2021 Elections
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April mission: Netanyahu fights for prime minister, and his opponents for Knesset
11 days before the election, the Likud is not far from the dream 61 government, but if they sin again - the Likud estimates that its opponents' first task will be to take over the legislature through the chair of the chairman. Also: Without a minister and paralyzed
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2021 Elections
Benjamin Netanyahu
Bnei Gantz
His dew
Friday, March 12, 2021, 09:39 Updated: 09:40
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In the video: Netanyahu launches Likud campaign: "It will be a close battle" (Photo: Likud spokeswoman)
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has traditionally taken care to frame the election as a battle for the composition of the next government and especially for the identity of its leader: "It is either us - or Livni / Herzog / Ganz / Lapid the prime minister!"
This is a password that only replaces a turn-by-turn suffix.
There is also a truth behind it: for Netanyahu, the election is solely for the prime minister, and his main task was and remains to maintain his place in Balfour.
Only in the noise of the campaign it is sometimes easy to forget that in Israel there is a parliamentary system, and that the elections are not for the prime minister - but first and foremost for who will rule the Knesset.
The bloc facing Netanyahu had a clear parliamentary majority on both the second and third dates, but due to divisions, rifts, disqualifications and finally defections and folds, they never succeeded in realizing it.
Now, they have been given another chance to mend.
To this day, he has managed to thwart any conspiracy: time and time again, with a slew of sticks and tricks, he has kept the keys to power in his exclusive hands, even though he did not have a majority in the Knesset, and neither did he - even when there was a majority against him.
11 days before the election, it seems that Netanyahu is not far from the dream scenario of 61 seats, but if he misses the target again - the battle for the Knesset will arise in full force, even before a government is formed and whoever is in charge is decided.
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Managed to thwart any plot.
Netanyahu (Photo: Official Website, Alex Kolomoisky)
The Likud estimates that the first task of Chairman Yesh Atid Yair Lapid, Chairman of New Hope Gideon Saar and Chairman of Yisrael Beiteinu Avigdor Lieberman after the election will reach the position of Speaker of the Knesset, and from there take over the important committees, and continue to enact legislation that will prevent a defendant Criminally serve as prime minister.
New Tikva officials Gideon Saar and Zeev Elkin, who in the past in the Likud strongly opposed legislation against Netanyahu, made a different tone this week, explaining that they are now "considering" supporting such a law - if it is not retroactive and applies only in the next election.
This is ostensibly enough to put an expiration date on Netanyahu's rule and remove the sting from the possibility of a fifth election.
Exactly a year ago, after the third election, this was the plan led by Lieberman and Ofer Shelach, to realize the 62 seats of the non-Bibi bloc.
Immediately after the inauguration of the Knesset, Blue and White demanded the election of a new chairman. Then began one of the great constitutional dramas that the tangle knew, some would sail to the point of governmental energy.
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Four tests and a political companion: the scenario that Netanyahu should consider after the election
To the full article
They will try to take over the position of chairman. Lapid and Lieberman (Photo: Flash 90, Miriam Elster / Flash 90)
Yuli Edelstein refused to hold the vote and violated an explicit order of the High Court, entering the history of the war of separation of powers in Israel. By the time they finally voted for the chairman, Ganz was already in the midst of feverish negotiations with Netanyahu, withdrew from the original plan and stood for election. He then handed over the position of Speaker of the Knesset to the Likud in the coalition agreement and gave up the most significant force outpost in the system.
If the bloc that opposes Netanyahu restores the blocking majority, it is not impossible that replacing the chairman will again be their first task, only this time in the position of Edelstein will star Yariv Levin. Already last year he invited the Supreme Court president to the Knesset with the court guard and open the plenary session itself. Levin is a much more radical and blatant revolutionary than his predecessor and one of the flagships of the struggle between the Knesset and the High Court.
He is also a loyal and devoted soldier of Netanyahu, who knows that if he loses the Knesset, the way to losing power will be shortened.
