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Corona calculation shows fatal lockdown effect: Lauterbach only sees two options for Merkel and federal states

2021-01-18T04:50:13.337Z


The current corona lockdown could not only be extended, but also massively tightened. Angela Merkel is apparently examining drastic new rules.


The current corona lockdown could not only be extended, but also massively tightened.

Angela Merkel is apparently examining drastic new rules.

  • Some politicians are calling for further measures to be taken to combat the

    coronavirus

    better to get a grip on.

  • The reason given is the still

    high number of infections

    and the

    corona mutations

    that occur

    .

  • Angela Merkel is probably currently reviewing drastic new corona rules.

  • This

    news ticker

    has ended.

    You can find all further developments regarding Corona in Germany here.

Update from January 16, 7:21 a.m.:

Is Germany

facing

a tightened lockdown?

Union faction leader Ralph Brinkhaus advocates it.

"Better to do it right now - instead of an

endless loop into the summer

," he told the "Neue Osnabrücker Zeitung" (NOZ / Saturday).

We are

particularly

concerned about

the high infection rate of the new

mutation

.

We have to try to contain these new virus variants by taking consistent measures in good time. ”



In the WDR broadcast“ Current Hour ”he answered the question on Friday evening whether

to discuss

night exit

restrictions during the consultation of Chancellor Angela Merkel with the state government leaders on Tuesday

be: "Yes, everything has to be put on the table." The infection numbers are still too high.

At RTL / ntv he also said: “We have to talk to industry and business again whether all the capacities for mobile work in the

home office

are

really being

used.

We will also have to look again to see whether

local transport is

not switched off or at least organized in such a way that there are not so many people in a bus or in a wagon. "

Is Germany facing a tougher corona lockdown?

Lauterbach calls for tightening

Also

Saarland Prime Minister Tobias Hans

(CDU) has called for a debate on stricter corona requirements without taboos and brought curfews this week.

“There must be no bans on thinking or discussing at the conference of ministers”, said Hans of the “Rheinische Post” (Saturday edition).

This applies "to the subject of

curfew

, but also to the discussion about working in the home office".

Also

SPD-health expert Karl Lauterbach

sees only two ways in an interview with the "Rheinische Post".

"Either this form of lockdown continues for at least six to eight weeks, with 500 to 1000 deaths a day and a high risk that the mutation will spread further," he said.

Even individual tightening such as an FFP2 mask requirement or more home office hardly changed anything.

"That's why I am in favor of the alternative: a really hard lockdown, which would not last that long." Then the shops and non-vital businesses and schools would be tight, the contact restrictions would be tightened again, "said Lauterbach.

The

calculations of the Saarbrücken pharmacy professor Thorsten Lehr confirm that

the

lockdown

misses its target - an incidence of less than 50.

"The chance is extremely small or nonexistent," said Lehr of the German Press Agency in Saarbrücken.

He assumed that the targeted rate of 50 new infections per 100,000 inhabitants in seven days would not be possible until mid-February at the earliest.

"And that would be an optimistic prediction." The professor of clinical pharmacy at Saarland University and his research team have developed a "Covid simulator" that calculates the infection rate in Germany and provides forecasts.

+

Chancellor Angela Merkel with FFP2 mask in the Bundestag - on the way to the government bank.

© imago images / Political-Moments

Tighter corona lockdown in Germany?

Brinkhaus supports demands

Update from January 15, 7.10 p.m.:

Union parliamentary group leader

Ralph Brinkhaus

supports the demands for a stricter 

corona lockdown

 to protect against the corona pandemic.

The question must be asked, “whether the measures have so far contributed to driving down the number of infections enough,” Brinkhaus told the

RTL

and

n-tv

channels on Friday

.

Obviously, these have so far not been sufficient to contain the mutated virus in particular.

So it is right to "take precautions now and not wait for this mutated virus to come to us with a certain probability," warned Brinkhaus.

Chancellor

Angela Merkel (CDU)

, who is pushing for stricter action against it, is acting “very, very correctly”.

Merkel's Corona summit: fixed date!

Discussion about mega lockdown in Germany

Update from January 15, 3:05 p.m.: In just

four days, on January 19, the

federal and state governments

will be

discussing

new corona measures

in a

video link

-

there is apparently increasing support

in the

CDU

chancellor party

for a temporary, severe tightening of the regulations.

"We should ask ourselves whether ultimately not a complete lockdown of two to three weeks is better than an endless stalemate," said Union Group Vice Thorsten free the

mirror

.

Saxony's Prime Minister Michael Kretschmer

had previously

spoken out

for “two to three weeks” of a “very tough lockdown”

.

“This soft lockdown with open schools, kindergartens, with open shopping opportunities is useless.

Therefore: hard and consistent. ”However, the“ November lockdown ”had also been announced as a clearly limited, tough crackdown.

