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State elections in Baden-Württemberg live: Numbers there! Kretschmann dupes competition - black evening for CDU

2021-03-14T19:40:26.645Z


Baden-Württemberg chooses. In the end, Winfried Kretschmann's Greens will clearly prevail, while the CDU has fared poorly historically. All results in the ticker.


Baden-Württemberg chooses.

In the end, Winfried Kretschmann's Greens will clearly prevail, while the CDU has fared poorly historically.

All results in the ticker.

  • State elections in Baden-Württemberg: On Sunday (March 14th) a new parliament will be determined in the southwest.

  • According to initial projections, Winfried Kretschmann remains Prime Minister, while the CDU is heading for its worst result in the southwest.

  • The question of the new government coalitions is tense.

    Several variants are conceivable.

    Also a novelty

    (see update from 1.30 p.m.)

    .

    The projections, forecasts and results from Baden-Württemberg can be found here.

  • This news ticker is continuously updated.

Update from March 14, 8:31 p.m

.: Do fewer people cast their votes in Corona times?

According to information from several television stations, participation in the state elections in Baden-Württemberg was between 62.5 and 64.5 percent - around five points lower than in March 2016. At that time, 70.4 percent of those eligible had voted.

In return, the number of postal voters this time was far higher than in previous years, as the state returning officers announced.

In 2006, only 53.4 percent of eligible voters in the southwest had exercised their voting rights.

But just five years later, the tide turned: In 2011, participation in Baden-Württemberg increased again by 12.9 percentage points.

Update from March 14th, 8:18 pm

: Despite the corona pandemic and the increasing number of infections, Baden-Württemberg's election winner Winfried Kretschmann wants to conduct thorough coalition negotiations.

"You can expect a Prime Minister to be able to do two things at once," said the Green politician on Sunday evening in the state parliament in Stuttgart with a view to his role as a crisis manager.

The coalition negotiations should start in the coming days and proceed quickly, said Kretschmann.

But it will not happen that something falls under the table.

He is optimistic that the pandemic will be largely over by the end of this summer.

After that, however, you must be able to rule together for almost five years, emphasized Kretschmann.

"It would not be responsible not to do it carefully now because of the pandemic."

State elections in BW live: New projections predict a close race for the third largest party

Update from March 14th, 8:07 p.m

.: In the race for the third strongest force in the country and thus possibly the leadership in the opposition, no party can really set itself apart.

ZDF sees AfD and SPD on par, while the alternative for Germany only comes in fifth, according to ARD projections.

The outcome of the election remains open.

was standing

source

Time

Green

CDU

AfD

SPD

FDP

left

Free voters

Others

Extrapolation

ARD

7:58 p.m.

32.4

23.6

10.1

11.6

10.4

3.5

3.0

5.4

Extrapolation

ZDF

8:05 p.m.

31.9

23.2

10.9

10.9

10.6

3.3

3.2

6.0

Update from March 14th, 7.47 p.m

.: The beaten CDU top candidate Susanne Eisenmann does not seek a leading role in the party.

“That's what goes for tonight.

And everything else will be seen in the next few days, ”she said on Sunday evening in the Stuttgart state parliament.

The exploratory talks will be conducted by the CDU state chairman Thomas Strobl.

He hopes that the green-black government will continue: "Winfried Kretschmann has my cell phone number," said Strobl in the SWR.

As the top candidate, she was initially responsible for the election result, said the Minister of Education.

But we should work together on what needs to change in order to counteract the development of the past ten years.

Despite the loss of votes, the CDU is ready for coalition negotiations.

However, it is unclear whether the Greens want to continue the Kiwi coalition.

A traffic light alliance also seems conceivable.

State elections in BW live: AfD, SPD or FDP - who will be the third strongest force?

Update from March 14th, 7:34 p.m

.: The current projections

still predict

a close race for the third strongest force in Baden-Württemberg.

The AfD can hope for 10.5 to 11.9 percent, but clearly misses the strong 15.1 percent from five years ago.

The SPD is 10.9 to 11.1, which would be even worse than the already weak 12.7 percent in the 2016 election. The FDP is increasing (2016: 8.3) and can with 10.7 to 11 percent calculate.

