The powers' agreement with Tehran gave it a recognized status as a nuclear state - and the status was maintained • Israel, too, is lacking momentum in forming a united front against its armament • Interpretation
Iran's supreme leader Khamenei
Photo:
AFP - Archive
Last week, the ultimatum issued by Iran to the United States expired, demanding the immediate lifting of the sanctions and an unconditional return to the existing agreement. It also became clear that for weeks there had been secret contacts between Washington and Tehran to try to return to the negotiating table.
Beyond the fact that some of the cast members now also played key roles in the Obama administration, the sequence of events evokes a disturbing deja vu feeling.
At the end of 2012, there were also secret contacts between the United States and Iran, which paved the way for public discussions. But until then, international agreement was prevalent that there would be no negotiations with Iran as long as it did not stop uranium enrichment. : Recognition of its "basic right" to enrich uranium - always.
Blinken: "We will strengthen the nuclear agreement with Iran" // Photo: Reuters
Another disturbing resemblance is the return of the discourse of the times.
Instead of discussing preventing Iran from becoming a nuclear state (ever), even today it seems to be dealing with estimates as to when it will be.
The previous time, the assessments of the "shortened time" created a sense of urgency to reach an agreement, just as today they form the basis for stimulating the discussions.
Those who signed the agreement at the time were not ashamed to admit that with its expiration "Iran will be a few months away from a bomb."
The discourse of the times, therefore, anchored the solution around the rejection of danger.
Not preventing it.
It also seems that the same line of satisfaction continues on the Iranian side.
Not only did Iran willingly sign the agreement, but it has never rescinded it since.
The Iranian interest was and still is to maintain the agreement.
why?
Researchers at the Mamari Institute have been good at explaining: “Iran will never withdraw from the nuclear deal, as it gives it a legal and recognized status as a nuclear state.
A status approved and recognized by the UN Security Council.
That is, what was given in the nuclear deal signed by the UN Security Council - which is de jure recognition of the right to enrich uranium, alongside the de facto acceptance of the ayatollahs' regime - would be very difficult to take. Did not destroy the Barak reactor as it pledged in the agreement, nor did it give up its military intentions, as revealed in the nuclear archives - the Security Council did not change its position.
The intra-Israeli arena also continues along a similar line.
The opposition, which did not know how to back the prime minister's struggle against the agreement at the time, does not change its path, and instead of creating a united front with Iran together with the government, misses the second chance to show statehood and supreme responsibility. Israel's security, "he said today in a weak response:" In order for the agreement not to be bad, we must be part of the process. "Not a firm line in the face of danger or folding in its face, but a kind of covert criticism against the government. According to Netanyahu, the agreement makes Israel safer, "sounds just like Herzog, who stated that" the alternative to the agreement is a nuclear Iran. "
Looking at the way everyone is treading the same path again, it is not clear whether it is intentional blindfolding or chronic naivety.
Either way, we should wake up, because we will not have a third chance.