Exactly one year after the assassination that shocked the Middle East, and the alert for fear of high revenge • Estimation: The act of revenge may come from Iraq, Syria or Yemen
The American submarine "Georgia" in the Persian Gulf // Photo: AP
Suleimani assassination scene // Photo: AP
Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei // Photo: EPI
A year after the assassination of Quds Force commander in the Revolutionary Guards Qassem Suleimani, and it can be said that his strategic capabilities in managing the global terrorist system and securing the interests of the Ayatollahs regime - are what hastened the decision in the White House that the time has come to eliminate him.
In recent days and ahead of the anniversary of his assassination, there have been explicit threats from Tehran of the Iranians to avenge the assassination of Suleimani and the head of Iran's military nuclear program, Muhsin Fahrizadeh.
According to reports in the Israeli media as well as in the Arab and foreign media, there is great fear that Iran will attack Israeli and American targets in the region in retaliation for the assassination of Suleimani and Fahrizadeh, with these attacks coming from secondary countries such as Iraq, Syria and Yemen. Advanced military infrastructure.
In other statements, senior Iranian leaders, military commanders, and Revolutionary Guards chiefs warned Israel and the United States not to attack before the end of President Trump's term. Arab media even reported that Israel and Saudi Arabia were using pressure on Trump and senior Iranian defense officials to attack Iran's nuclear facilities. As part of a preemptive strike to a possible Iranian offensive against Israel and American targets in the Middle East.
Kaani: "Pay a price"
At the same time, US security sources told CNN that they had intelligence information indicating that Iran was delivering short-range ballistic missiles to Iraq.
Suleimani's successor, Ismail Kaani, told Americans on Friday that "even in your home there may be people who will have to pay for this crime."
In a recent interview with the Saudi news site Ilf, he said that Israel was prepared for a military confrontation, and even confirmed that Israeli submarines were sailing in the Mediterranean and beyond. In Israel through one of the countries in the region, adding: "We are aware of the events that are taking place in the second circle and are preparing for all sorts of things that may come from there and the possibility that we will be asked to thwart them."
However, the question still remains as to why the Iranians are sending threatening messages right now - and warning of the possibility of a military confrontation in the Middle East?
After all, such a conflict could degenerate into an inter-power conflict and even beyond, when Iran announces to the International Atomic Energy Agency that it intends to enrich uranium to a level of 20 percent.
Beyond that, Arab media quoted US media outlets over the weekend, citing senior sources in the Washington Department of Defense, who claimed that there had been a proliferation of intelligence warnings that Iran might launch an offensive against US targets in the Middle East.
It was also reported that according to senior members of the American intelligence system, they sometimes find it difficult to understand Tehran's policy - when on the one hand it sends threats and warnings against military escalation and even announces that it will enrich uranium to 20%;
On the other hand, the leadership is sending messages to President-elect Joe Biden and his emerging government that Iran is interested in reaching a "fair and respectable nuclear deal and to begin negotiations immediately with a change of government in the United States," said Iranian Foreign Minister Zarif.
A senior Arab diplomat, who was required to address the issue of Iranian policy, told Israel Today that he sees no contradiction between the threats and militants heard from Tehran and the outstretched hand of the Iranian president and Islamic Republic leadership in reaching a new nuclear deal with President-elect Biden.
"Iran has no time"
"Tehran is under brutal economic sanctions that are shattering its economy," the senior Arab diplomat told Israel Today, adding: "Iran does not have time to wait for the Biden regime's clashes with the Republican Party and Israel over its nuclear deal and outline. These moves could take months. In the meantime, Iran is paying a heavy price due to the sanctions. The threats are intended to signal to Baiden that an ambassador of negotiations will lead to instability in the region, while a strenuous and joint effort by both sides to quickly sign a nuclear agreement over Iran will lead to stability - not for nothing. Chess, "the diplomat concluded.