The left, however, clearly missed entry into the state parliament with 3.2 to 3.5 percent. 

was standing

source

Time

Green

CDU

AfD

SPD

FDP

left

Free voters

Others

Extrapolation

ARD

7:27 p.m.

32.3

23.5

10.5

11.1

10.7

3.2

3.3

5.4

Extrapolation

ZDF

7:25 p.m.

31.4

23.4

11.9

10.9

11.0

3.5

3.0

4.9

Update from March 14, 7:19 p.m.:

Winfried Kretschmann still does not want to comment on his favored coalition.

In the ARD, the 72-year-old said succinctly: “Now we are exploring.

I'll talk to the CDU, SPD and FDP and then we'll see what these exploratory talks will result. "

State elections in BW live: Which coalition governs the country?

Kretschmann wants to think “of the big picture”

Update from March 14th, 7:12 pm

: Winfried Kretschmann is grateful for the trust of the voters and understands the “good result” as “an order to continue serving our country as Prime Minister”.

"I accept it with great gratitude and humility," said Kretschmann on ARD.

He did not say whether he would like to continue the green-black coalition or form a possible traffic light alliance with the SPD and FDP.

The Green politician also smiled away corresponding inquiries without comment.

Kretschmann assured, however, that when negotiating a coalition, "think about the big picture".

Baden-Württemberg needs a "reliable and stable government" that has a clear compass.

The exploratory talks will only show which parties this is made up of.

+

Winfried Kretschmann looks back on a successful state election.

The Greens may secure a new record result in Baden-Württemberg.

© Uli Deck / dpa

Update from March 14th, 7:04 p.m

.: The next projections continue to indicate that the race for the third strongest force in Baden-Württemberg remains tight.

Depending on the survey, AfD, SPD and FDP are only slightly apart.

According to projections by ARD, the Social Democrats prevailed in a three-way battle, according to ZDF, the AfD is ahead.

was standing

source

Time

Green

CDU

AfD

SPD

FDP

left

Free voters

Others

Extrapolation

ARD

7:02 p.m.

31.9

23.9

10.8

11.4

10.7

3.4

3.1

4.8

Extrapolation

ZDF

19 o'clock

30.9

22.9

12.5

10.7

11.5

3.6

3.0

4.9

State elections in BW live: Kiwi or traffic light?

Greens are preparing for talks

Update from March 14th, 6.49pm

: After their victory in the state elections, the Baden-Württemberg Greens announced talks about possible coalitions with “all democratic” parties.

"We will have talks in the course of the coming week," said Green Country Manager Oliver Hildenbrand on Sunday in the SWR.

A coalition with the FDP also seems possible.

Their top candidate, Hans-Ulrich Rülke, already sees the good performance of his party in the state elections as a mandate to co-govern.

"Our claim to co-rule in Baden-Württemberg was honored by the population," said Rülke to ZDF.

The SPD also wants to actively participate in government.

In addition, a continuation of the green-black coalition seems possible - a collaboration that has the greatest approval ratings among the population.

State elections in BW live: First projections - CDU and SPD at record low

Update from March 14th, 6.40 p.m

.: Even after the first projections by ARD, the forecasted picture remains.

The Greens are well ahead of the CDU, while the AfD is currently the third strongest force in the southwest.

However, the SPD and FDP are within reach.

According to the first extrapolation, the Greens get their best result in Baden-Württemberg.

In 2016 they had prevailed with 30.3.

For the CDU and SPD, the first projections mean a record low.

The two people's parties have never been worse.

was standing

source

Time

Green

CDU

AfD

SPD

FDP

left

Free voters

Others

Extrapolation

ARD

6:36 p.m.

30.7

23.3

11.8

11.7

11.3

3.4

3.1

4.7

Extrapolation

ZDF

6:38 p.m.

30.9

23.1

12.5

10.8

11.4

3.4

3.0

4.9

State elections in BW live: Eisenmann wants to take responsibility for defeat

Update from March 14, 6:31 p.m

.: According to information from the party's leadership, Susanne Eisenmann wants to take responsibility for the crash in the state election.

This was confirmed by several participants at the meeting of the Presidium of the Southwest CDU of the

German Press Agency

.

CDU country chief Thomas Strobl is said to be in charge of exploring with the Greens whether a new edition of the green-black coalition is possible.

