The upcoming EU summit will be another test for the European Union.
The blocked budget and Brexit threaten to worsen the tense situation.
Poland
and
Hungary
block the budget in protest against the new
rule of law
mechanism
.
If no agreement is found, the
EU
will have to make do
with the first
emergency budget
in 32 years
Greece and Cyprus
fear
war with Turkey
and have a clear concern for
Chancellor Angela Merkel
.
This article is continuously updated
Update from December 10th, 12:36 p.m.:
The Hungarian Prime Minister
Viktor Orban
expects an agreement in the
EU budget
dispute
at the summit on Thursday.
"We are only a few centimeters away from a consensus," said Orban when he arrived at the conference venue in Brussels.
A good deal is near.
"We're fighting for unity," said
Orban
.
But it is also about "a victory of common sense".
The
states and people hard hit
by the
corona pandemic
need help.
“We have to behave sensibly,” added the right-wing conservative head of government.
Hungary, together with Poland,
blocked the
€
1.8 trillion budget package including
€ 750 billion in corona aid
.
The reason was their rejection of a new
rule of law clause
.
On Wednesday, the German EU Council Presidency negotiated a compromise with both states that is intended to lift the blockade.
All other EU states still have to agree to this.
EU summit: Merkel in shortage - Greece and Cyprus confront Chancellor with threat from Turkey
Update from December 9, 9:40 p.m.:
Greece and Cyprus
are
very worried
ahead of the
EU summit
.
Both countries announce
that they will confront
Chancellor Angela Merkel
.
They published a long
letter to the Chancellor
on Twitter
and made a clear request.
The
German submarine deliveries to Turkey
must be stopped, warn the Greek and Cypriot authorities.
They fear an
escalation of the territorial conflict
with the Turkish ruler.
They accuse
Erdogan of
illegally searching for natural gas in the eastern Mediterranean.
Turkey meanwhile describes the search as legitimate.
There were already
threats
of
war
from Turkey in
this regard in the summer
.
If the worst comes to the worst, at least no
German weapons
should be involved
, hope Greece and Cyprus.
EU summit: Two pressing problems threaten to plunge the EU into the next crisis
First report on December 9, 2:31 p.m .:
Brussels - The
EU summit of heads of state and government
on Thursday and Friday is eagerly awaited.
The focus of the summit of the 27 EU states is likely to be the
veto
of Poland and Hungary against the EU budget and the faltering
Brexit
negotiations
.
Other items on the agenda concern the current developments in the Corona crisis, climate change, security issues and possible sanctions against Turkey.
Corona aid: Poland and Hungary block budget and corona aid
For several weeks,
Poland
and
Hungary
have been
blocking
the budget and the planned corona aid.
In essence, both countries are concerned with preventing the payment of
EU funds
from being tied to the new
rule of law mechanism
.
With this new instrument it should be possible for the first time in the history of the
EU
to
sanction
countries that violate the democratic principles of the EU
.
For the first time, it is
now
possible for an EU
member
to cancel or reduce funds if, for example, the fundamental principles of the
rule of law have
been
violated
.
EU summit: Poland and Hungary fear sanctions
Over the past few months,
Poland
and
Hungary
have repeatedly been accused of violating democratic principles and
undermining
the
rule of law
in their countries.
For a long time Poland has been accused of unduly influencing the judiciary and criticized in Hungary for restricting media freedom.
The two countries therefore fear that they will be particularly affected by the new mechanism.
Although
proceedings against the violation of fundamental principles of the EU according to Article 7 have been
initiated
against
Warsaw
and
Budapest
, this process requires the unanimity of the
EU members
in order to
impose sanctions
on
a member state
.
Since Poland and Hungary can be expected to keep their backs free, there will be no sanctions for violations.
With the new mechanism, the Council of Ministers only needs the approval of at least 15 states, representing more than 65% of the EU population, in order to initiate
measures
.
Veto by Poland and Hungary could mean fatal consequences for many countries in the midst of the Corona crisis
If
Poland
and
Hungary
continue their blockade, this would have fatal consequences for the EU budget.
Because without approval, the
EU
would have to get by
with a much smaller
emergency budget
than the planned 1.1 trillion euros
from 2021
.
In addition, the two countries are blocking the € 750 billion
Corona aid package
.
Southern European countries in particular, such as Spain and Italy, which are sometimes struggling with an economic slump of 12.6% due to the Corona crisis, are dependent on payments from the Corona funds.
But Hungary and Poland are also dependent on the funds from the EU budget and Corona aid.
If no new budget is passed, the payments to the countries will be significantly lower and the Corona aid will initially be completely absent.
Shortly before the EU summit: possible agreement between the EU and Poland and Hungary
Before the
EU summit
, however, it was announced that the
EU is
about to reach a
compromise
in the negotiations with
Poland
and
Hungary
.
On Wednesday, the Polish Foreign Minister Jaoslaw Gowin announced that the differences of opinion with the other member states had "practically disappeared".
A compromise could have been agreed with the German EU Council Presidency, which could also be accepted by the other members.
So far, the federal government has not wanted to comment on these statements.
Brexit negotiations: European Union faces another fiasco
The stalling
Brexit
negotiations
are likely to
cause
another problem
.
European
State
Minister
Michael Roth (SPD)
lamented
last Tuesday
that there has been no substantial progress towards a future trade agreement for a long time
.
A meeting between EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and British Prime Minister Boris Johnson on Wednesday should bring some movement into the negotiations.
If an agreement is not reached by 2021, serious consequences for the economy can be expected.
The
transition
phase ends on December 31
, during which Great Britain is still subject to
EU rules
.
If no
trade agreement is then
established, higher tariffs and long waiting times at borders are feared.
(phf) dpa