Religious Zionism, Meretz and of course blue and white - the blocking percentage is not a matter of course • Netanyahu knows that without Smutrich he has no real ability to win • There is a future pressuring Ganz to retire and not endanger thousands of votes • And what is the connection between Merav Michaeli and the precedent statement issued • Interpretation
The perpetual dilemma: the good of the party or the good of the bloc.
Ganz and Torch
Photo:
Oren Ben Hakon
Three things will be decided in the 2021 elections: the vaccines and the corona, the small parties and the turnout.
Netanyahu's working assumption from the first moment is that the road to 61 seats on the right passes in one triumphant picture, of a small country in the Middle East, which bypasses the entire world and is first liberated from the corona crisis.
It is doubtful that this will happen.
Too many disruptions have already occurred along the way and there is no guarantee that these were the last ones.
If the election takes place in the shadow of another close closure, immediately after, the whole effect of success will dissolve.
This week they began to put aggressive pressure on Bnei Gantz to retire from the race so as not to jeopardize four expensive seats in the center-left camp.
Netanyahu's working assumption is that blue and white will not pass at the last minute and the road to 61 will be paved.
This is exactly the concern of Lapid, who decided it was time to take off his gloves in front of his former partner and bring about his early retirement.
The message will soon be sharpened.
The danger of voting for Gantz, they will claim a bad future, is twofold.
Both of not passing the blocking percentage and throwing votes in the trash, and also of another alliance with Netanyahu after the election, if Gantz passes, despite the explicit promises and the bad blood between them.
Leaders of large parties who become leaders of small parties overnight do not see themselves bound by past commitments.
They also get proportions.
When Tzipi Livni headed Kadima with 28 seats, the possibility of entering the government under Netanyahu did not arise.
Four years later, led by a party of only 6, stood first in line to join.
Despite the pressure, Gantz is not ready for retirement.
Humiliation does not give him the opportunity to do so.
Anyone who has come as far as possible in a battle that has lasted more than a decade against Netanyahu cannot throw away all his achievements, as well as the slim chance of being appointed prime minister in November, if no other government is formed by then.
What’s more the current polls are doing kindness to his party and passing it with between four and five seats.
Bish Atid claims that they did not run a field campaign on behalf of the party's youth or its representatives in the local authorities as reported, but they intend to try to create a great resonance around this point, given the fact that blue and white retirement is a critical element in the victory map they have formulated.
It is estimated that if in the latest news there will be polls that show that blue and white do not pass, Ganz will prefer to retire and not take on the shame of failure.
In the blue-and-white bloc, it is not the only party that is scratching the blocking percentage.
Since Merav Michaeli won the Labor Party primaries, it seems that the party is moving away from the danger zone, which is impossible to say about Meretz.
Although the party has a stable and solid "base", its ideological proximity has led many Meretz voters to find Michaeli Hostel's Labor Party not bad for their views, no less than the original.
On the right, the eyes are naturally on religious Zionism, led by Bezalel Smutrich.
In the last week, there has actually been a strengthening of five seats, but the tension around the question of its transition will remain until the last minute.
Netanyahu has no real ability to win if she falls.
It's yes to the phone
Great satisfaction Netanyahu's people expressed after the interview given this week by Prime Minister Yonit Levy in News 12. His appearance was phenomenal for them. Victory by knockout. Netanyahu did not lose his balance even for a moment, made sure to smile and remain relaxed even when the blows landed on him. With the "na na na", which apparently has already entered the pantheon, along with the "pickles" and "what, what?" That were in front of him.
It seems that beyond grinding the subject of vaccines, the corona and the economy during the interview, Netanyahu is making efforts to reinvent himself. No longer one that attacks and attacks his opponents, but on the contrary. On the one hand, he consolidates, smiles a lot and lets his opponents mess with the dirt and slander. Even in a photo released by his office, taken during the phone call he received from Joe Biden, Netanyahu seems to be happier. this conversation confirms talks with Donald Trump.
as criminal cases that exist do not deliver the goods from rivals Netanyahu, whether due to weakness or due to erosion, try are created from scratch tales invented to bring new thrills to the house. in the previous campaign was the involvement Netanyahu affair subs , Which was not and was not created.This week even in Germany c
Bar closed the case on the grounds that there is no criminal basis in the story.
The current campaign already includes the following criminal act: Netanyahu's talks with Arnon Milchen.
The prime minister himself admitted during the interview that he had talked "twice or twice" with Milchen, and immediately those explaining explained that these were criminal conversations that should be investigated with caution.
Of course, if it had been revealed that Netanyahu had asked, hinted or implored Milchen not to testify against him, it would indeed have been a criminal offense, from harassment to obstruction of justice.
There is only one problem with the story: the content of the conversations has not been revealed.
Netanyahu is allowed to talk to Milchen just as he is allowed to talk to Knesset Speaker Yariv Levin or Ambassador Gilad Ardan - both of whom are also prosecution witnesses. He is not allowed to talk to them about the trial.
