Baden-Württemberg chooses.
Winfried Kretschmann's Greens are facing success in Merkel spheres - for the CDU, however, things will be tight.
And the coalition variants are diverse.
State elections in Baden-Württemberg: On Sunday (March 14th) a new parliament will be determined in the southwest.
According to surveys, everything points to an election victory for Winfried Kretschmann's Greens - the CDU is threatened with a debacle.
The question of the new government coalitions is tense.
Several variants are conceivable.
Also a novelty
(see update from 1.30 p.m.)
.
The projections, forecasts and results from Baden-Württemberg can be found here.
This news ticker is continuously updated.
Update from March 14th, 4 p.m .:
The polling stations close at 6 p.m., then the last local voters must have cast their votes.
Many had already done so by postal vote.
Two more hours and then the time has come.
According to
sz.de,
Susanne Eisenmann and her husband Christoph Dahl have
already arrived in the Stuttgart state parliament.
Update from March 14th, 3:45 p.m.:
A high number of postal voters was expected in the run-up to the state elections in Baden-Württemberg.
And apparently the assumption has been confirmed.
Significantly fewer people than in previous elections drove to the polling station on Sunday.
A representative voter turnout at 2 p.m. shows a decrease of almost 16 percentage points compared to the state elections in 2016. According to this, 36 percent of all eligible voters applied for postal voting.
Update from March 14th, 3 p.m.:
Elections in Corona times: masks when voting, significantly more postal voters and no election parties.
Instead, distance, hygiene rules and quick tests.
Winfried Kretschmann (Greens) and Susanne Eisenmann (CDU) are expected in the house of the state parliament shortly after 6 p.m., as
reported by
focus.de
.
There they will face the journalists and comment on questions about the results.
But here, too, the rule is that there will be no crowds like in previous elections.
State parliament election: BW elects new state parliament - novelty as a possible coalition under discussion
Update from March 14th, 1.30 p.m.:
With 34 percent in the polls, the Greens are considerably ahead.
A full ten percentage points ahead of the CDU - and thus ahead of the challenger Susanne Eisenmann.
However, it is unclear what a possible government coalition could look like.
A traffic light coalition with the FDP and SPD would be possible.
Or even a novelty: the lime.
A coalition of the Greens and the FDP.
In theory, it could even be enough for the unusual duo in the state election in 20221.
According to current surveys, the FDP is eleven percent.
In terms of party politics, it is not very obvious, but more pleasant than a possible three-party alliance.
Update from March 14, 12:10 p.m.:
In the morning, the current Prime Minister Winfried Kretschmann cast his vote.
Together with his wife Gerlinde, the Green politician voted in Sigmaringen.
+
Winfried Kretschmann and his wife Gerlinde cast their votes in Sigmaringen.
© Marijan Murat / dpa
State elections in Baden-Württemberg live: rush to polling stations "still a bit cautious"
Update from March 14th, 11:50 am:
"At the moment it is still a bit cautious",
focus.de
quotes
a spokeswoman for the electoral office in Stuttgart.
The rush to the polling stations for the state elections in Baden-Württemberg has apparently been manageable so far.
One reason could be the current cloudy weather or the high proportion of postal voters, the spokeswoman suspects.
The same was said in other cities.
Update from March 14th, 11 am:
“You know me”, it says on advertising posters from Prime Minister Winfried Kretschmann (Greens).
He also makes this clear in a Twitter video: “You know what I stand for.” This man no longer has to advertise himself, you know him in the state, that's the message.
"You know me".
A sentence that originally came from the mouth of Chancellor Angela Merkel.
To assume that Kretschmann made it his motto for a reason.
During the election campaign, the Greens were accused of being too lax towards the auto industry, and they are characterized by a remarkably central government policy.
Should he win the state elections in 2021, as current forecasts indicate, he too could have a remarkably long term in office.
BW live and up-to-date: State elections in Baden-Württemberg - Kretschmann versus Eisenmann
Update from March 14, 10 a.m.:
Susanne Eisenmann has been Minister of Education for the State of Baden-Württemberg since 2016.
In the Corona crisis, she repeatedly called for schools and daycare centers to be opened.
In an interview with
watson.de
, she recently spoke about the future of young people in Germany.
She emphasized that it was important to strengthen inner cities and meeting places and referred to the importance of clubs, cultural meeting places and youth clubs.
This has to be strengthened.
Baden-Württemberg is a "lively, lovable country in which young people in particular find optimal conditions thanks to the excellent universities, the extensive dual training in medium-sized companies, the attractive city centers and the cultural diversity."
Update from March 14th, 9.15 a.m.:
Prime Minister Winfried Kretschmann (Greens) competes on Sunday against his challenger - and Minister of Education - Susanne Eisenmann (CDU).
His chances of being re-elected are good.
According to recent surveys from Baden-Württemberg, the ruling Greens (with 32 to 34 percent approval) are up to eleven percentage points ahead of the CDU.
A clear distance.
Kretschmann has ruled the state since 2011. As the first Green Prime Minister of the Federal Republic.
State election in BW: Winfried Kretschmann and Susanne Eisenmann compete against each other
Update from March 14, 8:40
a.m.: Election Sunday in Baden-Württemberg has come.
