Polls on the state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate: Malu Dreyer faces tough SPD losses

In Mainz, red-green-yellow rules - and according to surveys on the state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate, it can stay that way.

The SPD will still crash.

• On March

  14th,

  the 2021 state elections will take place in

  Rhineland-Palatinate

  .

• Surveys show high popularity ratings for the incumbent SPD

  Prime Minister

  .

• The election prognoses nevertheless indicate that the CDU will gain and the SPD will lose.

Mainz - For Prime Minister

Malu Dreyer (SPD)

the omens look good.

The state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate * will take place on March 14th in 2021.

The

polls

indicate that this time the CDU will be the strongest force in the state parliament and thus overtake the Social Democrats.

For the

traffic light coalition

with which Malu Dreyer rules, there should still be a majority again.

Since the last state election, the balance of power between several parties has shifted.

A slight gain for the CDU * contrasts with a significant loss for the SPD *.

The polls for the RLP state election in 2021 also show the great gains of the Greens, which have now clearly

overtaken

the

AfD

*.

The FDP should manage to return to the Mainz state parliament, while

Die Linke

* is expected to be below the 5 percent hurdle.

Polls on the 2021 state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate

Institute	date	SPD	CDU	AfD	FDP	Green	The left	Others
Infratest dimap / SWR	01/14/2021	28	33	8th	6	15th	3	7th
Infratest dimap / SWR	December 10, 2020	28	34	9	5	15th	3	6
INSA / image	October 21, 2020	27	33	10	5	14th	5	6
Infratest dimap / SWR	09/10/2020	26th	34	9	6	17th	4th	4th
State election 2016	03/13/2016	36.2	31.8	12.6	6.2	5.3	2.8	7th

State election forecasts for Rhineland-Palatinate show several possible coalitions

The SPD is predicted to lose around eight percentage points.

A new edition of the

coalition

of SPD, Greens and FDP * is still possible.

In the case of Bündnis 90 / Die Grünen *, the election researchers see an increase of around ten percentage points.

In principle, according to the

prognoses

for the state election in Rhineland-Palatinate,

black-green-yellow is also

possible.

But there is no mood of change in the state.

The

ruling parties

appeared at the beginning of the election year emphasizes satisfied with the cooperation.

Christian Baldauf

, the top candidate of the

CDU

, is therefore not the top favorite for the office of Prime Minister.

After the RLP state elections, he must hope

to bring the

Greens

and

FDP together

in a new coalition.

Finally, there is still the possibility that the election result will differ significantly from the forecasts.

If the two obvious coalitions of three parties do not work out, a

GroKo

remains

the emergency solution.

If the CDU and SPD then form a coalition, Baldauf would probably replace Dreyer as the candidate of the strongest party.

Popularity of the top candidates: This is what the polls for the state election RLP 2021 say

When it comes to the

top candidates

, the incumbent Prime Minister has the

popularity ratings

on her side.

This was shown again in January 2021 in a survey by SWR on the occasion of the state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate.

In the opinion of the top candidates of the parties, Malu Dreyer achieved the best value by a large margin.

71 percent of those surveyed were satisfied or very satisfied with the incumbent.

With Christian Baldauf it was only 33 percent.

(rm) * Merkur.de is part of the nationwide Ippen-Digital editors network