CSU boss Markus Söder

did not want to oppose the tightening aggressively.

In

an interview with the

Funke media group, he

did not want to predict

whether a

hard lockdown

would be necessary by Easter

.

Söder initially demanded “FFP2 masks and a consistent implementation of the current lockdown.

But: "I also stay on the team with caution." In the conversation, the Bavarian Prime Minister also commented on the Union's chancellor plans.

Germany facing complete lockdown: date for earlier Merkel summit fixed

Update from January 15, 11.35 a.m.:

The date for the early

Corona consultations

by

Chancellor Angela Merkel

and the Prime Minister has been set:

Consultations are to take place

on Tuesday (January 19) at 2 p.m.

This has

government spokesman Steffen Seibert

just confirmed.

“Everyone is aware that decisions are made when they are,” he emphasized.

Currently it is not possible to wait for the scheduled date of January 25th - thanks to the

restrictions

,

the numbers are

falling, but are only very slowly approaching the

target incidence

.

There is a need to

further reduce contacts

, said Seibert.

However, he does not want to anticipate the deliberations by naming specific measures.

But as an important point in the current situation, he cited the work in

the home office

.

Corona lockdown: take part and vote

Corona lockdown in Germany: Merkel plans leaked?

Kretschmer brakes

Update from January 15, 10:50 a.m.:

Chancellor

Angela Merkel

and some

prime ministers

are apparently thinking of stricter

corona rules

- but they are likely to encounter resistance during the early consultations.

Saxony's Prime Minister

Michael Kretschmer (CDU),

for example, wants to talk about a strict implementation of the applicable rules, as he explained in the morning.

Overall, mobility would have to be reduced because, in the end, it would

mean

contact between people

, demanded the Prime Minister.

For this, for example, you have to work more in the

home

office.

Kretschmer spoke out against a shutdown of the economy - as on the previous evening in the ZDF talk "Maybrit Illner" *.

The Saxon head of government also confirmed that a

peak meeting is planned

for next week.

But there is no date yet.

The approval of the

corona measures

has apparently increased recently.

In the new ZDF “Politbarometer”, 51 percent of those surveyed said the measures currently in force were just right, as the broadcaster announced on Friday.

That is 16 percentage points more than in early December, when less severe restrictions were in place.

In the new survey 28 percent said the

survey participants

said they would find another

tightening

properly.

Germany facing complete lockdown: new corona plans leaked - is the one-friend rule coming?

+

Chancellor Angela Merkel and Health Minister Jens Spahn in the Bundestag.

© Christoph Hardt / www.imago-images.de

Update from January 15, 9:40 a.m.:

Probably next week - and thus earlier than planned -

Chancellor Angela Merkel (CDU)

and the

prime ministers will

debate

possible

tightening of the corona measures

.

A possible specific rule change has apparently already leaked: According to a report, the restrictions on private contacts in Germany could be even more drastic.

The

Business Insider

portal

claims to have

learned

from government

circles

that the requirement to meet at most one person who does not belong to the household could become a strict

“one-friend rule”

.

Accordingly, people in Germany could then only meet the same “non-household” person.

However, there are

doubts

from the

federal states

about the feasibility.

On the other hand, an

FFP2 mask requirement

according to the Bavarian example is also

capable of

consensus among the

regional leaders

- provided the supply of masks is ensured.

According to

Business Insider,

an extensive cessation of national

rail and air traffic is also being debated

.

According to

CDU General Secretary Paul Ziemiak, however,

considerations to discontinue local public transport

do not play a role

.

“There were reports that politicians want to stop public transport completely.

That is of course not correct.

Nobody suggested that either, ”he explained to RTL and n-tv.

Update from January 15, 7:40 a.m.: Chancellor Angela Merkel

warns of the

Corona mutation

and assumes sharp measures until Easter.

Lower Saxony's Prime Minister Stephan Weil (SPD)

sees it differently.

He has advised against talking about a lockdown until Easter.

“I don't want to go that far.

If we manage to get below the incidence value of 50 infections per 100,000 inhabitants and week quickly and sustainably, we don't have to wait for the beginning of spring to talk about how we can restore normality, ”he told the

Hannoversche Allgemeine Zeitung

on Friday.

"But to say now, we'll see you again at Easter, I think that's an exaggeration." He doesn't want to "give too much room to resignation".

The decisive factor is not the date, but the

incidence values

.

“It is undisputed that we have a higher risk in the cold season,” said the SPD politician.

But he doesn't think that

easing will be discussed

at the next

Prime Minister's Conference with Chancellor Angela Merkel (CDU)

.

Complete corona lockdown with massive tightening?