The decision to give him this mandate was unanimous, it said.

The Greens could also form a traffic light alliance with the SPD and FDP.

In the CDU Presidium, there was also agreement that a German coalition with the SPD and FDP was out of the question, said participants at the meeting unanimously.

State elections in BW live: "bitter evening" for CDU - historically bad result threatens

Update from March 14th, 6:21 pm

: The CDU is heading for the worst result in a state election in Baden-Württemberg and is accordingly served when looking at the first results: The CDU Secretary General Manuel Hagel spoke in the SWR of a "bitter evening" .

Paul Ziemiak, Secretary General of the Union at federal level, chose similar words to the ARD: “To be clear: Today is not a good day for the CDU.

We would have wished for other, better results. ”CDU presidium member Norbert Röttgen also spoke of“ sad results ”with a view to Rhineland-Palatinate.

Baden-Württemberg was once considered a black stronghold.

For 58 years, the CDU provided the Prime Minister, such as the third Chancellor of the Federal Republic of Germany, Kurt Georg Kiesinger or the later EU Commissioner Günther Oettinger.

In the meantime, the Greens were satisfied with the first forecasts: "To get such a clear vote of confidence in these times makes us grateful," said the Greens state chairman Oliver Hildenbrand.

The green co-boss Annalena Baerbock spoke of a “great election result”.

Update from March 14, 6:11 p.m

.: What does the current forecast mean for possible coalitions?

What is certain is that the Greens can basically choose to form a government: Do Kretschmann & Co. want to stick to the Kiwi coalition with the CDU or will it be a traffic light coalition with the SPD and FDP?

Update from March 14, 6:06 p.m

.: According to the ARD forecast, the distribution of mandates in the Stuttgart state parliament would look like this: The Greens would have 51 seats and the CDU 37 seats.

According to the forecast, the SPD, FDP and AfD would each have 18 seats.

State election live in BW: Numbers here!

Kretschmann dupes competition - brutal CDU crash

Update from March 14, 6:02 p.m

.: The 6 p.m. forecast is there.

Everything indicates that the Greens will continue to be the strongest force in Baden-Württemberg.

Their share of the vote is currently given as 31 to 31.5 percent, so that Winfried Kretschmann will probably remain Prime Minister.

Meanwhile, the CDU around challenger Susanne Eisenmann experienced a debacle.

After the worst union result in a state election in Baden-Württemberg in 2016 with 27 percent, the union currently comes to 23 percent.

So the first two places seem to have been taken.

On the other hand, the race for the third strongest force in the country is going to be exciting.

The FDP, AfD and SPD are currently a few percentage points apart.

The left seems to miss its first entry into the state parliament again.

The free voters were able to gain, but also fail at the five percent hurdle.

was standing

source

Time

Green

CDU

AfD

SPD

FDP

left

Free voters

Others

forecast

ARD

6 p.m.

31

23

11.5

12th

11.5

3.5

3

4.5

forecast

ZDF

6 p.m.

31.5

23

12.5

10.5

11

3.5

3

6th

State elections in BW live: approval ratings for government drop - Kretschmann remains popular

Update from March 14th, 5.44 p.m

.: The current Baden-Württemberg state government has lost its approval in the corona crisis.

According to polls by Infratest dimap on election day, the green-black coalition is praised by the majority for its government work, but 40 percent of those surveyed are dissatisfied with current politics in the southwest.

This development is due in particular to the corona policy, which 56 percent of those surveyed see it as critical.

By way of comparison: only 29 percent disapproved of the work of the green-red state government.

Despite the criticism of the state government, Prime Minister Winfried Kretschmann still enjoys a high reputation in the state.

71 percent of those questioned are satisfied with the work of the Green politician.

The 72-year-old is still popular across party lines.

State elections in BW live: FDP open to exploratory talks - is the traffic light coalition coming?

Update from March 14, 5:24 p.m

.: In the Stuttgart state parliament, the situation is relatively relaxed around half an hour before the first projections.

Comparatively few politicians have yet arrived on site.

A few moments ago, FDP top candidate Hans-Ulrich Rülke appeared in front of the journalists present.

The 59-year-old was open to coalitions.

In an interview with

Die

Welt

, Rülke affirmed that he was open to exploratory talks - also with the Greens.

