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Author: Zhu Haiqi
2021-01-04 14:06
Last update date: 2021-01-04 14:06
The new crown pneumonia epidemic has not been stopped. The Education Bureau announced last month (December) that all kindergartens, primary and secondary schools in Hong Kong will be closed until the 10th of this month.
However, it is reported that the authorities will continue to stop face-to-face courses in all schools in Hong Kong.
Some infectious disease experts said that the number of confirmed cases is still large. Once classes are resumed, the epidemic may rebound. They think it is appropriate to wait for the number of confirmed cases to fall to single digits. If the society stops gatherings, wear masks for outdoor sports, and limit the flow of people in shopping malls, it is expected every week. The number of confirmed diagnoses can be halved. Three weeks later, before the Chinese New Year, the number of confirmed diagnoses is expected to be reduced to single digits.
According to the news, in the new year, students still have to maintain online teaching, and all middle schools, primary schools, and kindergartens still have to suspend face-to-face teaching.
Respiratory specialist Liang Zichao pointed out that there are still about 40 diagnoses every day. Once classes are resumed, even parents will have to travel. Even if the school only arranges half-day classes, students do not need to remove their masks and eat lunch. "(students) will share facilities, not everyone. Mixed, small road boys are still sitting still, eating and drinking, contact between teachers and students, and long courses. This is the case every day, and the number of people involved is considerable."
Hong Kong's hard-to-block city virus has a long period
However, he believes that some social activities cannot be suspended for a long time. "It is not possible to completely lock down the city, and it is impossible to stop everything, because it is impossible to cut the chain of transmission in a short time. The virus incubation period is quite long, and it is impossible to resemble the British blockade. In the city, the extreme measures will only last for a month or so, (society) it is impossible to control the epidemic in the community within a month."
Face-to-face courses are important to young children. Liang Zichao explained that interpersonal contact is very important to the growth of kindergarten and elementary school students. In addition, parents may also be dual-time parents. Hong Kong has fewer childcare services and all rely on school day care. It’s okay to stop the market, but it won’t make it necessary to disappear.” “At that time, lunch was banned, everyone had to eat Yanhuafan, and the world was in chaos.” He also pointed out that middle school and college students resume face-to-face courses. The cut is lower.
Liang Zichao believes that as long as the government, business and people cooperate, the number of daily diagnoses is expected to drop by half.
(Data Picture/Photographed by Lin Ruoqin)
As for relaxing social distancing measures, such as resuming face-to-face courses, he believes that it depends on the rate of decline of the epidemic. When the daily confirmed cases are only in the single digits, it is appropriate. "In the single digits, how much time can be evaluated, even if the rebound is doubled," (At most), there are only a few dozen cases, and they have not returned to their original form."
He pointed out that the society must clean up the mood. The government can consider requiring outdoor sports and country parks to wear masks, shopping malls and supermarkets to limit the flow of people, and people to stop gatherings. It is expected that the number of confirmed cases will be halved every week. The effectiveness of the measures often has to wait a week. It reflects that it is believed that the number of diagnoses per day before the Lunar New Year fell to a single number.
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