While the government discourse is more reassuring in recent days on the Covid-19 epidemic, the data available in Ile-de-France show on the contrary an increase in hospitalizations.
As for the variants, it is very difficult to have a precise idea of the situation.
Indicators on the rise in hospitals
An epidemic in slow motion, fewer admissions to hospitals?
Not in Ile-de-France, the region most affected with Hauts-de-France and Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes.
Not only are the indicators at a high level but they continue to increase, points to Public Health France in its weekly epidemiological report published this Thursday.
Incidence rate on the rise (238 cases per 100,000 inhabitants, against 207 national average), hospitalization and resuscitation rates as well.
Seine-Saint-Denis (8.6%) and Val-d'Oise (8.3%) stand out in the leading pack for the highest positivity rates (number of positive cases among those tested) with the 'Ardèche, the Jura and the Alpes-Maritimes.
Last week, one in five emergency room visits for suspicion of Covid was reported in Ile-de-France.
Tuesday, 5,393 people were hospitalized for Covid (or one in four beds for all specialties), including 724 in intensive care.
“We monitor the indicators, inputs, clusters, incidence… morning, noon and evening.
The white plane remains activated.
For the past two weeks, we have been on a high plateau which oscillates between 700 and 730 patients in critical care, details Didier Jaffre, director of the care offer at the regional health agency (ARS) of Ile-de- France.
We have never fallen below 600 since November.
"
As for the deprogramming of operations, they fluctuate around 10% according to the ARS.
"Everything is done not to deprogram, and it is very important that those who have to undergo an operation do not deprogram themselves", adds Didier Jaffre.
Ile-de-France has welcomed a few Covid patients from other regions in tension, six last week and two this Friday.
Variants: a census lagging behind
The intervention of Caroline Gutsmuth on the set of BFM this week did not go unnoticed: "37% of positive cases in Ile-de-France, with a record of 52% in the Yvelines", assured the manager of a Biogroup laboratory.
These results, which emanate from the examination of 7,000 tests carried out between February 1 and 7 in the group's 180 laboratories in Ile-de-France, must however be put into perspective.
They only represent a quarter of weekly contaminations in Ile-de-France.
"Statistically, it is still significant", persists Laurent Kbaier, biologist, according to whom the variant will be the norm "in a month".
"We must be careful, some laboratories which report their figures have been able to capture clusters, but this does not represent the entire situation", reacted this Friday the epidemiologist Daniel Lévy-Bruhl, during the press point of Health public France.
Except that “the whole” of the situation is very difficult to grasp.
"We give our figures, I do not understand why the authorities do not give theirs," reacts Laurent Kbaier.
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Indeed, the latest official data always dates back to the last national "flash" survey of January 27, which highlighted the British variant in 22% of contaminations in Ile-de-France (17.5% on average in France) .
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And for two weeks?
The Ministry of Health has not enlightened us on this point.
However, the screening method, which consists of reviewing all the positive tests with a magnifying glass to detect variants, is slipping due to a lack of tests.
The Ministry of Health had however been clear, January 23, then February 7, asking that all positive tests be sent for screening within 36 hours.
However, not all PCR tests are re-screened.
For example, on February 2, 5,655 screening tests were performed nationwide, or about a quarter of the overall volume of positive tests.
Every day, a little more than 20,000 new contaminations are identified.
According to our information, 12,000 screenings were carried out on February 10 nationwide and 3,000 variants revealed.
In Ile-de-France, the number of variants detected oscillates, still according to our information, between 300 and 1000 per day.
In this context, how can we have an exhaustive vision of the situation and act quickly on the spread?
“Nobody is playing the game!
However, it is on this that will depend whether we must be re-defined or not, "rants a medical source who accuses the public of slowing down and the private sector of shunning competition.
In the screening field, Eurofins Biomnis and its platform in Ivry (Val-de-Marne) have a head start.
2.2% of Ile-de-France residents vaccinated
Regarding vaccination, 44,203 nursing home residents (65%) received a first injection, and 5,353 both doses.
Regarding nursing home professionals, the proportion is lower: 26.4% of the staff received a first injection and 3.3%, both.
In the general population, people at risk and over 65 years of age, 268,889 Ile-de-France residents were able to be vaccinated, or 2.2% of the population, including 37,147 people with both doses.
Many people who are eligible for the vaccine cannot yet do so.
Like Dany, 77, in Seine-et-Marne, who vainly calls his vaccination center every day since January 23.
In the meantime, she refrains, even during the holidays, from reuniting with her grandchildren.