Merkel takes the first steps and denies a rule

Update from January 14th, 9:25 p.m.:

According to a new report by the

Bild

newspaper,

Angela Merkel

is said to have

commented on how to proceed in combating the

corona pandemic

during the CDU presidium meeting

.

According to the report, Merkel said: “We have to do something.” With this, Merkel referred to the situation in

Ireland

and

England

. Experts were “very worried,” said the Chancellor.

The situation there is "dramatic".

"The situation has changed," Merkel is quoted further.

What is happening on the island is now the reason for the quick reaction.

Furthermore, the strict rules should be adhered to, people should work more in the home office, according to the Chancellor.

Closing

public transport is out of the

question, however.

According to the report, the

Saarland Prime Minister

Tobias Hans

chose dramatic words: “We have to

react

to the

mutation

.

Otherwise the citizens will not forgive us. "

During the conference, Merkel explicitly

protected

Federal Health

Minister

Jens Spahn

and certified that she had

ordered

large quantities of the

Biontech vaccine

"with foresight" very early on

and that she had also ensured that another plant went into production in Marburg.

Complete corona lockdown with massive tightening?

Merkel is taking the first steps

Update from January 14th, 8:31 p.m.:

Chancellor

Angela Merkel

wants to discuss how to proceed with the

corona pandemic

next week with the prime ministers of the federal states

.

Merkel made this

clear

on Thursday evening in the online meeting of the CDU Presidium, according to information from the

German Press Agency

.

There is currently no scope for openings.

Merkel did not mention a date for the next round with the heads of government of the countries.

In the coming week, the development of the pandemic should also be

discussed

at

European level

with all EU heads of state and government, the Chancellor said after this information.

The variant of the coronavirus that has emerged in the UK is spreading much faster than the original form, scientists are very concerned.

The

mutation

of the virus was in the opinion of all very aggressive, their distribution must be slowed.

Act now.

Corona summit: Monday or Tuesday as an appointment in conversation

According to further information, Monday or Tuesday of next week are being

discussed

as the date for the next

Prime Minister's Conference

with Merkel.

But there has not yet been a determination.

The Hessian Prime Minister

Volker Bouffier

said after this information that the next meeting should take place as soon as possible.

One focus of the consultations must be placed on old people's homes.

According to several participants, Merkel rejected

a report in the

Bild

newspaper, according to which the Chancellery was considering the discontinuation of local and long-distance public transport.

Health Minister

Jens Spahn

said at the meeting that they were in the worst phase of the pandemic.

Abroad you can also see that

corona vaccinations

would not have prevented a lockdown.

Corona bang: Merkel is probably checking a complete shutdown

Update from January 14th, 5:29 p.m.:

Chancellor

Angela Merkel

wants to

standardize the existing measures throughout the country and in some cases even tighten them

in a

prime ministerial

conference

next week

.

That reported the

Bild

newspaper.

Because of the British

Corona mutation

, the country is to be shut down almost completely.

According to the report, the Chancellery is considering the cessation of

local and long-distance public transport

.

Even an actual

curfew

and an

obligation to work from home

are under discussion.

Nothing has been finally decided yet.

According to an unspecified source from an SPD-led state, the new lockdown should last until the end of February.

According to information from the newspaper, the Ministry of Transport is currently investigating what consequences this would have for

logistics

and

mobility

in the country.

A cabinet member told the

picture

: "There is sheer fear of the mutation." The demand for a nationwide

FFP2 mask requirement

is also being discussed.

It is unclear, however, whether there are enough masks for everyone.

Merkel summit earlier?

Tightened Easter lockdown called for - "If it really gets out of hand"

Update from January 14th, 4 p.m .:

"For months now we have always

talked

more about

relaxation

than about compliance with the rules that we have given ourselves," said

Ralph Brinkhaus

 on Thursday in the ntv program Frühstart.

In it he made it clear that he currently saw no alternative to the applicable

corona measures

.

"We still have far too much mobility in the country," emphasized the

CDU / CSU parliamentary group leader

.

Ralph Brinkhaus on Corona measures: Appeal to the Minister of Education to shorten the summer holidays

He believes a debate about easing is premature.

If the measures are adhered to and in view of the

corona vaccinations

and the coming spring months, however, you have a “very good perspective.” “We have to be very careful, especially before the

British mutation of this virus

.” Regarding the “hotspots”, retirement and nursing homes said Brinkhaus: “It must really affect us that so many people are dying there.” Much has been said about easing, but probably too little about protecting particularly vulnerable groups.

Even the

Minister of Culture of the federal states

has

Brinkhaus

an appeal: One should consider shortening the summer holidays so the children could catch the learning material.

“It's about the future of our children”.

Corona lockdown in Germany: Armin Laschet does not rule out an extension until Easter

First report from January 14th, 1:40 p.m.:

Berlin - A large number of politicians have recently

spoken out in favor of

extending and tightening the lockdown

to curb the corona infection.

