Lapid's silence is a calculated move designed to weaken Yesh Atid - in order to leave a chance for the left, and to anesthetize the territory in the Likud by presenting the absence of a competitor • Opinion
The fog of doubts regarding Yair Lapid's strange silence recently finally dissipated yesterday.
The election strategy of the Lapid-Saar-Lieberman headquarters has been revealed, and it includes two tongs movements: anesthetizing the election discourse and limiting the success of Yesh Atid.
This move makes both electoral and psychopolitical logic.
If Lapid passes a ceiling of 20 seats, and maybe even kisses 25 - it will happen at the expense of the left-wing parties - Labor, Meretz, Blue and White - and also at the expense of Saar.
In such a situation, the left-wing coalition is not possible ("the coalition of change", as they call it).
It is therefore necessary to limit Lapid's success, and his silence is in fact part of a conscious and deliberate move to halt his own ascent in favor of the super project - the replacement of Netanyahu.
Photo: Benjamin Netanyahu's Facebook page
But it also has an important psychopolitical purpose: the success of the project depends not only on restraining the rise of Yesh Atid but also on numbing the Likud territory - which in fact does not arise when there is no clear, concrete and significant enemy threatening it.
This is the reason why Lapid avoids presenting himself as a candidate for prime minister and even announces that he intends to give up his debut even if he wins more seats than Saar and Bennett.
This ambiguity, the dominance of the atmosphere that in fact has no opponent, and therefore no threat - has a great impact on the motivation of Likud voters.
Negative influence.
The Likud's potential is rigid and almost unchanged: one million and 300,000 voters.
But right-wing voters in particular and Likud voters in particular have a consistent trait: not to go out and vote in numbers close to national support rates.
It so happens that despite the toughness of Likud voters, in the test of the result, 300,000 potential voters remain at home - certainly compared to center-left voters.
For example, in Likud strongholds such as Bat Yam, the turnout was 20 percent lower than the national average, in Dimona 10 percent less, in Tiberias 12, in Kiryat Shmona 11, in Netanya 12, and this is a partial list.
It is this loss of votes that affects the election results.
The dormant election campaign - the one in which there is no ideological-ideological debate and which mainly has no clear and agreed-upon rival with Netanyahu - serves the strategy of the Lapid-Saar-Lieberman staff, because it denies the Likud the "drive" that drives Likud voters to the polls. A sense of urgency without which the motivation to get to the polls falls miraculously and usually results in the loss of the right in the election.
Lapid, by the way, was not supposed to be silent.
His silence and the blurring of his candidacy are a solution to the problem created by Saar's failure to deliver the goods.
Saar's "new hope" was supposed to crumble support for the Likud, and to that end the people of the "Lincoln Project" were brought in, whose job it was to tire and hate Netanyahu on the right and on Likud supporters in particular.
The Lincoln project failed, and Saar failed in his job to erode the broad popular support for the Likud and Netanyahu.
From the moment Saar failed and disappointed his partners, and apparently also weakened in the polls - including against Bennett - it all now depends on Lapid's candidacy blurring strategy.
He is silent in order not to succeed electorally in order not to harm the "coalition of change" (ie the left), and he is silent in order not to create an open rivalry with Netanyahu, thereby numbing the Likud territory.
Rescued by him are of course the mainstream media, which is doing everything in its power to obscure the substantive debate that will sharpen the differences between the blocs and the candidates: the economy and the corona, the peace agreements, and dealing with the Iranian threat.
But in front of the Saar-Lapid-Lieberman headquarters, the national camp must set up its own headquarters to fight total anesthesia - a joint headquarters that will include the Likud, Shas, Torah Judaism, religious Zionism and Chabad forces - which will take it upon themselves to raise the voting rate in Maozi Right and compare it to that of the center-left strongholds.
Once we understand that the Lapid-Saar-Lieberman headquarters is building on a low turnout of right-wing and Likud voters, we understand that only motivating voters will lead to victory and bring hope to the right-wing government.
Do not let them put you to sleep.
