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More crimes in Starnberg - but only statistically: That is the explanation

2021-03-12T19:16:31.187Z


From a purely statistical point of view, crime in the Starnberg police station increased by 18.1 percent in 2020. In fact, it has declined. The contradiction is the result of both the type of calculation and a single perpetrator.


From a purely statistical point of view, crime in the Starnberg police station increased by 18.1 percent in 2020.

In fact, it has declined.

The contradiction is the result of both the type of calculation and a single perpetrator.

Starnberg - numbers don't lie, they say.

But not all the figures give the right impression: The crime report of the Starnberg police station, which was published yesterday, shows 2418 criminal offenses, 370 cases or 18.1 percent more than in the previous year.

The irritating thing about it: According to the police crime statistics (PKS) counting method, the data are correct, but they do not reflect the actual events of the previous year.

Because of Corona that was rather manageable.

The PKS is a so-called expiry statistic, which means: For 2020 all crimes are counted that were "identified" in 2020.

That does not necessarily mean that they were also perpetrated in 2020.

And this is exactly where the biggest problem in the statistics of the previous year lies: of the 2418 cases, around 500 are from 2019 - the acts of a Pöckinger who have been collecting apparently abandoned parcels for a long time and stored at home are recorded as thefts would have.

There were more than 700 in total, resulting in around 500 individual criminal offenses.

Since the investigation lasted months, these cases appear in the PKS 2020 from the end of 2019 - and give the impression of an increase that actually did not exist.

"If we hadn't had this case, which was very labor-intensive, the number of criminal offenses would have decreased," says police chief Bernd Matuschek with certainty.

Several officials were busy for weeks documenting the parcels and parcels, all recipients had to be written to.

In many cases, they were not damaged, as the suppliers had often sent replacements for the consignment that had initially disappeared without a trace.

In the meantime, all shipments have reached the recipients or have been destroyed.

The package thief also caused the significant increases in the individual communities in his neighborhood - Berg was not affected, the number of criminal offenses fell there.

And one more consequence: the so-called frequency (criminal offenses per 100,000 inhabitants) has risen, which actually means that the security situation has deteriorated.

If you adjust the bill for the package cases, not much has changed compared to 2019.

Criminal offenses caused damage of almost 3.5 million euros.

Theft / fraud

The total number of crimes is statistically the highest in more than a decade.

Since the 500 advertisements from the package process have been cleared up, the clearance rate also rose sharply to 69.2 percent - on average in previous years it was mostly 60 to 61 percent.

The packages are also the background to the seemingly dramatic increase in thefts of more than 90 percent.

If you subtract these cases, you get a slight decrease.

The shoplifting remained constant, which is also due to the most common crime scenes: supermarkets and drugstores that were and are open in Corona times.

The PKS methodology strikes again for the number of burglaries: it shows 36 for 2020, significantly more than 2019. However, a series of burglaries came from the end of 2019 and was therefore included in the 2020 figures.

2020 was rather quiet in this area, says Matuschek.

The number of cases of fraud has hardly changed (248 after 254 in the previous year).

The meshes have remained: call center fraud such as fake police officers, shock calls or grandchildren trickery, fake Microsoft employees or alleged housing offers on the Internet.

The latter look like this: Fraudsters from abroad - England, Eastern Europe - hijack pictures of real rental offers, create their own online for an apartment in Starnberg or Tutzing and offer this naturally non-existent apartment cheaply, but not cheaply.

Interested parties get in touch and get a story: The landlord is abroad, but you could have the key for a viewing for a deposit of several hundred euros.

If you transfer, you lose your money and neither get a key nor an apartment.

According to Matuschek, the number of cases is in the single-digit range, and it is “not a typical Starnberg problem”.

Acts of violence

In this area, also known as brutality offenses, Corona is clearly noticeable.

The normal physical injuries decreased, the serious hardly any.

What the police call street crime, such as fights, property damage to cars and the like, even decreased noticeably.

"There were no Stadlfeste, no Oktoberfest", Matuschek gives examples of the causes.

"The decrease in property damage to motor vehicles from 111 to 87 cases and in simple bodily harm from 198 to 159 cases was particularly clear."

The robbery increased from five to seven.

Last year the criminal investigation investigated the brutal crimes: the triple murder in Starnberg and the attempted five-fold murder in Pöcking, which has been tried in court since yesterday (see page 5).

Domestic violence shows that corona and lockdown also have dramatic consequences in the region - but not if you only look at the PKS figures.

It shows 68 cases, in 2019 there were 61. That doesn't look like a sharp increase.

In fact, it does exist: Of the 61 cases in 2019, about ten of two couples who have since split up, so actually there were only 53 individual incidents in 2019.

The increase from 50 to 68 is considerable.

"Corona certainly played a major role", Matuschek analyzes.

Suspects

The number of suspects also shows that crime has tended to decline.

1038 were determined in 2020, almost 100 fewer than in 2019. The figures fit in with the fact that, without the package case, criminal offenses would have decreased.

corona

The corona reports are not part of these statistics, as they are administrative offenses, not criminal offenses.

The inspection passed on around 400 reports to the responsible district office, so more than 500 missions are recorded (with some, nothing was found).

In general, the nighttime curfew, which was in effect from time to time, made life difficult for offenders.

Source: merkur

All news articles on 2021-03-12

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