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Corona: world physician chief with alarming forecast for Germany - Drosten sees only one option due to mutation

2021-01-20T04:28:27.013Z


The number of new corona infections is falling slightly - but the number of deaths remains high. There are great differences in the infection process. All information in our news ticker.


The number of new corona infections is falling slightly - but the number of deaths remains high.

There are great differences in the infection process.

All information in our news ticker.

  • Germany is trying to get the

    Corona

    * infection under control.

  • Are the corona case numbers incorrect?

    According to the

    Robert Koch Institute

    (RKI) there are always reporting difficulties.

  • This news ticker on the subject of

    Corona in Germany

    is updated regularly.

Update from January 19, 10 p.m.:

The planning of

coronavirus vaccinations in Germany

*

is criticized in many places.

Now a mayor from

Hessen

makes

no secret of his displeasure.

Coronavirus pandemic in Germany: Christian Drosten comments on the corona mutation

Update from January 19, 8:14 p.m

.: As far as the

corona mutation

*

first discovered in Great Britain

is concerned,

Christian Drosten

still has hope.

The virologist assumes that the

prevalence

has so far been

low

in this country - and he now sees a

time window

to nip it in the bud.

“You can't do that well later, then it's too late,” he said in the latest podcast episode “Coronavirus Update” (

NDR info

).

However: Based on the data now available, Drosten assumes that the variant is actually more contagious than previous forms.

"We have the results on the table." However, the quantitative extent still has to be discussed, he continued.

He estimates that the

transferability is

below the initially reported values ​​of

50 to 70 percent

.

The

B.1.1.7

called variant was, according to Robert Koch Institute (RKI) to date * in 20 cases in

six states

detected

(as of January 17, 00:00 pm)

.

Corona: world physician chief with alarming forecast for Germany - lockdown will "certainly" go much longer

Update from January 19, 3:28 p.m

.:

FFP2 masks

, curfews and more home offices are up for debate at the Corona summit on Tuesday.

In addition, the corona lockdown * is being extended - apparently this is planned until February 14th.

The first drafts have already been leaked.

While the federal and state governments are still negotiating the stricter measures, there is already criticism.

"If you want to prevent the new mutant B.1.1.7 from the UK from spreading here in Germany, you need an R value that is less than 0.7," said SPD health expert Karl Lauterbach in the ntv.

Although the measures are going in the right direction, they are "possibly too small".

“The lockdown will definitely go through to the end of February”, prohezeit world medical president

Frank Ulrich Montgomery

in an ntv interview.

He sees a problem in the extensions.

“The cooperation of the population becomes more difficult the more often you promise them, it will soon be over, only to then extend it again.” Montgomery would be personally “for a clear edge”.

However, he admits that these decisions should be left to politicians and that the 14-day cycle would be based on the Infection Protection Act.

So far we've been relatively lucky with the mutations

World Medical President Frank Ulrich Montgomery

"So far we've been relatively lucky with the mutations," says Montgomery.

Don't get him wrong now.

So far, however, the mutations have not been more deadly or cause the disease to progress more severely, but rather there is a higher susceptibility to infection.

There would also be other mutations.

"A mutation can only occur when a disease occurs in the body and the virus reproduces," explains the world medical president.

That is why he thinks vaccination is particularly important.

+

World Medical President Frank Ulrich Montgomery advocates a “clear edge on the subject of lockdown” (archive photo).

© Hauke-Christian Dittrich / dpa

"First good sign" - Corona test positive rate drops

Update from January 19, 2:05 p.m

.: Around one

million corona tests are

carried out in laboratories in Germany

every week

.

According to data from laboratories, the

proportion of

positive corona tests

in Germany has decreased in the past week.

The so-called positive

rate has

fallen

by a good fifth to

10.8 percent

, said the Association of Accredited Laboratories in Medicine (ALM).

At times the rate was more than 16 percent.

The higher the positive rate with a high number of cases, the higher the estimated number of unreported cases.

"This is a first good sign of a possible decline in the number of infections," explained the laboratory physicians.

