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The era of elites has fallen? Tian Beijun: The establishment "prefers the left rather than the right" sighs that the moderates can't do anything

2021-03-03T23:16:28.025Z


The national "two sessions" opened, the CPPCC meeting took the lead yesterday (4th), and the National People's Congress meeting will also be held today. Under the vigorous and vigorous "National Security Law" and the main theme of "Patriot ruling Hong Kong", Hong Kong politics in recent months


Political situation

Written by: Lin Jian

2021-03-04 07:00

Last update date: 2021-03-04 07:00

The national "two sessions" opened, the CPPCC meeting took the lead yesterday (4th), and the National People's Congress meeting will also be held today.

Under the vigorous and vigorous "National Security Act" and the main theme of "Patriots governing Hong Kong", Hong Kong's political situation has changed drastically in recent months. First, the democrats have "lost", and then "reform Hong Kong's electoral system" is like an arrow. string.

In this situation, for the moderates of Hong Kong's old age, don't feel a bit of a feeling in your heart.

Tian Beijun, the honorary chairman of the Liberal Party, who is considered to be light blue, accepted an interview with "Hong Kong 01" and talked about the political situation in recent months.

Tian Beijun said that under the main theme of "Patriots governing Hong Kong," the local patriotic camp tends to "prefer the left to the right." The moderates are marginalized, and the political landscape is dominated by the dark blue faction.

He also believes that the traditional elites of the old age, whether they are in business, or professionals with a more moderate attitude, and even the light blue and middle line that he has been pushing, are difficult to do in this political situation, and they will soon appreciate it. Happy.

Even if they get some seats because of the pan-popular climate and the reform of the electoral system, "they will always be a minority, not a key minority, and they will no longer have any influence on politics."

Tian Beijun said that under the main theme of "Patriots governing Hong Kong," the local patriotic camp tends to "prefer the left to the right." The moderates are marginalized, and the political landscape is dominated by the dark blue faction.

(Photo by Yu Junliang)

Ji's elite civil service system can be maintained

This visit came a little bit suddenly. Recently, Ye Liu Shuyi, a member of the Executive Council, was dissatisfied with the deep blue camp's attack on Liu Liqun, the new permanent secretary of the Food and Health Bureau, and Ye Liu himself became the target of the attack.

Tian Beichen, Tian Beijun's younger brother and member of the Legislative Council of the Practical Political Roundtable, posted a message on social networks, saying that the patriotic camp should not attack each other.

The reporter was curious and asked Tian Beijun's opinion.

Tian Beijun directly invited reporters to come for interviews, and seemed to have deep feelings about the recent political situation.

Tian Beijun said that he is not clear about the motives of the Deep Blue camp. Perhaps they also think that Ye Liu Shuyi is right, but they can't publicly agree with it. They can only scold Ye Liu for a copy.

He expressed the hope that the elite civil service system that Hong Kong has always relied on for success can continue, because the most outstanding talents in the Hong Kong government are already in the administrative officer system.

He believes that if this group of elites in society are defeated and turned into a pure "cadre party", it will be harmful to the future development of Hong Kong.

Lament that the establishment of the system is

more

serious

than the

left and not the right.

When it comes to the deep blue camp, Tian Beijun should not be unfamiliar.

Since 1988, he has been a member of the Legislative Council. In 2003, the key to "reverse" 23 points. Then in 2014, he criticized the then chief executive Liang Zhenying and was removed from the CPPCC post. "Tian Dashao" has always been a symbol of the light blue and moderate establishment. .

But also because of this, the attacks in the blue camp can be said to have come more than any establishment.

Tian Beijun believes that in recent years, the establishment "preferring the left rather than the right" situation is very serious, and sometimes even more aggressive than the central government: "I feel that the more left the more the support of the Liaison Office of the Central Committee, the wrong shoes are polished all day long. Maybe the central just wants to They do 60% or 70%, and in the end they do 90%.” And these "dragon" parts often lead to more independent thinking organizations such as Tian Beichen and Ye Liu Shuyi, vulnerable to too many attacks. It's hard to move an inch.

Tian Beijun stated that there is no controversy about loving his country, but after careful distinction, he believes that there is a slight difference between "patriotic" and "patriotic, loving Hong Kong."

(Photo by Yu Junliang)

I think there is a slight difference between "patriotic" and "patriotic love Hong Kong"

Tian Beijun mentioned that the principle of "patriots ruling Hong Kong" may have more or less contributed to the momentum of some Deep Blue people.

Tian Beijun emphasized that there is no controversy about loving his country, but after careful distinction, he believes that there is a slight difference between "patriotic" and "patriotic, loving Hong Kong."

He used himself as an example: "I am a person who loves the country and Hong Kong. If China fights with other countries, I will definitely stand on China's side; but internally, when the central government and Hong Kong have different interests on individual issues, I may not do everything. In the same position as the central government, sometimes we have to stand on the side of Hong Kong people to fight for their rights."