A trial without a Minister of Justice
Meanwhile, another government-legal drama is about to get excited about us after the election, and is troubling senior jurists: what will happen to the creature called an exchange government was and blue and white does not pass the blocking percentage.
What happens if Gantz is not an MK, and his status as the deputy prime minister, and if Netanyahu can fire his ministers from the transitional government until a new government is sworn in, or until the next election, whichever comes first. Attorney General Avichai Mandelblit refused to provide Gantz with an opinion On the issue before the election, and left, for the use of a blue and white campaign, the question is open in
the air.According to the "April conspiracy" currently underway on the country's roads, if Gantz does not pass the blocking percentage, on the day a new Knesset is sworn in - he will no longer replace The government will ignore the privacy and restrictions of the exchange government, and will form a transitional government as it pleases, and most importantly - will appoint a justice minister, who will fire the ombudsman and appoint a lawyer on his behalf.
To the extent that a fifth election appears to be a real chance event, Netanyahu's comfortable and frightening blue-and-white transitional government can function for months.
By the way, just like the comfortable transitional government he had for a year between Sunday and Tuesday, in which he also appointed his loyalists to positions of power, and so Minister of Internal Security Amir Ohana arrived at the Ministry of Justice, religious Zionist chairman Bezalel Smutrich became a cabinet member. Right-wing Naftali Bennett fulfilled his dream of becoming defense minister.
Risks deportation from the camp.
Ganz (Photo: Official website, Judge of the Judiciary)
For a blue-and-white campaign for reinforcements from life itself: Last month, Netanyahu tried to force a vote in the government contrary to the privatization agreements in the Basic Law: The Government and contrary to the Attorney General's position. This week, during an election tour, he called on his supporters to "get over Salah a-Din" The economic that the ombudsman is delaying because it is an election bribe.
And he refuses Gantz's demand to appoint him permanent justice minister, as if preparing the ground for another appointment in his place.
Amid the great noise of videos and billboards, the Justice Department story goes beyond the bounds of the campaign and plunges the country into further governmental chaos and the government into functional paralysis, until this too, apparently, eventually rolls over to the High Court. Ganz now serves as acting justice minister, but a week later Elections His temporary appointment is expiring, and Netanyahu currently has no intention of approving him as a permanent member, whether he passes the blocking percentage or not.
Thus, as of April 1, there will be no Minister of Justice in Israel, and a significant part of the work of the Ministry of Justice will be silenced until an unknown date: pardons, extraditions, regulations, appointments and many other unique powers given to the minister will remain unanswered.
Four days later, the testimony phase in Netanyahu's trial will begin.
It really does not matter about the law, but in the history books it will be recorded that in those days there was no Minister of Justice in Israel.
He will not be in a hurry to give up the chair.
Levin (Photo: Official Website, Shmulik Grossman, Knesset Spokeswoman)
Even if blue and white eventually survives - Netanyahu will not be in a hurry to appoint Ganz as Minister of Justice, but he will also not be able to appoint anyone else there.
The justice portfolio, by law, has an affiliation with the deputy prime minister, and only he can appoint him.
So is the media portfolio, which Gantz designates for MK Eitan Ginzburg - who will remain without a minister in three days because his permanent appointment has not yet been approved.
As long as Netanyahu delays the justice minister, Blue and White do not agree to approve the appointments of Yoav Galant and Yuval Steinitz as ministers of higher education and water, and the priesthood temporary lapse as well in the coming weeks. In the meantime, all the work of the government is paralyzed, so to paralyze her more than she is paralyzed anyway. even the bills on the beams can not pass, because it is impossible to convene a ministerial committee for legislation without a justice minister.
"scheme April "rises and falls on one question: what will be Gantz's legal status if he is not an MK, who has conflicting legal interpretations, and will roll over to the High Court as well. But the campaign ignores another key question: if Gantz does not pass the blocking percentage, will Will he have any public and political legitimacy to continue to hold on to the throne? Netanyahu, and it is not inconceivable that they will be expelled from the camp in disgrace.
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