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We will get out of the corona even before we get out of the tangle: two weeks before the election, three comments on the situation - Walla! 2021 Elections

2021-03-09T04:40:25.670Z


Election day is approaching, and party leaders are taking positions in the face of the apparent lack of determination. Saar and Bennett are vying for the title of leader of right-wing opponents at Lapid's expense, Netanyahu is campaigning against the ombudsman, Ganz is warning of chaos and the parties below the blocking percentage are fighting against the world - and this is just the beginning


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We will get out of the corona even before we get out of the tangle: two weeks before the election, three comments on the situation

Election day is approaching, and party leaders are taking positions in the face of the apparent lack of determination.

Saar and Bennett are vying for the title of leader of right-wing opponents at Lapid's expense, Netanyahu is campaigning against the ombudsman, Ganz is warning of chaos and the parties below the blocking percentage are fighting against the world - and this is just the beginning

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  • 2021 Elections

  • The Likud

  • There is a future

  • right

  • a new hope

  • Benjamin Netanyahu

  • Yair Lapid

  • Gideon Saar

  • Naftali Bennett

His dew

Tuesday, 09 March 2021, 06:34

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In the video, the submission of the lists to the Knesset - the joint disbanded (Photo: Knesset Channel, edited by: Tal Reznik)

1. Time of boycotts and disqualifications

Two weeks before the election, the picture of the polls is quite frozen and it seems that even on March 24 there will be no clear decision between Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the camp that opposes him.

In all polls, even those in which the number of left-wing parties is below the blocking percentage, the classic right-wing ultra-Orthodox bloc does not have 61 seats, and on the other side - egos, disqualifications and boycotts greatly complicate the ability to build a coalition to change government.



What is left until then is to improve the positions and positions on the map - to gain as much power as possible for the complex political game that will begin the next day - and the way there is through the struggle for floating, debating and swaying voices within each bloc, persuading them to leave home.

This is the jungle stage: everyone is hunting for prey in a tangled forest of seats.



The Likud is looking for supporters of Tikva Hadasha chairman Gideon Saar and Yemina chairman Naftali Bennett, who are trying to prove their rightness and loyalty and are competing in a close battle for the title of heir to the throne by releasing statements against Yesh Atid chairman Yair Lapid. Also: Bezalel Smutrich Against Bennett in the fight for religious Zionism, the Labor Party and Blue and White in the defamation contest on the hearts of the center-left, which is common against RAAM and Meretz against everyone, and especially against anyone who calls on her to resign because she does not pass the blocking percentage.

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It will be a long time before a decision is made (Photo: Reuters)

This is the great hour of declarations and disqualifications, those we have already learned to take on very limited bail.

Netanyahu, who travels from one Likud city to another, commits at every station to a different grandiose plan: a vaccine plant in the north, a new college in the Negev, NIS 1 billion to fight crime in the Arab sector.

His opponents settle for zoom calls, conferences and interviews, in which they also scatter commitments - but on the composition of the next government.



Bennett tries to build himself as Libra but at the same time denies sitting under Lapid and Meretz, Saar doubts Lapid's ability to form a coalition, Lieberman sharpens the tone against the ultra-Orthodox, and Lapid opens the door to the joint list while declaring that in order to replace Netanyahu, he will be willing to give up His dream is to head, but a minute later - denies rotation with Bennett.

Common to all the promises and declarations is that they depend on the results of the truth, and that if everyone keeps their word - the chance of a government being formed is diminished.

Meanwhile, they are all statements of principle that are true at this time, in which the goal is to conquer strongholds in the jungle of seats.

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To the full article

Fighting at the expense of Torch.

Saar and Bennett (Photo: Flash 90, -)

2. Eat and drink, because tomorrow - again tangle

Two weeks before the election, a lot of wine, beer and chasers are flowing through the streets of Israel, washing away the tears and beads of despair and anxiety of the past year of closures.

With remarkably accurate timing, the successful vaccination campaign has allowed the government to release the final stage of restrictions in the economy, and send the millions of vaccinated to celebrate the arrival of spring in hotels and restaurants.

