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The corona has increased mortality by 10%, life expectancy has dropped by two months - Walla! news

2021-03-02T04:10:20.615Z


At the beginning of last year, before the corona, the lowest excess mortality rates ever recorded in Israel were recorded, but since then they have been rising. According to a study by the Taub Institute, from September to October records of 30 years were recorded, while between the waves the number of cases was lower than in previous years. The main casualties: Haredim and Arabs


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The corona increased mortality by 10%, life expectancy decreased by two months

At the beginning of last year, before the corona, the lowest excess mortality rates ever recorded in Israel were recorded, but since then they have been rising.

According to a study by the Taub Institute, from September to October records of 30 years were recorded, while between the waves the number of cases was lower than in previous years.

The main casualties: Haredim and Arabs

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  • Corona virus

  • Taub Center

Meirav Cohen

Tuesday, 02 March 2021, 06:00

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Positive peaks to abnormal levels.

Corona Department at Hasharon Hospital (Photo: Reuven Castro)

The corona virus has significantly increased the excess mortality rate in Israel - according to a study published yesterday (Monday) by the Taub Center, which examined the data throughout 2020. According to the study, at the beginning of last year the lowest mortality data ever was recorded, but in the end. Decreased life expectancy.

The main casualties were ultra-Orthodox and Arabs.



The researchers looked at the numbers by December, when there were 3,338 dead from Corona, while now there are already 5,760.

They found that among the epidemic waves, the mortality rate in Israel was lower than in recent years, but from early September to early October, the peak of the second wave, the overall mortality rate rose to the level last recorded in the 1990s, when life expectancy was four years lower.

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(Photo: Image Processing, Source: Alex Weinreb, Taub Center | Data: CBS)

The study also examined mortality by age groups, and to what extent it was influenced by the age structure in Israel.

Considering the increase in the population, the number of deaths in Israel has increased by about 7%, and when one takes into account the expected reduction in mortality, the rate already rises to 10%.

Although this is a significant increase, it is lower than in other countries.



Overall, the excess mortality rate in Israel is lower than expected according to the age structure and patterns of infection with the virus.

Since the outbreak, the verified patients have been mostly from the 20-55 age group.

The number of patients verified among those aged 80 and over during the first wave was 40% higher than their rate in the population, until September it dropped to about 60% of their rate in the population, in October it rose again, and then fell again.

A similar trend was observed among those aged 60 and over.



These trends indicate some success in protecting adults from infection.

If the rates of infection matched the age structure in Israel, there were 31% more deaths in Israel, while the rates of infection matched the age structure in OECD countries - the number of deaths was double.

More on Walla!

3 times in the risk group, less than their share of the population: mortality from Corona in the ultra-Orthodox sector

To the full article

(Photo: Image Processing, Source: Alex Weinreb, Taub Center | Data: CBS)

In the first two months of 2020, the lowest mortality rates were recorded - less than 11 deaths per 100,000 residents per week.

This is a decrease of 7% compared to the same period in the years 2017-2019.

The effect of the corona on mortality rates began to be felt from the end of March, and especially from the beginning of July to the end of September.

Between the waves, mortality rates returned to lower levels than they were in 2017-2019.



The excess mortality rate also affected life expectancy, which is expected to decline in two months.

This means that the excess mortality associated with corona had a heavier weight than the sharp declines in mortality rates among younger ages.

However, given the high rates of infection among young people, the decline in life expectancy is lower than expected.

(Photo: Image Processing, Source: Alex Weinreb, Taub Center | Data: CBS)

The data show that about half of all those infected among those aged 65 and over by mid-October were from the ultra-Orthodox population, and mortality rates from corona-related causes among the ultra-Orthodox were four times higher than their share in the general population.

Therefore, the decline in life expectancy can be expected to be disproportionately concentrated in ultra-Orthodox areas.

In Arab society, too, excess mortality may be higher, but not because of particularly high rates of infection, but because of background diseases — mainly diabetes and heart disease that are more common in this population.



"It should be remembered that the flu epidemic in 2015 also reduced life expectancy in most European countries by more than three months, even in countries with good health systems," explained Prof. Alex Weinreb of the Taub Center.

"A decline of about two months in life expectancy in 2020 due to the corona is a relatively moderate decline, but it is not yet known what is expected in 2021, as the mortality rate in the last two months has been unusually high. However, it is important to understand that wearing masks Others, as evidenced by the very low number of cases of influenza this winter. "

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Source: walla

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