However, the picture is incomplete.

For example, the results of so-called antigen rapid tests must "urgently" be included in the test statistics, it said.

Corona in Germany - RKI points out further data gaps - Are the number of cases actually higher?

First report from January 19, 2021

Berlin - With the current number of

Corona cases in Germany,

there are always

problems

.

Some federal states only

transmit

incomplete

data

or

not

at all

.

Especially after the weekend there are late registrations in the following days.

The

Robert Koch Institute *

(RKI) expressly points out in its current management report from Monday evening (January 18): “

No data was transmitted

from

Rhineland-Palatinate

yesterday.

Data were transmitted

from

Bavaria

and

Saarland

, but the data was not received in full at the RKI.

The day

before yesterday too little was transmitted

from

Baden-Württemberg

, these cases were forwarded yesterday and are shown in the statistics today. "

Corona in Germany - RKI reports more than 11,000 new corona infections

In the past 24 hours,

11,369 new corona infections were

recorded, the RKI announced on Tuesday morning (January 19).

In addition,

989 further deaths

were reported in Germany.

That's 100 less than a week ago.

But also here it should be noted that this may include late registrations from the previous day.

Weekly comparison of the number of corona cases in Germany

Important values ​​in the corona pandemic

Tuesday January 19, 2021

Tuesday, January 12, 2021

Peak

New corona infections

11,369

12,802

33,777 on December 18 with 3,500 late registrations (Friday)

Deaths

989

891

1,244 on January 14th (Thursday)

active corona cases in Germany

288,400

322,300

377,266 on December 24th

7 day incidence

131.5

164.5

197.6 on December 22nd

Even if there are always late registrations and delays, the data give a picture of the

corona situation in Germany

.

The RKI writes in its current management report: "After a sharp increase in the number of cases at the beginning of December, a decrease during the holidays and a renewed increase in the first week of January, the number of cases seems to be stabilizing overall, and

a decrease can be observed locally

in

some regions

." 

According

to the RKI,

a “

slight decline or stabilization at the current level

” can be observed in the number of cases in most federal states.

And further: "

Whether this trend will continue will only be seen in the course of the next few days

."

Corona in Germany - 7-day incidence - These are the hotspots in Germany

In Germany, the 7-day incidence * is currently

131.5

.

However, the infection rate in individual federal states differs significantly from this.

Thuringia

with 256.3 and

Saxony

(225.7) have the highest incidence, as can be seen from the data on the RKI Covid 19 dashboard.

But also in

Brandenburg

the value is currently 225.4.

Bremen has the lowest value with 83.2.

The goal of the federal government is to keep the

7-day incidence below 50

.

So far, no federal state has succeeded.

  • Thuringia - 256.3

  • Saxony - 225.7

  • Brandenburg - 225.4

Corona hotspots are currently in

Thuringia

.

The front runner of the 412 districts, cities and regions that the RKI shows on the dashboard is currently the district of

Saalfed-Rudolstadt

with

439.9,

Altenburger Land

(430.7) and

Hildburghausen

(416.2).

 Fourteen regions are currently

below the 

50 mark

.

Corona in Germany: 7-day incidence below the 50 value

  • LK Leer 49.8

  • LK Rothenburg 46.4

  • LK Trier-Saarburg 46.2

  • LK Plön - 45.8

  • LK Osterholz - 45.6

  • SK Rostock - 45.4

  • LK Ditmarschen - 45.0

  • LK Aurich - 43.2

  • LK Vreden - 40.1

  • Schleswig-Flensburg county - 39.8

  • LK Lündeburg - 39.8

  • SK Zweibrücken - 38.0

  • District Rendsburg-Eckernförde - 35.8

  • SK Emden - 32.1

At the Corona summit on Tuesday (January 19), Chancellor Angela Merkel and the Prime Minister will decide to extend the lockdown.

The first details have already been leaked.

(ml) * Merkur.de is part of the Ippen-Digital network

Source: merkur

All news articles on 2021-01-20

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