Outbreaks of the
mud fights
Outbrain is a global company that specializes in smart online information promotion. Every politician would want the first results that come out of searching for his name on Google to be compelling articles glorifying his enterprise, and Outbrain knows how to do it. She also knows how to plant articles from certain news sites so that they appear on other news sites as well, and even how to change their title without of course being part of the system. Whoever pays the company on the way does so for the purpose of promoting himself or humiliating the opponent. It was easy for Naftali Bennett's people to recognize that two defamatory articles that appeared on the Haaretz website were not the result of the newspaper's editorial board, but of Outbrain's extraordinary abilities.
To locate the identity of the defamer, i.e. the payer, she petitioned to the right to the Central Election Commission demanding that the company expose him. The petition states that by law the party is prohibited from promoting online advertising without publishing the identity of the funding body. Judge Vogelman upheld the ruling and ordered Outbrain to find out who commissioned the anonymous defamation campaign from her. Aaotbriin refused on the grounds that it is not an Israeli company, but its response to the election committee Citbh two other recipients are visible: Attorneys Amichai Weinberger and Adi Sadinsky, the legal advisers of the party A New Hope, thus exposing the customer mysterious.
With new hope argued that this is not a campaign denigrating because he did not Inventing new things about Bennett but only flooding those who were already known about him in the past.This is true, but as long as the flood costs money, the identity of the payer should be known to all by law.We further claimed with new hope that the defamatory campaign came after weeks of attacks by Bennett on Saar, who has not received a proper response so far.
The reciprocal attacks do not come just because each side believes that the other side holds seats that can pass to it at the last minute. The rivalry between Saar and Bennett is deeper than it seems. Saar is sure Bennett has a coordinated alliance with Netanyahu. He continues to be careful in his honor and refuses to pledge not to sit under him in the government. On the other hand, Bennett is convinced that Saar has a coordinated alliance with Yair Lapid. Therefore, in his opinion, they chose a new hope to spend money on his defamation and not on Lapid
. The arrows are all turned by Ra Q. The government towards Lapid. The Prime Minister would very much like to see him rise in the seats and get closer to the 20-plus zones. This will ensure the opening of a head-to-head battle, which will magnetize the voters of both sides to the big parties, who will drink the small parties. Last time, Netanyahu drank too much and left Bennett's new right below the blocking percentage. This time, he hopes, those who will not survive are the left-wing bloc parties: Meretz, Labor or Blue and White.
Lapid should have replied to the prime minister in the same currency and said "it's Netanyahu or me", but he decided not to. His "sane government" campaign is expected to accompany him throughout the election campaign, until the polls open. He sees Bennett and Saar running around the studios and talking only themselves and believe that they make a mistake, the public is not interested in them. no battles between the Saar and Bennett, and battles between right and left Netanyahu to inspire. proper management begins with the government correct functioning. this Netanyahu failed, and with this torch has started.
state party to
commission The central election disqualified Abtissam Maraana from running in the Labor Party list. The High Court will reverse the decision and Maraana will remain at number 7 in the Labor Party unhindered. Out of the existing leadership in Labor there is not a single voice that believes that a red line, not legal but values, has been crossed while staying in the party.
In her statements and worldview, Maraana symbolizes the ideological deterioration that the work has undergone from the days of Rabin and Peres to the present day. From the Zionist Workers' Party, which built the country, Judea and Samaria, and advocated the strengthening of Israel's security, it became a party that waved the progressive fringes, with the current chairman's opposition to family life in its traditional version, and with Reconciliation with No. 7 calling for the removal of Zichron Yaacov In
addition to the party's recovery in polls since Michaeli was elected, there is also a phenomenon of veterans leaving feeling that it is no longer their Labor Party. Next to Shimon Peres, for many years, was a loyal group of members who met without publicity, in his office, once every two or three weeks. Everything was up for discussion and discussion - foreign and domestic policy, people, candidates, party and national struggles, everything. This is not a group of sayers but of friends who told him everything. Unconditionally and shamelessly.
Even after Peres' death, his friends continued to meet regularly and discuss matters. Haim Cohen from Jerusalem, Avraham Katz Oz, who have accompanied Peres since 1977, have been joined over the years by Miki Bar Zohar, Yehezkel Zakai, Nissim Zvili, Rafi Elul, Nehemiah Ganot, Micha Harish, Moti Sasson, Yoram Dori and Yosef Engel. To this day, not a word or message has come out of that regular forum. Were, spoke on his own behalf.
This week the forum convened and decided for the first time, since its inception, to express a common position in the public, including those who have been members of Mapai for more than fifty years.
"We recommend to all our former members, and today," the forum's first statement ever said, "vote In the upcoming elections for the state and not for the party, that means for Bnei Gantz. We believe that Gantz is the man who can keep the country on the right path, in an effort to unite the people and prevent civil war.
"We trust his words, even though in the past he did not always stand by them, but not out of deception but with no choice, and this happens quite a bit in politics. He was the only one who was willing to give up his place to produce the center's system union." √