North Rhine-Westphalia's Prime Minister

Armin Laschet *

(CDU) does not rule out an extension of the lockdown until Easter.

This emerges from an interview that he gave to the

Kölner Stadt-Anzeiger

.

He said the situation was very serious.

"It would be wrong to rule something out now," Laschet said in Thursday's interview.

Only from next week can one get a "realistic picture" of the current

infection process

after the holidays

.

Laschet also sharply criticized the relatively low

willingness to vaccinate

medical staff in clinics and nursing homes

in many places

.

This is still too low for nursing staff.

"The vaccination readiness must be significantly better," said the North Rhine-Westphalian Prime Minister.

Lockdown in Germany: Prime Minister Baden-Württemberg wants to move Angela Merkel to an earlier conference

Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania's Prime Minister

Manuela Schleswig also

considers an extension of the lockdown until Easter to be likely.

She made this clear on Thursday in the ZDF morning magazine: "It is so that everyone knows, if the numbers stay as they are now, that the

shutdown has to be

continued." In the event of

virus mutations *

As in Great Britain,

the corona measures

may even

need to be

tightened

.

The Prime Minister of Baden-Württemberg,

Winfried Kretschmann, also

considers an extension of the corona restrictions beyond January to be necessary.

"We have to assume that we have to extend the lockdown," he said on Thursday in Stuttgart.

The Green politician will advocate “further and more severe measures”.

In addition, the head of government wants

to urge

Angela Merkel *

(CDU) to

bring the

prime ministerial conference originally planned for January 25th to next week.

Most recently, Merkel warned that it might remain tough until Easter.

Extension and tightening of the lockdown: virus mutations also in Germany

An extension of the

lockdown

is necessary because of the continuously high number of infections and the new virus variants from Great Britain and South Africa.

Kretschmann wants to introduce stricter restrictions as a precaution.

He advocates letting more people work from home and

enforcing

stricter

exit

restrictions if the number of infections continues to rise

.

“When things get really out of hand, as we see it in London or something, and when the health system collapses, you have to put in place drastic curfews.

That is the only remedy that is still effective, ”he said on Tuesday evening.

The Minister of Culture from Baden-Württemberg,

Susanne Eisenmann

, (CDU *) agrees with these statements.

She said Thursday that it was right that the

lockdown

as a whole should continue.

However, she also drew attention to the fact that long-term damage must be expected from the continued closure of schools.

On Thursday afternoon it became known that

Baden-Württemberg

wants to keep elementary schools and daycare centers closed at least until the end of January and, in view of the continued high number of corona infections, is dispensing with an intended special route.

Lockdown: The RKI is also calling for a stricter approach

The

Robert Koch Institute *

(RKI) also

sees further need for action with regard to the current Corona measures.

In view of the current infection situation, the previous

lockdown should

be tightened further.

The RKI epidemiologist Dirk Brockmann said on Thursday in Berlin that the measures would have to be tightened further in order to be able to contain the infection rate.

That is a "total consensus statement" of all model calculations.

The RKI President

Lothar Wieler also

spoke out in favor of tightening the policy as an option.

The current corona restrictions apply until January 31st.

. @ rki_de boss #Wieler speaks out in the PK for even tougher #Lockdown measures.

In a few days it will also be clear how #Christmas and #New Years have affected the #infection numbers.

#CoronaVirusDE # SARSCoV2 #RKIhttps: //t.co/Dnp2xFTXc1

- Merkur.de (@merkur_de) January 14, 2021

The epidemiologist and virologist

Klaus Stöhr

was meanwhile critical of the current corona policy.

In a

picture

interview on Wednesday, Stöhr, who already worked for the World Health Organization (WHO) among other things as head of pandemic preparation, said that the goal of

reaching and maintaining

an

incidence *

of 50 was

"unrealistic and demotivating".

Criticism of corona policy: goals "unrealistic and demotivating"

In his opinion, there is no “positive agenda” with an achievable goal of when the

restrictions

can be removed.

There is no compromise between “the values ​​of health, freedom and economy”.

He advocates aiming for an incidence of 130 or 150.

Germany can handle this well.

He is particularly critical of the fact that so far politics has not sufficiently focused on protecting the actual

risk groups

.

In turn, he considers the opening of kindergartens and the return to face-to-face teaching to be necessary.

Stöhr does not consider the

variant of the corona virus *

, which is

rampant

in Great Britain,

to be a sufficient reason for tightened measures.

Because it is currently not possible to assess exactly how these mutations

have affected

the

infection

process.

You can read what a real curfew would mean for Germany at msl24.de *.

(

at) * Merkur.de and msl24.de are part of the Ippen-Digital network.

List of rubric lists: © Kay Nietfeld / dpa

Source: merkur

All news articles on 2021-01-18

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