In the state elections in 2016, the FDP had rejected a traffic light coalition with the Greens and the SPD, although the Greens were interested.

Now the situation is different - also because the FDP will probably gain votes compared to 2016 and thus have more weight in the government.

The top candidate left the question of which coalition Rülke preferred.

They want to wait for the results first.

Then possible coalition partners would have to approach the FDP.

The Free Democrats' dream solution seems to be a black and yellow government, but based on the polls, this mission is utopian at the same time.

More conceivable is a traffic light coalition, unlikely a lime coalition of the Greens and FDP, which has never been seen before.

Overall, the FDP shows itself to be quite keen to govern.

During the election campaign, Rülke had repeatedly emphasized that he wanted to return to the state government: "I would rather rule with ten percent than sit in the opposition at eleven." The current polls see the FDP in precisely this percentage range.

Because AfD and SPD also rank around ten to twelve percent, there is probably a close battle for the third strongest force in the country.

+

Dr.

Hans-Ulrich Rülke presenting his election posters for the state elections in 2021.

© Sebastian Gollnow / dpa

State elections in BW live: Significantly more postal votes - that should help two parties enormously

Update from March 14, 4:41 p.m

.: State elections in Corona times equal a higher proportion of postal voters - this bill seems to be coming true.

In Baden-Württemberg, a significant increase in votes through postal votes can already be seen (

see update at 3 p.m.

).

This development, which is mainly due to Covid-19, could have an impact on election evening.

Could the results be known later?

In the evening there should be the first projections.

Then the polling stations in the southwest will close.

However, it is unclear whether these forecasts are meaningful.

As a rule, the extrapolations are made through surveys in the respective polling stations.

However, because significantly fewer people now cast their votes at the polling station, there is no comparison with the previous state election.

Pollsters therefore fear greater differences between the first forecasts and the overall result than before.

In the past, there were mostly only marginal deviations from the final result in the forecasts.

Basically, the question remains who will benefit from the higher percentage of postal votes.

In the recent past, the CDU and the Greens in particular have been able to score points by voting by post.

Political scientists assume that the comparatively older electorate of the Union would like to compensate for the restricted mobility.

Another factor could be concerns about being infected with the coronavirus.

The independence factor could play a role for the Greens and their electorate, which is much younger than the CDU.

Meanwhile, the AfD can generate fewer votes through postal votes.

Most recently, their constituencies voted least by letter.

While individual AfD politicians sense “the greatest electoral fraud in this country” in the postal vote, their actual influence this year could also be manageable.

Because "because of the pandemic, citizens who would otherwise not normally vote could also vote by letter," as Stuttgart election researcher Patrick Bernhagen

explains to

the

Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung

: "This makes the difference between postal voting and ballot box voting more difficult to predict."

+

Incumbent and challenger: Winfried Kretschmann wants to remain Prime Minister of Baden-Württemberg, Susanne Kretschmann wants to become the first woman at the top in the southwest.

The polls see the Green politician ahead.

© Sebastian Gollnow / dpa (archive image)

Update from March 14th, 4 p.m .:

The polling stations close at 6 p.m., then the last local voters must have cast their votes.

Many had already done so by postal vote.

Two more hours and then the time has come.

According to

sz.de,

Susanne Eisenmann and her husband Christoph Dahl have

already arrived in the Stuttgart state parliament.

State election in BW: many votes by postal vote

Update from March 14th, 3:45 p.m.:

A high number of postal voters was expected in the run-up to the state elections in Baden-Württemberg.

And apparently the assumption has been confirmed.

Significantly fewer people than in previous elections drove to the polling station on Sunday.

A representative voter turnout at 2 p.m. shows a decrease of almost 16 percentage points compared to the state elections in 2016. According to this, 36 percent of all eligible voters applied for postal voting.

Update from March 14th, 3 p.m.:

Elections in Corona times: masks when voting, significantly more postal voters and no election parties.

Instead, distance, hygiene rules and quick tests.

Winfried Kretschmann (Greens) and Susanne Eisenmann (CDU) are expected in the house of the state parliament shortly after 6 p.m., as

reported by

focus.de

.

There they will face the journalists and comment on questions about the results.

But here, too, the rule is that there will be no crowds like in previous elections.

