Two days before the closing of the list, there is a future and new hope, winning 16 seats each • Michaeli enjoys the "primaries effect" and rises to 8 • 29 for the Likud • Also: Union scenarios
Gideon Saar (right) and Yair Lapid
Photography:
Elad Gutman, Oren Ben Hakon
Two days before the closing of the lists for the Knesset, if the elections had been held today (Tuesday) the Likud would have won 29 seats, while Yesh Atid (Yair Lapid) and Tikva Hadasha (Gideon Saar) would have won 16 seats each.
This is according to a News 13 survey published in the main edition.
Against the background of reports of the possibility of connections in the center-left bloc, the work led by the new chairman Merav Merav Michaeli continues to climb and according to the poll wins 8 seats. As you may recall, until recently the party was close to the dangerous area of blocking percentage (4 seats).
The full results
The Likud and Netanyahu in the weakening trend - 29
There is also a future and Lapid loses seats - 16
New hope of Gideon Saar - 16
Right of Bennett - 10
The joint list of Ayman Odeh - 10. To
Merav Michaeli and Labor - 8
Torah Judaism led by Gafni - 8
Shas - 7
Yisrael Beiteinu - March 7
- 5
and Bnei Gantz's blue and white on the verge of the blocking percentage - 4
do not pass:
Zelicha's Economic, 2.7
Religious Zionism, Bezalel Smutrich, 2
Jewish Power 2
and the Israelis of Huldai 0.9
Other parties that do not pass the blocking percentage: Aleh Green, a bridge by Orly Levy Abacis, a momentum by Ofer Shelach and also the Veterans Party of Israel led by Danny Yatom.
Map of the blocs: The
bloc to replace Netanyahu -66.
Netanyahu's block 44
Bennett's right
Union scenarios
In another scenario, the
closure examines what will happen in the event of a unification on the left of Labor with Tnufa (Ofer Shelach) and the Israelis (Ron Huldai), two parties that do not pass the blocking percentage.
In such a case, this union would yield 11 seats.
There is a future, new hope, Yisrael Beiteinu and Meretz are all losing one seat.
Bennett's right wins a seat and rises to 11th.
The third scenario
examines what happens if the Jewish home and religious Zionism, Smutritz and Hagit Moshe unite and they agree to add the Jewish power of Ben Gvir as well.
And on the other side - the RAAM led by Mansour Abbas splits from the joint list. In such a case:
Likud - 27 seats.
There is a future - 14
New Hope - 14
Right - 8
joint list - 8
United Torah Judaism - 8
Shas - 7
Israel Beiteinu - 7
also the work of Michael - 7
union between Smotrich right ladies, of course - 6
March - 5
and on the verge threshold Blue and white 4
Mansour Abbas' 4
On the question of eligibility for prime minister
Netanyahu - 35%
Saar - 16%
Lapid - 14%,
Bennett - 9%
Ganz - 7%
Assuming that the Netanyahu replacement bloc has the option of forming a government, who would you prefer to see as prime minister?
23% answered Gideon Saar
20% prefer Bennett
Lapid with 19%
27% none of them
The survey included 703 respondents, 604 from the Jewish population and 99 from the non-Jewish sector.
The survey was conducted by Prof. Camil Fuchs
questioning the Jewish sector conducted by the sample project directed by Dr. Ariel Ayalon.
Questioning non-Jewish sector conducted by Stat-Nat directed by Josef type.
The sampling error is 3.7%,
the data were weighted by voting Previous and by religious sector