Is the tide changing for François Bayrou?
The boss of the Modem collects the refusals.
The introduction of postal and Internet voting?
The government says no.
An extension of 250 billion euros to the recovery plan?
The Minister of the Economy Bruno le Maire brushes aside the proposal: the current project is "well calibrated" and does not need to be muscular.
Even the proportional to legislative, the main reform defended by the High Commissioner for Planning, gets bogged down.
Letter to the Head of State, interviews, exchanges with the opposition: everything went there… Without success!
Under the pretext of carrying out additional consultations, LREM blocks its inclusion in the parliamentary calendar.
A funeral that does not say its name.
After June, it will no longer be possible to alter the voting system for the supreme election.
In a MoDem group meeting, this Tuesday at the Assembly, its president Patrick Mignola acknowledged that he was "not at all sure that this will succeed" but that "we only win the fights that we lead" .
“An exit from the alliance with LREM?
It is certain that he thinks about it "
Almost a year before the presidential election, the mayor of Pau is going through a rough patch.
On a personal level, he has lost his lifelong accomplice Marielle de Sarnez.
Politically, he is quartered.
On February 9, during an executive committee of the movement, Emmanuel Macron's main ally began to rail against the Marchers, in front of stunned participants: "If everything we propose is systematically rejected, it will be necessary to 'they accept that we take back our freedom.
"
Freedom: the word is out, like a threat.
"Is he preparing an exit from the alliance with LREM?"
It is certain that he thinks about it, advances a framework of the Modem.
François is the last of the dinosaurs, he knows that everything is played out in the presidential election.
He wants to create a balance of power and spare himself other options: if his troops get behind Edouard Philippe or Xavier Bertrand, that can change the situation.
Another elected member of the movement adds: "Is he fighting for proportionality because he absolutely wants to obtain it or so that it is refused to him, which would allow him to regain his freedom?"
"
In the meantime, the high commissioner delves into the files.
François Bayrou is working on a note on demography, while the French birth rate is declining.
And two more on food and care.
One way to prepare France for the challenges of the future or to make itself heard?
"Without a certain idea of the inspiring and unifying state, de Gaulle would not have given birth to the TGV, the Concorde, the nuclear power programs ... This question of reconquest, it should appear in the next presidential campaign", explains t he did in a recent interview with Southwest.
Bayrou begins to keep the blurry
In the immediate future, the MoDem must overcome the regional ones of June 2020. The movement has many leavers, some of whom are reluctant to join the LREM lists, as in Hauts-de-France or Grand-Est.
In Ile-de-France, 7 elected centrists announced that they would stay with Valérie Pécresse.
"The members of the MoDem who would support or participate in lists not invested by the movement would be de facto outside the party, by virtue of our statutes, very clear on this point", warns the deputy Jean-Noël Barrot, approached as departmental leader of the list of the presidential majority in Ile-de-France.
A national MoDem council will take place on March 19.
It promises to be stormy, like the executive office last Friday.
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Proportional to legislative: the strategy of getting bogged down
Anxious not to lend a side to accusations of disloyalty, François Bayrou calls on his flock to remain in the presidential majority.
But for 2022, he is starting to keep the blurry.
“Bayrou was the big winner of 2017, comments the mayor of a medium-sized city.
By stepping aside, he had opened the doors of the Elysee Palace to Macron and obtained in exchange ministers and many deputies.
This time, his pressure is more limited on Macron.
If he trips the president, Bayrou will be the big loser.
At 69, the center grumpy is playing one of the toughest parts of his long career.