State parliament election: BW elects new state parliament - novelty as a possible coalition under discussion

Update from March 14th, 1.30 p.m.:

With 34 percent in the polls, the Greens are considerably ahead.

A full ten percentage points ahead of the CDU - and thus ahead of the challenger Susanne Eisenmann.

However, it is unclear what a possible government coalition could look like.

A traffic light coalition with the FDP and SPD would be possible.

Or even a novelty: the lime.

A coalition of the Greens and the FDP.

In theory, it could even be enough for the unusual duo in the state election in 20221.

According to current surveys, the FDP is eleven percent.

In terms of party politics, it is not very obvious, but more pleasant than a possible three-party alliance.

Update from March 14, 12:10 p.m.:

In the morning, the current Prime Minister Winfried Kretschmann cast his vote.

Together with his wife Gerlinde, the Green politician voted in Sigmaringen.

+

Winfried Kretschmann and his wife Gerlinde cast their votes in Sigmaringen.

© Marijan Murat / dpa

State elections in BW live: rush to polling stations "a little restrained"

Update from March 14th, 11:50 am:

"At the moment it is still a bit cautious",

focus.de

quotes

a spokeswoman for the electoral office in Stuttgart.

The rush to the polling stations for the state elections in Baden-Württemberg has apparently been manageable so far.

One reason could be the current cloudy weather or the high proportion of postal voters, the spokeswoman suspects.

The same was said in other cities.

Update from March 14th, 11 am:

“You know me”, it says on advertising posters from Prime Minister Winfried Kretschmann (Greens).

He also makes this clear in a Twitter video: “You know what I stand for.” This man no longer has to advertise himself, you know him in the state, that's the message.

"You know me".

A sentence that originally came from the mouth of Chancellor Angela Merkel.

To assume that Kretschmann made it his motto for a reason.

During the election campaign, the Greens were accused of being too lax towards the auto industry, and they are characterized by a remarkably central government policy.

Should he win the state elections in 2021, as current forecasts indicate, he too could have a remarkably long term in office.

State election in BW: Live and up-to-date - Kretschmann versus Eisenmann

Update from March 14, 10 a.m.:

Susanne Eisenmann has been Minister of Education for the State of Baden-Württemberg since 2016.

In the Corona crisis, she repeatedly called for schools and daycare centers to be opened.

In an interview with

watson.de

, she recently spoke about the future of young people in Germany.

She emphasized that it was important to strengthen inner cities and meeting places and referred to the importance of clubs, cultural meeting places and youth clubs.

This has to be strengthened.

Baden-Württemberg is a "lively, lovable country in which young people in particular find optimal conditions thanks to the excellent universities, the extensive dual training in medium-sized companies, the attractive city centers and the cultural diversity."

Update from March 14th, 9.15 a.m.:

Prime Minister Winfried Kretschmann (Greens) competes on Sunday against his challenger - and Minister of Education - Susanne Eisenmann (CDU).

His chances of being re-elected are good.

According to recent surveys from Baden-Württemberg, the ruling Greens (with 32 to 34 percent approval) are up to eleven percentage points ahead of the CDU.

A clear distance.

Kretschmann has ruled the state since 2011. As the first Green Prime Minister of the Federal Republic.

State election in BW: Winfried Kretschmann and Susanne Eisenmann compete against each other

Update from March 14, 8:40

a.m.: Election Sunday in Baden-Württemberg has come.

From 8 a.m. to 6 p.m., eligible voters can cast their votes in the state elections in the polling stations.

Update from March 13, 2021, 9:22 p.m.:

Corona time is postal voting time - this also applies to the state elections in Baden-Württemberg.

Only 43 percent want to go to the polling station on Sunday, reports the

picture

.

That would be a new record.

However, as the numbers from a survey by the newspaper show, there are significant differences in the percentage of postal voters when you look at the various parties.

Among the Greens supporters, 34.6 percent have already voted and 24.5 still intend to do so.

Left-wing supporters (32.9 elected and 31 percent intent) also rely on postal voting.

In sharp contrast to this is the AfD - here postal voting is apparently far less popular.

Only 18.6 percent of AfD voters voted by postal vote and 23.7 percent are still planning to do so.

The CDU, SPD and FDP are therefore in the middle of the postal voting sympathizers.

