RN president Marine Le Pen would be a short head ahead of outgoing President Emmanuel Macron in the first round of the presidential election, if the ballot took place this Sunday, according to a Harris Interactive poll.
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At 15 months of the presidential election, Emmanuel Macron would rally 23 to 24% of the votes in the first round, depending on the various potential candidates on the right and on the left, according to this survey commissioned by the CommStrat cabinet and the daily
L'Opinion
.
Marine Le Pen would garner 26 to 27% of the votes, again depending on the different hypotheses of candidatures on the right and on the left.
In 2017, Emmanuel Macron won 24% of the votes in the first round, against 21.3% for Marine Le Pen.
He won in the second round with 66.1% of the vote against 33.9% for the president of the National Rally.
15 months before the presidential election, the Macron / Le Pen couple continues to dominate the balance of power and relegates the other putative candidates far behind.
Environmentalists in front of Hidalgo
On the right, a candidacy by Xavier Bertrand would collect 16% of the voting intentions expressed, Valérie Pécresse 11%, regardless of the personality supported by the Socialist Party who would be opposed to them.
On the left, a candidacy of Anne Hidalgo would collect 6 or 7% of the votes, depending on whether it would be opposed respectively to Xavier Bertrand or to Valérie Pécresse.
While Arnaud Montebourg is credited with 5% of the vote in all configurations.
These scores attributed to socialist candidates place them behind the candidacy of Jean-Luc Mélenchon, who collects 10% or 11% of voting intentions.
But also behind that of the ecologist Yannick Jadot, the gap being smaller against Anne Hidalgo (1 point difference, or 7 to 8%) and more marked against Arnaud Montebourg (4 to 5 points difference, i.e. 9 to 10%).
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The poll was conducted online on January 19 and 20 with a representative sample of 1,403 people, including 976 registered on the electoral roll, using the quota method. Margin of error of 1.4 to 3.1 points. Voting intentions do not constitute a forecast of results, they give an indication of the balance of power on the day of the poll.