be intubated to maintain cardiopulmonary function as soon as he was admitted to the hospital.
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At the peak of the fourth wave, there are more than 120 bursts per day
Yuan Guoyong also said last night (2nd) that more than a hundred more confirmed cases have been recorded in Hong Kong. "Everyone must understand that what happened today is what happened in the past 7 to 14 days." He expects the government to tighten social measures and believes The effect will appear after the 14th. People are urged to stay at home and not go out to eat together. Because the current winter is extremely conducive to the survival of the virus, it is expected that there will be more than 120 cases at any time every day or at the peak. This encourages cooperation between restaurants and the public. I believe Finally, the epidemic can be controlled.
He also described the fight against the epidemic as a "half marathon" so far, and it is expected that the vaccine will be distributed to all of Hong Kong by the end of next year.
He also understands that everyone feels hard to fight against the fatigue of the epidemic, but he hopes that everyone will cooperate and fulfill their civic responsibilities.
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