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Experts question the effectiveness of the coefficient of infection: "Less accurate in the current situation" - Walla! news

2021-03-01T12:37:37.552Z


Decision-makers rely on the R-index, which rose to 1 today and aims to indicate an average of people infected with the disease from one person. However, in the background of the vaccination of millions alongside recovering corona, the benefits of the central tool may be nullified and experts believe that additional variables should be considered: "The picture is more complex"


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Experts question the effectiveness of the coefficient of infection: "Less accurate in the current situation"

Decision-makers rely on the R-index, which rose to 1 today and aims to indicate an average of people infected with the disease from one person.

However, in the background of the vaccination of millions alongside recovering corona, the benefits of the central tool may be nullified and experts believe that additional variables should be considered: "The picture is more complex"

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  • Corona virus

Meirav Cohen

Monday, 01 March 2021, 14:12

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The government will convene today (Monday) to discuss the next wave of reliefs that is expected next week, but the coefficient of infection that continues to rise has reached 1.

According to experts, the coefficient of infection may no longer be the best measure for assessing the disease status, and additional variables need to be considered, including the number of vaccinated and critically ill patients.



"From the beginning of the epidemic there is never a single index that is correct, you always have to look at the full picture, which includes the number of verified, percentage of tests, distribution by population groups and ages," explained Prof. Nadav Davidovich, head of the Ben Gurion University School of Public Health The experts of Magen Israel.

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"Much more among young people."

Corona tests in Petah Tikva (Photo: Reuven Castro)

Prof. Davidovich (Photo: Danny Machlis)

According to Prof. Davidovich, the coefficient of infection is an important measure, but it is not the only one.

"What happens is that because of the immunization and the fact that it is a very contagious virus, but much more among young people, less increase in severe morbidity is seen. The virus is more contagious and also a little more clinically severe, so the whole combination creates a different picture .

"If we add the issue of vaccines, it gives us a more complex picture."



"We must learn to live alongside the virus," he continued.

"We need to see that people are vaccinated as quickly as possible in all age groups from the age of 16 and up, and on the other hand understand that it is still forbidden to gather. Everything that happened now on Purim is very bad. The faster we get vaccinated we can also see less increase in morbidity." "Beyond the vaccine, there are other issues, such as speed tests and an educational protection program. We need multi-layered protection."

Check the morbidity trend in your locality:

He clarified that easing should be continued with caution - with speed tests and a green mark.

"There are a combination of many variables that need to be taken into account: the issue of vaccines, and also that the virus is more contagious, including in young people, with a slight increase in morbidity. Vaccines do not solve everything. I think one should proceed with the opening of things, just carefully."

Grade the difficult patients

Prof. Mevorach (Photo: Yoav Dodkevich)

Prof. Dror Mevorach, director of the internal medicine and corona wards at Hadassah Ein Kerem Hospital, believes that the more central index today is the number of critically ill patients.

"I think we need to look at the number of patients, because the coefficient of infection is a little less accurate as soon as the age of those infected decreases, and also predicts only after two weeks. However, the number of serious patients gives the situation now."



According to him, the coefficient of infection is "a good thing to use."

However, he added: But I have reservations about people's understanding of the difficult patients.

I argue that starting with 600 serious patients in the country there is already stress in hospitals.

I would suggest making a rank of 600, 800, 1,000 and 1,200, which is already the red line, and according to that to rank the ease and return to life. "



Prof. Mevorach noted that the pressure in hospitals still exists." And is still dedicated to Corona patients, so there is a problem here.

I feel that we should think carefully about which concessions are given and which are not, and certainly not to act in a hurry. "

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Source: walla

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