Message from March 12th, 4:53 p.m.:

Stuttgart - Baden-Württemberg elects a new state parliament on Sunday (March 14th) - it looks as if a Prime Minister's era of Merkel dimensions is looming: Winfried has been in office since 2011 Kretschmann in the southwest as the first Green Prime Minister of the republic.

And if the last polls are to be believed, then another election victory can be assumed.

The Greens recently had a full ten percentage points ahead of the Sunday issue.

But the election evening remains exciting.

Because it is more than open what a future government coalition will look like.

The continuation of green-black seems mathematically secure and has already been brought to the eco-party by CDU country chief Thomas Strobl.

But first she showed the cold shoulder.

Much depends on how the mandates are ultimately distributed.

was standing

source

Date / time

Green

CDU

AfD

SPD

FDP

left

Others

survey

ZDF

March 11, 2021

34

24

11

10

11

3

7th

State elections in BW live: Greens already heavily courted before election day - CDU threatens a rude awakening

Kretschmann and the Greens chairwoman Sandra Detzer could ultimately be spoiled for choice.

According to the polls, a traffic light coalition with the SPD and FDP also had the prospect of a stable majority.

And even an absolute novelty cannot be ruled out: the “lime”.

In theory, it could also be enough for the Greens and the FDP as a coalition duo.

Not a politically obvious variant - but possibly more comfortable than a three-party alliance.

And if necessary, leverage against the CDU.

In the end, the Greens could be the bride who is exposed to vigorous advertising - especially since 70 percent of voters want Kretschmann to continue as Prime Minister.

"The FDP wants to shape governments out of", Lindner told the

Stuttgarter Nachrichten

and the

Stuttgarter Zeitung

on Friday - a remarkable statement from Lindner's mouth.

Voters could be sure that “we are not concerned with company cars, but with content,” added the Liberal.

But the CDU also wants to avoid ending up in the opposition alongside the AfD.

Kretschmann himself did not want to lean out of the window.

He described coalition speculation as "sandpit games".

BW election live and up-to-date: CDU is even threatened with a violent power struggle - not even its own voters want Eisenmann as Prime Minister

The mood at the CDU is different.

In the event of the predicted crash, you are threatened with a power struggle for the future lineup.

The 56-year-old Eisenmann, who also has to worry about her direct mandate, should have bad cards if the CDU result is well below the 27 percent of 2016.

The minister had made so many enemies in the party in the power struggle for the top candidacy when, with the help of the parliamentary group, she pushed aside the vice-prime minister and head of the country Strobl.

Strobl is considered a confidante of Kretschmann and could most likely lead negotiations on a new green-black coalition.

A bitter side aspect for Eisenmann: Only 28 percent of the CDU supporters want to be head of government, but 60 percent want to keep Kretschmann.

A characteristic of the remarkably central course of the Greens, who had to contend with a private stroke of fate in the election campaign.

In the TV duel with Eisenmann, he even had to let the conservative hold that he was too lax towards the auto industry - wrong world in the country.

State election in BW: lobby scandal hits CDU hard - but surprises are possible

As if the polls weren't bad enough, the CDU also has to deal with the so-called mask affair.

Because it hit Baden-Württemberg particularly hard.

The Mannheim Bundestag member Nikolas Löbel has admitted that his company has earned commissions of around 250,000 euros for brokering sales contracts for corona protective masks.

Even Eisenmann recently did not want to rule out that the affair would affect even more MPs.

After all: According to the “Politbarometer”, this will have less of an impact on the election result, despite all the fears in the CDU and CSU.

The reason is that a large number of them have already voted by postal vote.

And attention: Almost two thirds said that for their election primarily state and not federal political aspects were decisive - but that should not alleviate any election hangover of the CDU.

Finally, the focus is also on the AfD.

In 2016, the right-wing populists received a good 15 percent of the vote - an exceptionally high figure for a West German state.

Since then, the AfD has delivered various scandal and scandal in the Stuttgart state parliament.

This cost support from the electorate, but not to a particularly high degree.

11 to 12 percent were assessed in surveys.

In previous elections, the AfD has exceeded the projections of the opinion polls several times.

(

fn / dpa

)

List of rubric lists: © Uli Deck / dpa

Source: merkur

All news articles on 2021-03-14

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