However, due to the political chaos in recent years, the central government has tightened its control over Hong Kong and raised "patriotism" to an unprecedented level.

Tian Beijun pointed out that this situation will cause the establishment to no longer need to think independently, and only need to "show loyalty" to be in power.

In any case, being light blue will be questioned as "not patriotic enough."

Therefore, at some levels, Tian Beijun expressed his appreciation for Shao Shanbo, the former chief adviser of the Central Policy Group, who called for not "overkill."

He laughed and said that Shao Shanbo, known as the "Left King," also "turned his sex" and said some gentle things.

"In fact, what he (Shao Shanbo) meant is that the central government has more than enough control over Hong Kong in the political situation. If you continue to do it, you will only deal with your own Hong Kong people. You don't have to be so terrible." He hoped that more people in the establishment would have the courage to say Make such remarks that are good for Hong Kong.

It is expected that the political role of local elites will continue to shrink and those who are aspiring to politics will be disappointed."

Tian Beijun, who was born in the business world, is naturally concerned about the future political role of the business community in Hong Kong.

As we all know, the major local real estate developers, their businesses in all walks of life, and their influence on the political map have supported or dominated Hong Kong society to a certain extent for decades.

The industrial, commercial and financial sectors also occupy a single sector in the special committees.

Tian Beijun feels that the central government has become more wary of local consortia in recent years, and with the increasing importance of "patriotism", it is expected that its political role will become smaller and smaller: "In 1997, Beijing was still able to listen to the local business community. The business sector supports Tung Chee-hwa, and the central government agrees. However, the current central government has not listened to the business community, and directly said who I want (to be the chief executive), and just ordered to support whom.” Tian Beijun’s example was naturally 2017. In the election of the Chief Executive in the year, Carrie Lam was obviously blessed by Beijing, and some business people must return to support Carrie Lam.

"In terms of financial strength, the market value of a Tencent has surpassed the five major real estate consortia in Hong Kong (Cheung Kong, New, New, Henderson, Wharf); in terms of political loyalty, how can local consortia do not understand mainland rules as well as mainland consortia. The central government is not listening. The opinions of the local consortium, I can tell you that today, Li Sheng (the former chairman of the Changhe Department, Li Ka-shing) has no political influence anymore." Tian Beijun summed up the role of the business community in this way.

He expects that the political role of the local Chinese consortium will continue to shrink in the foreseeable future, and business can continue, but politically, they must follow the instructions of the central government 100%. They must show their loyalty at the first order, and it will be difficult to influence the central decision.

For this reason, Tian Beijun believes that if the traditional elites of Hong Kong society, whether they are business or professionals, if they really have ambitions to promote some changes, they are meaningless to participate in politics because the greater the hope, the greater the disappointment. Knowing and feeling dispirited.

"Maybe I need to pour cold water. I have nothing to do with politics. I must follow the central government 100%."

Tian Beijun believes that elections are no longer the same thing, because in the future the Legislative Council will be fully controlled by pure "patriots."

(Photo by Yu Junliang)

Evaluate the situation of the middle party: there may be seats, but...

Speaking of being so pessimistic, election reform will still come.

Tian Beijun launched the "Alliance of Hope" last year, advertised as a middle line, and wanted to become a "key minority" in the parliament, maintaining a balance of power and ensuring the smooth operation of "one country, two systems."

One year later, in the face of the "major surgery" that the central government is about to perform, is there still a market for the middle route?

Regarding electoral reform alone, Tian Beijun believes that the central government believes that Hong Kong's political system has "changed" and wants to change back to the original intent of "one country, two systems."

As for the "Super District Council" seats are rumored to be cancelled, he said that as early as the 2010 political reform, many business friends around him reported that this was a "direct election in disguise," which is in contrast to the "two-sectoral ratio" referred to by the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress in 2007. "No change" is different, and it is normal to change back.

Speaking of the election situation, Tian Beijun estimated that if there are still elections in September this year, and the final reform of the law is like the "divided" constituency and the double-seat single-vote system that has been circulating in the political circles, many "generals" in the Huangying camp have been repaid. Under the circumstances, the centrist may absorb some light yellow and light blue votes in individual constituencies, and get two or three seats.

But he believes that elections are no longer the same thing, because in the future the Legislative Council will be fully controlled by pure "patriots": "At that time, we (Hope League) were afraid that the democrats would have serious consequences after 35+, and wanted to be a key minority. In the current situation, even if someone is elected in the future, they will always be a minority, and by no means a critical minority. To put it bluntly, those three votes are invalid and will not affect anything."

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Tian Beijun The Patriots Ruling Hong Kong

Source: hk1

All news articles on 2021-03-03

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