It's a long-term time bomb ... The drop in the birth rate in France, observed for several years and confirmed once again in January by the demographic report of INSEE, could have serious effects on the availability of the workforce and on the French social protection system.
Because if the dynamics and the constant fall of the conjunctural fertility indicator (TFR) may seem trivial in the short term, the real repercussions of this phenomenon will not be appreciated for several decades.
And the consequences could prove very costly.
Read also: The Covid-19 also attacks the birth rate
Concretely, between 2010 and 2020, this indicator, which measures the number of children a woman would have throughout her life, fell from 2 to 1.84.
A real problem since, to ensure the renewal of a generation, it must reach 2.1 ... "
This is a significant drop that the Covid crisis confirms.
And there are reasons to think that it could be worrying
, estimates the economist
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