Christmas in lockdown - and Easter too?
The President of the World Doctors believes that tough measures until spring are likely.
Health Minister Spahn is talking about the summer.
Germany has been in
corona lockdown
since Wednesday
- the measures should apply until January 10th.
World Medical President Montgomery
believes that the hoped-for incidence values will not be reached until the end of January at the earliest, if all citizens really participate.
The
hygiene rules
will also determine everyday life for much longer, says Health Minister
Spahn
.
Berlin - The tense view of January 10, 2021: Will this Sunday be the end of the
tough lockdown in Germany
?
The new
corona rules have been in effect
since Wednesday
- until then.
But many experts and politicians have little hope that the country will be able to breathe a sigh of relief on this day.
Instead,
World Medical President Frank Ulrich Montgomery is
already
expecting
an extension of the lockdown.
And he is not entirely alone with this assumption.
The goal of Chancellor Angela Merkel, her confidants and the country leaders is an incidence value of
50 new corona infections
per 100,000 inhabitants within one week.
At the moment, however, there are counties with values of over 600. So the way is long.
The Robert Koch Institute reported 27,728 new infections on Wednesday morning.
For a few days the numbers will rise because people got infected before the lockdown, because of the
incubation period
are only registered later as positive cases.
"Only then will an improvement in the situation become visible at all," said Merkel on the Sunday after the
Corona summit
.
“We can't yet say how things will continue at the beginning of January,” she clarified.
The President of the
World Doctors
does not consider it realistic
to reach the 50s incidence as early as the beginning of January
.
Model calculations
would show that the lower values nationwide could appear in the statistics at the end of January at the earliest, despite the tough lockdown.
He told the newspapers of the
Funke media group
.
But everyone would have to adhere to the rules for this.
World Medical President Montgomery: "Have to live with various lockdown measures at least until Easter"
In addition, there will soon be “the light at the end of the tunnel”, as politicians
like to call
the
corona vaccinations
.
You could possibly start earlier than previously thought.
But here, too, Montgomery is skeptical: the effect will only gradually improve the situation.
"We will have to
live with various lockdown measures
at least until
Easter
," is his gloomy conclusion.
There is particular fear of further
waves of pandemics that will sweep across
the country.
Montgomery therefore appeals to politicians not to bring the country back up too quickly after the lockdown.
A third corona wave might have to be fought with even tougher measures.
“We need a
yo-yo effect
during the lockdown phases
avoid “, says the world medical president.
Corona measures in Germany: Health Minister Spahn sees a summer perspective
Even if there will be another time without a lockdown, the
everyday and hygiene rules
in the fight against the
corona virus will be
not disappear anytime soon, even despite the approval of a vaccine.
“We will also need these rules well into next year,” Health Minister Jens Spahn told
n-tv
.
A vaccination quota of 55 to 65 percent of the population must be achieved before further lockdowns can be ruled out.
So it will take some time, but “we can justifiably say with confidence that
we will be able to return to normality step by step
from the
summer
onwards
,” explains Spahn.
Hence: there is a summer perspective.
“Even with the #vaccine, we have to continue to take care of each other in the coming weeks and months.
Just because we start vaccinating doesn't mean that the disease and infection are over, ”says @jensspahn in the @tagesthemen.
https://t.co/kzvH7UATjc
- BMG (@BMG_Bund) December 16, 2020
Model calculations for the corona lockdown: Target values will probably not be reached on January 10th
Even before the new
corona rules were adopted in Germany
, Saarland University was working on models of which lockdown measures could lead to improvement and when.
According to these calculations, the goal of January 10th is almost unattainable.
At the beginning of January Merkel and the prime ministers want to meet again and assess the corona situation.
A quieter
Christmas
and
New Year's Eve
are already safe.
How it
looks
with
Easter
will be decided in 2021.
(cibo)
List of rubric lists: © imago images / Jürgen Heinrich