What lessons can we learn from the crisis?
"This year has been unprecedented, unprecedented, extraordinary for the French, who have shown extremely strong resilience and, despite everything, optimism and a desire to project themselves",
greeted Frédéric Dabi, guest of the "Talk Le Figaro" on Friday. .
But after two confinements, a deep economic concern and a terrorist shock,
"we now have an exhausted opinion,
" he added.
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The crisis also had consequences for political life.
The deputy director of the Ifop institute notes
"a kind of disconnection, of a gap, between a crisis management very severely judged by the French and a management of the economic crisis appreciated for its concrete measures, embodied in addition by a well-known minister and judged excellent, Bruno Le Maire ”.
But, perhaps most astonishing, it is that these severe criticisms,
“did not impact the presidential rating,”
assures Dabi.
"The first confinement was a collective adventure, to defeat the virus and find the path to happy days,"
recalls the analyst.
The president was initially exonerated from all malfunctions, even though the French today are making a very harsh story about masks, tests and vaccination.
According to Frédéric Dabi, it is
“a flag effect, a national union effect.
We are behind the leader ”.
The analyst adds that the president then benefited from two prime ministers who served him well.
“Édouard Philippe, who left Matignon in a true state of grace, and Jean Castex, a fusible prime minister, who concentrates all the criticisms, whose popularity rating is in deficit and lower than that of the president”.
Read also: One year of Covid-19: the French criticize the management of the executive
Will this crisis have an impact on the presidential election?
The deputy director of Ifop assures us that
“yes”.
He believes that, on a whole series of subjects, the crisis
"has been an accelerator, a catalyst of behavioral, political and societal trends".
If the presidential campaign will be played on the crisis, the security theme
s
era as important, he warns.
And it is
"dangerous, it is the Achilles heel for Emmanuel Macron".
Thirteen months before the election,
"the uncertainty is very high, nothing tells us that the Macron-Le Pen final will be announced, the electoral offer is not even known,"
insists the director of Ifop.
“A lot can still happen,”
he concludes.