Political situation
Written by: Wen Weiguang
2021-03-09 07:00
Last update date: 2021-03-09 07:00
The national "two sessions" are being held in Beijing. The plenary session of the National People's Congress will review and pass the draft "decision" on improving Hong Kong's electoral system. The election model of the Hong Kong Legislative Council and the Election Committee will usher in a "major operation". Will be completely rewritten.
After the electoral system is amended, whether the future legislature is composed of the "333" proposed by the moderates or the tougher "234" proposal, the proportion of directly elected members will definitely be greatly reduced compared with the current one, which in a disguised way will reduce the living space of political parties that are mainly engaged in direct elections. narrow.
Some organizations in the organization have analyzed to the author that the DAB has earlier proposed the "Reform Hong Kong" initiative, changing the position of a political party from participating in politics to "multi-channel participation in governance", as if it were a "spring river plumbing duck prophet." I believe the DAB Under the general pattern of "political reform," in addition to sending party members to participate in direct elections, joining the government accountability team will be a new way out for the party.
Directly elected large households welcome the challenge of the airborne government to find a way out
According to the current composition of the Legislative Council, if there are 5 seats in the "Super District Council", there will be a total of 40 elected seats by one person, one vote, accounting for more than half of the overall Legislative Council.
However, under the new "political reform" blueprint, whether it is the "333 (30 seats directly elected)" plan or the "234 (20 seats directly elected)" plan, the proportion of directly elected seats will be greatly reduced, and the influence of the Election Committee will decrease. .
According to the analysis by people in the organizational system, the Democratic Alliance for the Betterment of Hong Kong, the Federation of Trade Unions and other political parties that use direct elections as their development path are most affected by this "minor political reform."
According to traditional wisdom, in the past, the outside world has always believed that Hong Kong will have more and more directly elected seats, and that there will be more and more opportunities to participate in party work. Unexpectedly, there is now a "return road". When the seats are squeezed, the political parties that take the route of direct elections will naturally bear the brunt.
Political circles estimate that the new 500 seats in the fifth sector of the Election Committee may be dominated by representatives of the CPPCC and local associations. Although the DAB and the Federation of Trade Unions can also share a piece of the pie, they are only a minority.
And even fewer people join the Legislative Council through mutual elections by the electoral committees.
Moreover, entering the Legislative Council through the election committee group is always two "teams" with the direct election team. Then, how to arrange the existing political group direct election team?
Withdraw the seat of the "super zone" Zhou Haoding turned to the runway to become an official?
Some senior politicians said that Beijing is deploying to "improve" Hong Kong's electoral system, especially when it is preparing to slash directly elected seats. There is no reason to not consider "supporting" measures to relocate the directly elected army within the establishment.
In particular, Beijing is now holding high the banner of "patriots ruling Hong Kong." There are more "patriots" in these established political parties.
The person pointed out that according to Beijing's deployment, if one side cuts directly elected seats in the Legislative Council, the other side will increase the number of politically appointed positions in the government at any time, giving the establishment directly elected army an "escape door."
For example, Zhou Haoding of the Democratic Alliance for the Betterment of Hong Kong, who joined the Super District Council in the current session, has no "super district" and is arranged to join the government at any time to become deputy director or other newly-added political posts.
Last year, the Chief Executive Carrie Lam Cheng Yuet-ngor and the Executive Council decided that members of the next Legislative Council will maintain a monthly salary of 101,000 yuan, while the monthly salary of the deputy director will range from 210,000 to 250,000.
If a member of a political party is transferred from a legislative council member to a deputy director, the "Great Leap Forward" can be achieved manually, and the "money" path will be even broader.
Or further expand the political appointment team to promote the government's huge administrative machinery
The politician believes that Beijing’s “improving” Hong Kong’s electoral system this time will be a whole set of strategies to establish a comprehensive and broader “patriot” governance team. After the layout of the legislative council has been changed, one will come at any time. Chapter "Sequel to Small Political Reform" further expands the number of political appointment teams in the government to strengthen the power of "patriots" in the government to promote the huge administrative machinery of the government.
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The DAB suddenly proposed to "change Hong Kong" earlier. At that time, many people were a little confused, but now it suddenly became clear that the DAB is a "spring river plumbing duck prophet" and has long been "went to" the road to direct parliamentary elections in the future. Narrowed down?
Among the Yunyun initiatives of the DAB "Transform Hong Kong", the most notable thing is that the party has changed its position that has been used for more than two decades, from participating in politics and discussing politics to "multi-channel participation in governance."
It now appears that this seems to be foretelling that under the new political reform, the DAB will accelerate the pace of joining the government accountability team, promote more professionally qualified and highly educated DAB members, and become members of the accountability team. The main general, to prevent the DAB from becoming a loser under the new political reform.
See the current four major sectors of the Chief Executive Election Committee▼▼▼
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The Democratic Alliance for the Betterment of Hong Kong