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The trauma of 52-48

2021-02-09T18:16:36.928Z


CHRONIC. It is a poll, released at the end of January, but about which the political world is still talking. The scenario of a Macron-Le Pe second round duel


They are ministers.

Parliamentarians.

Great elected officials.

Political advisers at the Elysée or Matignon.

Common point between all these macronists: their countenance darkens suddenly when we pronounce the numbers "52/48" ​​... This is a Harris Interactive poll at the end of January on the presidential election of 2022 whose predictions of second round had not been published.

But when they fled (in the Parisian), the power took them in the face.

Because the pollster gives Macron a winner against Marine Le Pen, but with such a short lead that we are within the margin of error.

"52-48, that does not mean that we win by little, explains one of the first companions of the Head of State, it means above all that she can win ..." And that changes everything.

Emmanuel Macron has, in recent years, methodically wanted to install a new divide: the progressives (him) against the nationalists (her).

Everything else (the good old left and the good old right) was in his eyes automatically disqualified because they belonged to the "old world".

Reasoning based on a certainty: in the second round, the reflex to block the National Front would guarantee victory and therefore re-election.

This certainty is shaken.

And the macronists too… Firstly because the “Front” has disappeared.

Renamed “National Rally” by Marine Le Pen, the last step in her tireless standardization endeavor.

Then, the "republican front" withers over the years.

2002, Chirac: 82.2%.

Le Pen (father): 17.8%.

2017, Macron: 66.1%.

Le Pen (girl): 33.9%.

The dike is crumbling.

Next time, she might break up.

Source: leparis

All news articles on 2021-02-09

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