In Mainz, red-green-yellow rules - and according to surveys on the state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate, it can stay that way.
The SPD will still crash.
On March
14th,
the 2021 state elections will take place in
Rhineland-Palatinate
.
Surveys show high popularity ratings for the incumbent SPD
Prime Minister
.
The election prognoses nevertheless indicate that the CDU will gain and the SPD will lose.
Update from February 24th, 2.30 p.m.:
A new survey from February 23rd shows: The SPD has narrowed its distance to the CDU.
The ruling SPD is currently 31 percent, the CDU 33 percent.
According to the
survey by the opinion research institute Insa - commissioned by
Bild
- the Greens have lost two percentage points of approval and are now 12 percent - compared to the previous month (January 23).
FDP (6 percent), Left (3 percent) and AfD (9 percent) remain unchanged.
The research group Wahlen made a similar forecast for ZDF at the beginning of February.
According to the polls, Prime Minister Manu Dreyer's red-yellow-green coalition would still have a majority.
Institute |
date |
SPD |
CDU |
AfD |
FDP |
Green |
The left |
Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
INSA / image |
02/23/2021 |
31 |
33 |
9 |
6th |
12 |
3 |
3 |
ZDF political barometer |
02/05/2021 |
31 |
33 |
7th |
5 |
13th |
4th |
7th |
Infratest dimap / SWR |
01/14/2021 |
28 |
33 |
8th |
6th |
15th |
3 |
7th |
Infratest dimap / SWR |
December 10, 2020 |
28 |
34 |
9 |
5 |
15th |
3 |
6th |
INSA / image |
October 21, 2020 |
27 |
33 |
10 |
5 |
14th |
5 |
6th |
Infratest dimap / SWR |
09/10/2020 |
26th |
34 |
9 |
6th |
17th |
4th |
4th |
State election 2016 |
03/13/2016 |
36.2 |
31.8 |
12.6 |
6.2 |
5.3 |
2.8 |
7th |
State election 2021 in Rhineland-Palatinate: polls see CDU ahead - Malu Dreyer is still popular
First report from January 29th, 9:40 a.m .:
Mainz - For Prime Minister
Malu Dreyer (SPD)
the omens look good.
The state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate * will take place on March 14th in 2021.
The
polls
indicate that this time the CDU will be the strongest force in the state parliament and thus overtake the Social Democrats.
For the
traffic light coalition
with which Malu Dreyer rules, there should still be a majority again.
Since the last state election, the balance of power between several parties has shifted.
A slight gain for the CDU * contrasts with a significant loss for the SPD *.
The polls for the RLP state election in 2021 also show the great gains of the Greens, which have now clearly
overtaken
the
AfD
*.
The FDP should manage to return to the Mainz state parliament, while
Die Linke
* is expected to be below the 5 percent hurdle.
Polls on the 2021 state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate
For all eligible voters who would like to compare the positions of the parties before the election, there is again the Wahl-O-Mat Rheinland-Pfalz *, which offers assistance.
State election forecasts for Rhineland-Palatinate show several possible coalitions
The SPD is predicted to lose around eight percentage points.
A new edition of the
coalition
of SPD, Greens and FDP * is still possible.
In the case of Bündnis 90 / Die Grünen *, the election researchers see an increase of around ten percentage points.
In principle, according to the
prognoses
for the state election in Rhineland-Palatinate,
black-green-yellow is also
possible.
But there is no mood of change in the state.
The
ruling parties
appeared at the beginning of the election year emphasizes satisfied with the cooperation.
Christian Baldauf
, the top candidate of the
CDU
, is therefore not the top favorite for the office of Prime Minister.
After the RLP state election, he must hope
to bring the
Greens
and
FDP together
in a new coalition.
Finally, there is still the possibility that the election result will differ significantly from the forecasts.
If the two obvious coalitions of three parties do not work out, a
GroKo
remains
the emergency solution.
If the CDU and SPD then form a coalition, Baldauf would probably replace Dreyer as the candidate of the strongest party.
Popularity of the top candidates: This is what the polls for the state election RLP 2021 say
When it comes to the
top candidates
, the incumbent Prime Minister again has the
popularity ratings
on her side.
This was shown again in January 2021 in a survey by SWR on the occasion of the state elections in Rhineland-Palatinate.
In the opinion of the top candidates of the parties, Malu Dreyer achieved the best value by a large margin.
71 percent of those surveyed were satisfied or very satisfied with the incumbent.
With Christian Baldauf it was only 33 percent.
(rm) * Merkur.de is part of the nationwide Ippen-Digital editors network