Admittedly, the international mutations have disrupted Netanyahu's original plans to send masses of Israelis for Passover holidays in the Greek islands, and also cast doubt on his promises to celebrate Seder properly.



But Seder night is only after the election.

Until then everyone will eat, drink and enjoy.

And the mutations will also celebrate and continue to enter the land, with the opening of the sky without sufficiently effective testing, isolation and enforcement mechanisms.

After the election, on loan after the holidays, Israel will face the results.

Literally.

Statements of principle for this hour.

Lapid (Photo: Knesset Channel, Shmulik Grossman, Knesset Spokeswoman)

The way out of the corona is already felt, so eat and drink fairly because the way out of the political tangle is a little less.

And even after the election, there are still days, weeks, and maybe even months, of heavy fog.

Whether we celebrate the settlement with the extended or nuclear family, we will probably not yet know if there is and what is the path to forming a government, because the inter-bloc balance again depends on the fate of a host of small parties.

The situation of Meretz, RAAM, blue and white, and to a lesser extent, also Smutrich's Labor Party and Religious Zionism - can also be determined by hundreds of votes that will be counted only with the arrival of the soldiers 'and sailors' envelopes.



Enough to return to the relatively recent history of April 2019, so the new right of Naftali Bennett and Ayelet Shaked fought for weeks for 1,300 votes they were missing. In the last poll before the election, by the way, they got 6 seats, but in the truth results they did not pass the blocking percentage. Given the corona restrictions, they further slowed down The rate of counting the votes, waiting and expectation for each of these parties can create quite a bit of drama, and each can change the distribution of seats and the boundaries of the game between the blocs.

Last attempt to increase the range of confidence.

Ganz (Photo: Official Website, Shmulik Grossman, Knesset Spokeswoman)

3. Between Geveld and the April plot

Thus, two weeks before the election, the biggest focus of pressure is in the center-left bloc, and in fear of losing votes below the blocking percentage that will give Netanyahu the victory.

At this point, none of the potential candidates for dismissal are making any retirement signs, despite the growing pressure: Yaron Zelicha insists he is the election surprise and that he is running to the end;

Meretz in the Geveld campaign for its role and historical place on the left;

And blue and white, which is relatively stable at 5 seats but far from a safe range, has upped the ante in warnings from the "April plot" and the government chaos that could ensue if it fails in the election.



The blue-and-white apocalyptic scenario is based on heavy legal question marks surrounding the Alternative Government Act, on the basis of which the government was formed last year, and what happens to the alternate prime minister and his ministers if they do not enter the Knesset.

According to Ganz and his people, Netanyahu will - perhaps - be able to fire them, abolish privacy and continue to run the transitional government alone - while taking over the Ministry of Justice.



Attorney General Avichai Mandelblit did not agree to provide an opinion on the matter, and there are two legal interpretations that contradict this scenario, which if it does happen - will most likely roll over to the Supreme Court.

But for a blue and white campaign it is enough, in a last-ditch effort to strengthen and increase the range of confidence.

Gantz started the campaign angrily on his constituents, and now he is trying to scare them to the polls.

After the election the real chaos may begin.

Netanyahu (Photo: Official website, no)

Netanyahu, it should be noted, plays an important role in the guild of blue and white, and contributes his share in sharp attacks on the ombudsman who delays and inhibits the grants he wants to distribute, just before the election. Yesterday, on a Likud tour of Jerusalem, he told one of the business owners that Gantz and the legal advisers Will approve the plan, "You are coming with all your friends to Saladin," and will refuel the blue-and-white horror scenarios with mentions from the sights of Capitol Hill last January, along with photos of Smutrich and Itamar Ben-Gvir.Yesterday, Gantz demanded that the government approve his appointment In the Ministry of Justice as a permanent appointment - in an attempt to fortify in advance.



In two weeks we will know if the fear worked or predicted a conspiracy in reality. Only if Gantz does not pass the blocking percentage - there is a high chance he will pave the way for Netanyahu's historic victory and his dream government. There will be, will not really be the main story, and one does not have to wait until the April plot to know that after the election there may be chaos, and that Netanyahu will do whatever it takes to keep power in his hands.

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Source: walla

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