Baden-Württemberg chooses.
Winfried Kretschmann's Greens could usher in a 15-year era - for the CDU, however, it will be tight.
And the coalition variants are diverse.
State elections in Baden-Württemberg: On Sunday (March 14th) a new parliament will be determined in the southwest.
According to surveys, everything points to an election victory for Winfried Kretschmann's Greens - the CDU is threatened with a debacle.
The question of the new government coalitions is tense.
Several variants are conceivable.
This news ticker is continuously updated.
Stuttgart - Baden-Württemberg elects a new state parliament on Sunday (March 14th) - it looks as if a Prime Minister's era of Merkel-like proportions is looming: Winfried Kretschmann has been the first Green Prime Minister of the republic since 2011 .
And if the last polls are to be believed, then another election victory can be assumed.
The Greens recently had a full ten percentage points ahead of the Sunday issue.
But the election evening remains exciting.
Because it is more than open what a future government coalition will look like.
The continuation of green-black seems mathematically secure and has already been brought to the eco-party by CDU country chief Thomas Strobl.
But first she showed the cold shoulder.
Much depends on how the mandates are ultimately distributed.
was standing |
source |
Date / time |
Green |
CDU |
AfD |
SPD |
FDP |
left |
Others |
survey |
ZDF |
March 11, 2021 |
34 |
24 |
11 |
10 |
11 |
3 |
7th |
State election in Baden-Württemberg live: Greens already heavily courted before election day - CDU threatens a rude awakening
Kretschmann and the Greens chairwoman Sandra Detzer could ultimately be spoiled for choice.
According to the polls, a traffic light coalition with the SPD and FDP also had the prospect of a stable majority.
And even an absolute novelty cannot be ruled out: the “lime”.
In theory, it could also be enough for the Greens and the FDP as a coalition duo.
Not a politically obvious variant - but possibly more comfortable than a three-party alliance.
And if necessary, leverage against the CDU.
In the end, the Greens could be the bride who is exposed to vigorous advertising - especially since 70 percent of voters want Kretschmann to continue as Prime Minister.
"The FDP wants to shape governments out of", Lindner told the
Stuttgarter Nachrichten
and the
Stuttgarter Zeitung
on Friday - a remarkable statement from Lindner's mouth.
Voters could be sure that “we are not concerned with company cars, but with content,” added the Liberal.
But the CDU also wants to avoid ending up in the opposition alongside the AfD.
Kretschmann himself did not want to lean out of the window.
He described coalition speculation as "sandpit games".
BaWü election live and up-to-date: CDU is even threatened with a violent power struggle - not even its own voters want Eisenmann as Prime Minister
The mood at the CDU is different.
In the event of the predicted crash, you are threatened with a power struggle for the future lineup.
The 56-year-old Eisenmann, who also has to worry about her direct mandate, should have bad cards if the CDU result is well below the 27 percent of 2016.
The minister had made so many enemies in the party in the power struggle for the top candidacy when, with the help of the parliamentary group, she pushed aside the vice-prime minister and head of the country Strobl.
Strobl is considered a confidante of Kretschmann and could most likely lead negotiations on a new green-black coalition.
A bitter side aspect for Eisenmann: Only 28 percent of the CDU supporters want to be head of government, but 60 percent want to keep Kretschmann.
A characteristic of the remarkably central course of the Greens, who had to contend with a private stroke of fate in the election campaign.
In the TV duel with Eisenmann, he even had to let the conservative hold that he was too lax towards the auto industry - wrong world in the country.
Baden-Württemberg elects new state parliament: lobby scandal hits CDU hard - but surprises are possible
As if the polls weren't bad enough, the CDU also has to deal with the so-called mask affair.
Because it hit Baden-Württemberg particularly hard.
The Mannheim Bundestag member Nikolas Löbel has admitted that his company has earned commissions of around 250,000 euros for brokering sales contracts for corona protective masks.
Even Eisenmann recently did not want to rule out that the affair would affect even more MPs.
After all: According to the “Politbarometer”, this will have less of an impact on the election result, despite all the fears in the CDU and CSU.
The reason is that a large number of them have already voted by postal vote.
And attention: Almost two thirds said that for their election primarily state and not federal political aspects were decisive - but that should not alleviate any election hangover of the CDU.
Finally, the focus is also on the AfD.
In 2016, the right-wing populists received a good 15 percent of the vote - an exceptionally high figure for a West German state.
Since then, the AfD has delivered various scandal and scandal in the Stuttgart state parliament.
This cost support from the electorate, but not to a particularly high degree.
11 to 12 percent were assessed in surveys.
In previous elections, the AfD has exceeded the projections of the opinion polls several times.
(
fn / dpa
)