From 8 a.m. to 6 p.m., eligible voters can cast their votes in the state elections in the polling stations.
Update from March 13, 2021, 9:22 p.m.:
Corona time is postal voting time - this also applies to the state elections in Baden-Württemberg.
Only 43 percent want to go to the polling station on Sunday, reports the
picture
.
That would be a new record.
However, as the numbers from a survey by the newspaper show, there are significant differences in the percentage of postal voters when you look at the various parties.
Among the Greens supporters, 34.6 percent have already voted and 24.5 still intend to do so.
Left-wing supporters (32.9 elected and 31 percent intent) also rely on postal voting.
In sharp contrast to this is the AfD - here postal voting is apparently far less popular.
Only 18.6 percent of AfD voters voted by postal vote and 23.7 percent are still planning to do so.
The CDU, SPD and FDP are therefore in the middle of the postal voting sympathizers.
Message from March 12th, 4:53 p.m.:
Stuttgart - Baden-Württemberg elects a new state parliament on Sunday (March 14th) - it looks as if a Prime Minister's era of Merkel dimensions is looming: Winfried has been in office since 2011 Kretschmann in the southwest as the first Green Prime Minister of the republic.
And if the last polls are to be believed, then another election victory can be assumed.
The Greens recently had a full ten percentage points ahead of the Sunday issue.
But the election evening remains exciting.
Because it is more than open what a future government coalition will look like.
The continuation of green-black seems mathematically secure and has already been brought to the eco-party by CDU country chief Thomas Strobl.
But first she showed the cold shoulder.
Much depends on how the mandates are ultimately distributed.
was standing |
source |
Date / time |
Green |
CDU |
AfD |
SPD |
FDP |
left |
Others |
survey |
ZDF |
March 11, 2021 |
34 |
24 |
11 |
10 |
11 |
3 |
7th |
State election in Baden-Württemberg live: Greens already heavily courted before election day - CDU threatens a rude awakening
Kretschmann and the Greens chairwoman Sandra Detzer could ultimately be spoiled for choice.
According to the polls, a traffic light coalition with the SPD and FDP also had the prospect of a stable majority.
And even an absolute novelty cannot be ruled out: the “lime”.
In theory, it could also be enough for the Greens and the FDP as a coalition duo.
Not a politically obvious variant - but possibly more comfortable than a three-party alliance.
And if necessary, leverage against the CDU.
In the end, the Greens could be the bride who is exposed to vigorous advertising - especially since 70 percent of voters want Kretschmann to continue as Prime Minister.
"The FDP wants to shape governments out of", Lindner told the
Stuttgarter Nachrichten
and the
Stuttgarter Zeitung
on Friday - a remarkable statement from Lindner's mouth.
Voters could be sure that “we are not concerned with company cars, but with content,” added the Liberal.
But the CDU also wants to avoid ending up in the opposition alongside the AfD.
Kretschmann himself did not want to lean out of the window.
He described coalition speculation as "sandpit games".
BW election live and up-to-date: CDU is even threatened with a violent power struggle - not even its own voters want Eisenmann as Prime Minister
The mood at the CDU is different.
In the event of the predicted crash, you are threatened with a power struggle for the future lineup.
The 56-year-old Eisenmann, who also has to worry about her direct mandate, should have bad cards if the CDU result is well below the 27 percent of 2016.
The minister had made so many enemies in the party in the power struggle for the top candidacy when, with the help of the parliamentary group, she pushed aside the vice-prime minister and head of the country Strobl.
Strobl is considered a confidante of Kretschmann and could most likely lead negotiations on a new green-black coalition.
A bitter side aspect for Eisenmann: Only 28 percent of the CDU supporters want to be head of government, but 60 percent want to keep Kretschmann.
A characteristic of the remarkably central course of the Greens, who had to contend with a private stroke of fate in the election campaign.
In the TV duel with Eisenmann, he even had to let the conservative hold that he was too lax towards the auto industry - wrong world in the country.
Baden-Württemberg elects new state parliament: lobby scandal hits CDU hard - but surprises are possible
As if the polls weren't bad enough, the CDU also has to deal with the so-called mask affair.
Because it hit Baden-Württemberg particularly hard.
The Mannheim Bundestag member Nikolas Löbel has admitted that his company has earned commissions of around 250,000 euros for brokering sales contracts for corona protective masks.
Even Eisenmann recently did not want to rule out that the affair would affect even more MPs.
After all: According to the “Politbarometer”, this will have less of an impact on the election result, despite all the fears in the CDU and CSU.
The reason is that a large number of them have already voted by postal vote.
And attention: Almost two thirds said that for their election primarily state and not federal political aspects were decisive - but that should not alleviate any election hangover of the CDU.
Finally, the focus is also on the AfD.
In 2016, the right-wing populists received a good 15 percent of the vote - an exceptionally high figure for a West German state.
Since then, the AfD has delivered various scandal and scandal in the Stuttgart state parliament.
This cost support from the electorate, but not to a particularly high degree.
11 to 12 percent were assessed in surveys.
In previous elections, the AfD has exceeded the projections of the opinion polls several times.
(
fn / dpa
)
List of rubric lists: © Sebastian Gollnow / dpa